Opinion Poll by YouGov, 2–6 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.7% 31.0–34.4% 30.5–34.9% 30.1–35.4% 29.3–36.2%
Venstre 23.4% 17.0% 15.7–18.5% 15.3–18.9% 15.0–19.2% 14.4–19.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.8% 7.8–9.9% 7.6–10.2% 7.3–10.5% 6.9–11.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.1% 7.1–9.2% 6.9–9.5% 6.7–9.7% 6.3–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.8–8.7% 6.5–9.0% 6.3–9.3% 5.9–9.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.7% 5.9–7.7% 5.6–8.0% 5.4–8.2% 5.1–8.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.8% 5.3–8.1% 4.9–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.6–7.4% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.9% 4.8–8.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 56–61 55–62 55–65 53–65
Venstre 43 31 29–33 28–33 27–36 27–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 14–17 14–18 14–19 13–20
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 14–16 13–17 12–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–15 12–16 12–16 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 10–13 9–14 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–13 10–14 10–15 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 5–7 4–7 4–8
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.5% 99.9%  
54 1.0% 99.4%  
55 7% 98%  
56 2% 92%  
57 7% 90%  
58 62% 83% Median
59 7% 21%  
60 0.9% 14%  
61 7% 13%  
62 1.3% 6%  
63 0.4% 5%  
64 1.3% 4%  
65 3% 3%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 3% 99.6%  
28 5% 97%  
29 4% 91%  
30 4% 87%  
31 50% 83% Median
32 3% 33%  
33 26% 31%  
34 1.5% 5%  
35 0.3% 3%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100% Last Result
13 0.7% 99.6%  
14 13% 98.8%  
15 63% 86% Median
16 7% 24%  
17 8% 17%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 3%  
20 1.0% 1.0%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.3%  
13 4% 95%  
14 28% 91%  
15 44% 63% Median
16 11% 19%  
17 6% 8%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 7% 99.3%  
13 30% 92% Last Result
14 15% 62% Median
15 40% 47%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.8%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.0% 100%  
10 7% 99.0%  
11 6% 92%  
12 72% 86% Median
13 5% 13%  
14 7% 8% Last Result
15 1.0% 1.4%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 4% 99.9%  
10 9% 96%  
11 9% 87%  
12 34% 78% Median
13 41% 44%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.5% 99.8%  
10 44% 98%  
11 10% 55% Median
12 34% 45%  
13 5% 11%  
14 2% 6%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 5% 99.6% Last Result
5 15% 95%  
6 71% 80% Median
7 9% 9%  
8 0.5% 0.6%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 99.5% 94–99 93–100 92–101 90–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 95 99.5% 94–99 93–100 92–101 90–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 3% 82–87 81–89 81–90 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 85 3% 82–87 81–89 81–90 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.2% 79–86 78–86 78–87 77–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 76–81 75–82 74–83 73–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 76–81 75–82 74–83 73–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 68–73 66–75 66–76 64–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 61–67 60–67 60–68 59–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 61–67 60–67 60–68 59–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 50–54 49–55 48–56 47–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 46 0% 45–49 44–50 42–51 41–53
Venstre 43 31 0% 29–33 28–33 27–36 27–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.2% 100%  
89 0.3% 99.8%  
90 0.5% 99.5% Majority
91 2% 99.1%  
92 1.2% 98%  
93 4% 96%  
94 7% 92%  
95 61% 85% Median
96 2% 24% Last Result
97 5% 21%  
98 3% 17%  
99 4% 13%  
100 6% 9%  
101 1.1% 3%  
102 2% 2%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.2% 100%  
89 0.3% 99.8%  
90 0.5% 99.5% Majority
91 2% 99.1% Last Result
92 1.2% 98%  
93 4% 96%  
94 7% 92%  
95 61% 85% Median
96 2% 24%  
97 5% 21%  
98 3% 17%  
99 4% 13%  
100 6% 9%  
101 1.1% 3%  
102 2% 2%  
103 0.1% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.5% 99.6%  
80 0.9% 99.1% Last Result
81 6% 98%  
82 2% 92%  
83 31% 90%  
84 2% 59% Median
85 40% 57%  
86 4% 16%  
87 5% 12%  
88 0.8% 7%  
89 4% 6%  
90 0.9% 3% Majority
91 0.2% 2%  
92 1.4% 1.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.5% 99.6%  
80 0.9% 99.1%  
81 6% 98%  
82 2% 92%  
83 31% 89%  
84 2% 59% Median
85 40% 57%  
86 4% 16%  
87 5% 12%  
88 0.8% 7%  
89 4% 6%  
90 0.9% 3% Majority
91 0.1% 2%  
92 1.4% 1.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0.9% 99.6%  
78 4% 98.7% Last Result
79 5% 94%  
80 35% 89%  
81 8% 54% Median
82 26% 47%  
83 6% 21%  
84 3% 15%  
85 1.2% 12%  
86 9% 11%  
87 0.3% 3%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.7%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 6% 97%  
76 4% 91%  
77 3% 87%  
78 5% 83%  
79 2% 79% Last Result, Median
80 61% 76%  
81 7% 15%  
82 4% 8%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.9%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 2% 99.7%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 6% 97%  
76 4% 91%  
77 3% 87%  
78 5% 83%  
79 2% 79% Last Result, Median
80 61% 76%  
81 7% 15%  
82 4% 8%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.9%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
65 0.7% 99.4%  
66 4% 98.7%  
67 3% 94%  
68 37% 91%  
69 8% 54% Median
70 27% 46%  
71 5% 19%  
72 3% 13%  
73 1.0% 11%  
74 2% 10%  
75 3% 8%  
76 4% 4%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 1.0% 99.7%  
60 8% 98.6%  
61 4% 91%  
62 4% 87%  
63 3% 83%  
64 7% 79% Median
65 36% 72%  
66 26% 36%  
67 6% 10%  
68 2% 4%  
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.9% 1.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 1.0% 99.7%  
60 8% 98.6%  
61 4% 91%  
62 4% 87%  
63 3% 83%  
64 7% 79% Median
65 36% 72%  
66 26% 36%  
67 6% 10%  
68 2% 4%  
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.9% 1.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.6% 99.7%  
48 2% 99.1%  
49 6% 97%  
50 4% 91%  
51 5% 87%  
52 38% 82% Median
53 7% 44%  
54 28% 37%  
55 5% 9%  
56 2% 4%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.5% 0.9%  
59 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.4% 99.9%  
42 3% 99.4%  
43 1.0% 97%  
44 5% 96%  
45 11% 91%  
46 37% 80% Median
47 5% 44%  
48 27% 38%  
49 6% 12%  
50 1.4% 6%  
51 3% 4%  
52 0.6% 1.2%  
53 0.6% 0.6%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 3% 99.6%  
28 5% 97%  
29 4% 91%  
30 4% 87%  
31 50% 83% Median
32 3% 33%  
33 26% 31%  
34 1.5% 5%  
35 0.3% 3%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations