Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 15–21 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne |
25.9% |
34.6% |
32.7–36.5% |
32.2–37.1% |
31.7–37.6% |
30.9–38.5% |
Venstre |
23.4% |
19.9% |
18.3–21.5% |
17.9–22.0% |
17.5–22.4% |
16.8–23.2% |
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne |
6.9% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
Radikale Venstre |
8.6% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
Det Konservative Folkeparti |
6.6% |
7.5% |
6.5–8.6% |
6.2–8.9% |
6.0–9.2% |
5.6–9.8% |
Socialistisk Folkeparti |
7.7% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.1% |
5.5–9.7% |
Dansk Folkeparti |
8.7% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.2% |
Nye Borgerlige |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Liberal Alliance |
2.3% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
Alternativet |
3.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.3–1.1% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.5% |
Stram Kurs |
1.8% |
0.4% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.1–1.2% |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
0.8% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.8% |
0.1–0.9% |
0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Socialdemokraterne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
2% |
97% |
|
59 |
11% |
95% |
|
60 |
39% |
84% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
45% |
|
62 |
17% |
43% |
|
63 |
5% |
26% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
20% |
|
65 |
6% |
20% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
12% |
|
68 |
10% |
11% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
21% |
95% |
|
35 |
4% |
74% |
|
36 |
34% |
70% |
Median |
37 |
5% |
37% |
|
38 |
18% |
31% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
14% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
12% |
|
41 |
11% |
11% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
15% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
20% |
84% |
Last Result |
14 |
5% |
64% |
|
15 |
5% |
59% |
|
16 |
32% |
54% |
Median |
17 |
21% |
22% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Radikale Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
26% |
99.2% |
|
13 |
8% |
73% |
|
14 |
31% |
65% |
Median |
15 |
18% |
34% |
|
16 |
12% |
17% |
Last Result |
17 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
18 |
3% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Det Konservative Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
50% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
13 |
33% |
47% |
|
14 |
5% |
14% |
|
15 |
5% |
9% |
|
16 |
2% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistisk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
12 |
20% |
95% |
|
13 |
7% |
75% |
|
14 |
38% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
28% |
30% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dansk Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
4% |
95% |
|
11 |
49% |
90% |
Median |
12 |
6% |
41% |
|
13 |
34% |
35% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Nye Borgerlige
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
15% |
98.7% |
|
7 |
65% |
83% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
18% |
|
9 |
12% |
14% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Liberal Alliance
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
63% |
|
2 |
0% |
63% |
|
3 |
0% |
63% |
|
4 |
41% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
20% |
22% |
|
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Alternativet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Stram Kurs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Klaus Riskær Pedersen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
96 |
103 |
100% |
101–109 |
101–109 |
99–109 |
98–112 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
91 |
103 |
100% |
101–109 |
101–109 |
99–109 |
98–112 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
78 |
89 |
27% |
87–96 |
86–96 |
85–96 |
83–97 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet |
80 |
91 |
72% |
86–95 |
86–95 |
86–95 |
83–97 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti |
75 |
91 |
72% |
86–95 |
86–95 |
86–95 |
83–97 |
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre |
64 |
75 |
0% |
72–82 |
72–82 |
72–82 |
69–84 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen |
79 |
71 |
0% |
66–74 |
66–74 |
66–75 |
63–77 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance |
79 |
71 |
0% |
66–74 |
66–74 |
66–75 |
63–77 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
75 |
64 |
0% |
57–67 |
57–67 |
57–68 |
56–69 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance |
59 |
52 |
0% |
46–56 |
46–56 |
46–56 |
45–59 |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti |
55 |
48 |
0% |
46–53 |
46–53 |
46–53 |
44–56 |
Venstre |
43 |
36 |
0% |
34–41 |
34–41 |
33–41 |
31–41 |
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
96 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
97 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
99 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
100 |
2% |
97% |
|
101 |
16% |
95% |
|
102 |
2% |
79% |
|
103 |
28% |
78% |
|
104 |
7% |
50% |
Median |
105 |
12% |
43% |
|
106 |
17% |
31% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
14% |
|
108 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
109 |
11% |
13% |
|
110 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
91 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
99 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
100 |
2% |
97% |
|
101 |
16% |
95% |
|
102 |
2% |
79% |
|
103 |
28% |
78% |
|
104 |
7% |
50% |
Median |
105 |
12% |
43% |
|
106 |
17% |
31% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
14% |
|
108 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
109 |
11% |
13% |
|
110 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
|
86 |
3% |
96% |
|
87 |
27% |
94% |
|
88 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
89 |
25% |
53% |
|
90 |
2% |
27% |
Majority |
91 |
4% |
25% |
|
92 |
1.5% |
21% |
|
93 |
7% |
20% |
|
94 |
1.4% |
13% |
|
95 |
1.0% |
11% |
|
96 |
10% |
10% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
86 |
18% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
79% |
|
88 |
4% |
76% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
72% |
|
90 |
12% |
72% |
Median, Majority |
91 |
39% |
60% |
|
92 |
7% |
21% |
|
93 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
13% |
|
95 |
10% |
12% |
|
96 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
86 |
18% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
79% |
|
88 |
4% |
76% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
72% |
|
90 |
12% |
72% |
Median, Majority |
91 |
39% |
60% |
|
92 |
7% |
21% |
|
93 |
1.4% |
14% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
13% |
|
95 |
10% |
12% |
|
96 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
26% |
98% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
71% |
|
74 |
12% |
70% |
Median |
75 |
13% |
58% |
|
76 |
6% |
45% |
|
77 |
15% |
40% |
|
78 |
4% |
24% |
|
79 |
7% |
20% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
82 |
11% |
12% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
11% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
87% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
85% |
|
69 |
18% |
85% |
|
70 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
71 |
7% |
55% |
|
72 |
28% |
48% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
21% |
|
74 |
16% |
19% |
|
75 |
2% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
11% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
87% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
85% |
|
69 |
18% |
85% |
|
70 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
71 |
7% |
55% |
|
72 |
28% |
48% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
21% |
|
74 |
16% |
19% |
|
75 |
2% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
10% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
2% |
89% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
87% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
61 |
2% |
86% |
|
62 |
18% |
84% |
|
63 |
2% |
66% |
Median |
64 |
18% |
64% |
|
65 |
27% |
47% |
|
66 |
2% |
20% |
|
67 |
14% |
18% |
|
68 |
2% |
4% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
10% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
49 |
7% |
87% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
80% |
|
51 |
12% |
79% |
|
52 |
30% |
67% |
Median |
53 |
14% |
38% |
|
54 |
4% |
23% |
|
55 |
2% |
20% |
|
56 |
15% |
17% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
11% |
98% |
|
47 |
14% |
87% |
|
48 |
27% |
73% |
Median |
49 |
7% |
46% |
|
50 |
3% |
38% |
|
51 |
17% |
35% |
|
52 |
2% |
18% |
|
53 |
14% |
16% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
21% |
95% |
|
35 |
4% |
74% |
|
36 |
34% |
70% |
Median |
37 |
5% |
37% |
|
38 |
18% |
31% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
14% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
12% |
|
41 |
11% |
11% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Voxmeter
- Commissioner(s): Ritzau
- Fieldwork period: 15–21 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1032
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.44%