Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 15–21 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.6% 32.7–36.5% 32.2–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.9–38.5%
Venstre 23.4% 19.9% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.4% 16.8–23.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.6–9.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 59–68 59–68 57–68 56–69
Venstre 43 36 34–41 34–41 33–41 31–41
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 12–17 12–17 12–17 11–18
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 12 12–14 12–15 11–16 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–15 11–15 11–15 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 11–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 0.6% 99.5%  
57 2% 98.9%  
58 2% 97%  
59 11% 95%  
60 39% 84% Median
61 2% 45%  
62 17% 43%  
63 5% 26%  
64 0.9% 20%  
65 6% 20%  
66 1.0% 13%  
67 1.1% 12%  
68 10% 11%  
69 0.2% 0.6%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.3% 99.7%  
32 0.7% 99.5%  
33 3% 98.7%  
34 21% 95%  
35 4% 74%  
36 34% 70% Median
37 5% 37%  
38 18% 31%  
39 1.5% 14%  
40 1.0% 12%  
41 11% 11%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 15% 99.5%  
13 20% 84% Last Result
14 5% 64%  
15 5% 59%  
16 32% 54% Median
17 21% 22%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 26% 99.2%  
13 8% 73%  
14 31% 65% Median
15 18% 34%  
16 12% 17% Last Result
17 1.4% 5%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.7%  
12 50% 97% Last Result, Median
13 33% 47%  
14 5% 14%  
15 5% 9%  
16 2% 4%  
17 0.8% 2%  
18 0.8% 0.8%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.9%  
11 4% 98.7%  
12 20% 95%  
13 7% 75%  
14 38% 68% Last Result, Median
15 28% 30%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.5% 0.8%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.2% 99.9%  
9 4% 98.8%  
10 4% 95%  
11 49% 90% Median
12 6% 41%  
13 34% 35%  
14 0.3% 0.6%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100% Last Result
5 1.3% 99.9%  
6 15% 98.7%  
7 65% 83% Median
8 4% 18%  
9 12% 14%  
10 0.9% 1.4%  
11 0.4% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100%  
1 0% 63%  
2 0% 63%  
3 0% 63%  
4 41% 63% Last Result, Median
5 20% 22%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 103 100% 101–109 101–109 99–109 98–112
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 103 100% 101–109 101–109 99–109 98–112
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 89 27% 87–96 86–96 85–96 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 91 72% 86–95 86–95 86–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 91 72% 86–95 86–95 86–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 75 0% 72–82 72–82 72–82 69–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 71 0% 66–74 66–74 66–75 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 66–74 66–74 66–75 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 57–67 57–67 57–68 56–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 46–56 46–56 46–56 45–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 48 0% 46–53 46–53 46–53 44–56
Venstre 43 36 0% 34–41 34–41 33–41 31–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0.1% 100% Last Result
97 0.3% 99.9%  
98 0.7% 99.6%  
99 2% 98.9%  
100 2% 97%  
101 16% 95%  
102 2% 79%  
103 28% 78%  
104 7% 50% Median
105 12% 43%  
106 17% 31%  
107 0.9% 14%  
108 0.7% 13%  
109 11% 13%  
110 1.2% 2%  
111 0.3% 0.8%  
112 0.2% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.4%  
114 0.3% 0.3%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.3% 99.9%  
98 0.7% 99.6%  
99 2% 98.9%  
100 2% 97%  
101 16% 95%  
102 2% 79%  
103 28% 78%  
104 7% 50% Median
105 12% 43%  
106 17% 31%  
107 0.9% 14%  
108 0.7% 13%  
109 11% 13%  
110 1.2% 2%  
111 0.3% 0.8%  
112 0.2% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.4%  
114 0.3% 0.3%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.9% 99.7%  
84 1.0% 98.8%  
85 2% 98%  
86 3% 96%  
87 27% 94%  
88 14% 67% Median
89 25% 53%  
90 2% 27% Majority
91 4% 25%  
92 1.5% 21%  
93 7% 20%  
94 1.4% 13%  
95 1.0% 11%  
96 10% 10%  
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.3% 0.4%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.8%  
84 0.7% 99.3%  
85 0.7% 98.6%  
86 18% 98%  
87 3% 79%  
88 4% 76%  
89 0.6% 72%  
90 12% 72% Median, Majority
91 39% 60%  
92 7% 21%  
93 1.4% 14%  
94 1.2% 13%  
95 10% 12%  
96 1.2% 2%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.3% 0.3%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.8%  
84 0.7% 99.3%  
85 0.7% 98.6%  
86 18% 98%  
87 3% 79%  
88 4% 76%  
89 0.6% 72%  
90 12% 72% Median, Majority
91 39% 60%  
92 7% 21%  
93 1.4% 14%  
94 1.2% 13%  
95 10% 12%  
96 1.2% 2%  
97 0.2% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.3% 0.3%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 100%  
69 0.7% 99.9%  
70 0.6% 99.3%  
71 1.1% 98.7%  
72 26% 98%  
73 0.9% 71%  
74 12% 70% Median
75 13% 58%  
76 6% 45%  
77 15% 40%  
78 4% 24%  
79 7% 20%  
80 0.5% 13%  
81 0.9% 13%  
82 11% 12%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.3% 0.3%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.6%  
63 0.2% 99.5%  
64 0.3% 99.4%  
65 1.3% 99.0%  
66 11% 98%  
67 2% 87%  
68 0.9% 85%  
69 18% 85%  
70 12% 67% Median
71 7% 55%  
72 28% 48%  
73 1.4% 21%  
74 16% 19%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.3% 2%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.6%  
63 0.2% 99.5%  
64 0.3% 99.4%  
65 1.3% 99.0%  
66 11% 98%  
67 2% 87%  
68 0.9% 85%  
69 18% 85%  
70 12% 67% Median
71 7% 55%  
72 28% 48%  
73 1.4% 21%  
74 16% 19%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.3% 2%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.3% 100%  
54 0% 99.7%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 0.1% 99.6%  
57 10% 99.4%  
58 2% 89%  
59 0.5% 87%  
60 0.7% 87%  
61 2% 86%  
62 18% 84%  
63 2% 66% Median
64 18% 64%  
65 27% 47%  
66 2% 20%  
67 14% 18%  
68 2% 4%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.4% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.6%  
46 10% 99.4%  
47 0.3% 89%  
48 1.4% 89%  
49 7% 87%  
50 1.3% 80%  
51 12% 79%  
52 30% 67% Median
53 14% 38%  
54 4% 23%  
55 2% 20%  
56 15% 17%  
57 0.4% 2%  
58 0.6% 1.5%  
59 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 1.0% 99.8%  
45 0.4% 98.7%  
46 11% 98%  
47 14% 87%  
48 27% 73% Median
49 7% 46%  
50 3% 38%  
51 17% 35%  
52 2% 18%  
53 14% 16%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.3% 1.4% Last Result
56 0.7% 1.1%  
57 0% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.3% 99.7%  
32 0.7% 99.5%  
33 3% 98.7%  
34 21% 95%  
35 4% 74%  
36 34% 70% Median
37 5% 37%  
38 18% 31%  
39 1.5% 14%  
40 1.0% 12%  
41 11% 11%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations