Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 22–28 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.5% 33.6–37.4% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.4% 31.7–39.4%
Venstre 23.4% 20.1% 18.6–21.8% 18.1–22.2% 17.8–22.6% 17.1–23.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 64 61–66 59–67 59–68 57–70
Venstre 43 36 33–38 33–39 32–40 31–42
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 12–15 11–15 11–15 10–17
Radikale Venstre 16 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 10–15 10–15 10–15 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 8–11 8–12 8–13 7–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.6%  
58 1.1% 99.2%  
59 4% 98%  
60 4% 94%  
61 4% 90%  
62 6% 86%  
63 23% 80%  
64 32% 57% Median
65 15% 25%  
66 5% 11%  
67 2% 6%  
68 1.3% 4%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.4% 0.7%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.9% 99.7%  
32 2% 98.8%  
33 9% 97%  
34 6% 88%  
35 19% 82%  
36 44% 64% Median
37 6% 19%  
38 7% 13%  
39 2% 6%  
40 2% 4%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.5% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 7% 98%  
12 13% 91%  
13 10% 78% Last Result
14 16% 68%  
15 49% 52% Median
16 2% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.9%  
11 25% 98.8%  
12 18% 74%  
13 18% 55% Median
14 21% 38%  
15 12% 16%  
16 3% 5% Last Result
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.0% 99.8%  
11 16% 98.8%  
12 5% 83%  
13 56% 78% Median
14 10% 21% Last Result
15 7% 12%  
16 3% 5%  
17 1.0% 1.4%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.8% 99.9%  
10 10% 99.1%  
11 8% 89%  
12 15% 81% Last Result
13 33% 67% Median
14 14% 34%  
15 20% 20%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 10% 98%  
9 48% 87% Median
10 11% 39%  
11 20% 29%  
12 4% 9%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.3% 99.8%  
8 10% 98%  
9 20% 88%  
10 51% 68% Median
11 10% 17%  
12 6% 7%  
13 1.2% 1.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 44% 71% Last Result, Median
5 18% 26%  
6 8% 9%  
7 0.6% 0.8%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 103 100% 100–106 98–107 98–109 95–111
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 103 100% 100–106 98–107 98–109 95–111
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 90 50% 87–92 86–94 85–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 91 74% 87–92 85–95 84–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 91 74% 87–92 85–95 84–95 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 77 0% 74–79 72–81 72–81 70–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 72 0% 68–75 67–76 66–77 64–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 59–64 57–66 57–67 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–55 48–56 47–58 45–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 45–51 43–52 43–53 43–55
Venstre 43 36 0% 33–38 33–39 32–40 31–42

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.5% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.3% Last Result
97 0.8% 99.2%  
98 4% 98%  
99 4% 94%  
100 3% 91%  
101 3% 87%  
102 15% 84%  
103 27% 69%  
104 9% 42%  
105 20% 33% Median
106 4% 13%  
107 5% 9%  
108 0.7% 4%  
109 2% 3%  
110 1.0% 2%  
111 0.6% 0.9%  
112 0.3% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.1% 99.9%  
95 0.5% 99.9%  
96 0.1% 99.3%  
97 0.8% 99.2%  
98 4% 98%  
99 4% 94%  
100 3% 91%  
101 3% 87%  
102 15% 84%  
103 27% 69%  
104 9% 42%  
105 20% 33% Median
106 4% 13%  
107 5% 9%  
108 0.7% 4%  
109 2% 3%  
110 1.0% 2%  
111 0.6% 0.9%  
112 0.3% 0.3%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.3% 99.9%  
83 0.4% 99.6%  
84 1.2% 99.2%  
85 3% 98%  
86 4% 95%  
87 4% 91%  
88 34% 87%  
89 2% 53%  
90 24% 50% Median, Majority
91 4% 26%  
92 14% 22%  
93 2% 8%  
94 2% 6%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.9% 1.4%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0.4% 0.5%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 2% 99.5%  
84 1.4% 98%  
85 3% 97%  
86 2% 93%  
87 4% 91%  
88 9% 87%  
89 5% 79%  
90 13% 74% Majority
91 23% 60%  
92 28% 37% Median
93 2% 9%  
94 0.9% 7%  
95 4% 6%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 1.1% 1.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 2% 99.5%  
84 1.4% 98%  
85 3% 97%  
86 2% 93%  
87 4% 91%  
88 9% 87%  
89 5% 79%  
90 13% 74% Majority
91 23% 60%  
92 28% 37% Median
93 2% 9%  
94 0.9% 7%  
95 4% 6%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 1.1% 1.4%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 1.2% 99.1%  
72 3% 98%  
73 3% 95%  
74 5% 91%  
75 26% 86%  
76 1.3% 60%  
77 34% 58% Median
78 10% 24%  
79 6% 14%  
80 2% 8%  
81 4% 6%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.6% 0.9%  
84 0% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.6% 99.6%  
65 1.0% 99.0%  
66 3% 98%  
67 0.7% 95%  
68 9% 95%  
69 4% 85%  
70 19% 81%  
71 10% 62%  
72 27% 53% Median
73 12% 26%  
74 3% 13%  
75 2% 11%  
76 4% 8%  
77 4% 5%  
78 0.6% 1.0%  
79 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
80 0.3% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.3%  
56 1.1% 98.9%  
57 4% 98%  
58 2% 94%  
59 8% 91%  
60 21% 83%  
61 10% 63%  
62 26% 53% Median
63 5% 27%  
64 13% 23%  
65 2% 9%  
66 3% 7%  
67 2% 4%  
68 1.4% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.8%  
70 0.3% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.6%  
45 0.1% 99.5%  
46 0.8% 99.4%  
47 3% 98.7%  
48 8% 95%  
49 4% 88%  
50 6% 84%  
51 22% 78%  
52 9% 57%  
53 35% 48% Median
54 2% 13%  
55 5% 11%  
56 2% 6%  
57 0.6% 4%  
58 3% 3%  
59 0% 0.5% Last Result
60 0.4% 0.5%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 5% 99.6%  
44 2% 95%  
45 3% 93%  
46 11% 90%  
47 5% 78%  
48 8% 73%  
49 34% 66% Median
50 5% 31%  
51 20% 27%  
52 2% 7%  
53 4% 5%  
54 0.4% 1.0%  
55 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.9% 99.7%  
32 2% 98.8%  
33 9% 97%  
34 6% 88%  
35 19% 82%  
36 44% 64% Median
37 6% 19%  
38 7% 13%  
39 2% 6%  
40 2% 4%  
41 2% 2%  
42 0.5% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations