Opinion Poll by Gallup, 1–31 July 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.3% 28.8–31.9% 28.3–32.3% 28.0–32.7% 27.3–33.4%
Venstre 23.4% 19.0% 17.7–20.3% 17.3–20.7% 17.0–21.1% 16.5–21.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.1% 8.2–10.1% 7.9–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.3–11.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.6% 6.8–8.6% 6.5–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.0–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.8–8.6% 6.5–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.0–9.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.7–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 5.9–9.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.7–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 5.9–9.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.5% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.7% 5.3–7.9% 5.0–8.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.5–3.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 53 50–57 50–58 49–59 48–59
Venstre 43 35 31–37 31–37 30–38 30–38
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 16 15–18 14–18 13–19 13–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–17 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 11–15 11–16 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 13 12–15 12–15 11–16 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
49 3% 99.4%  
50 23% 97%  
51 4% 74%  
52 9% 69%  
53 18% 60% Median
54 6% 41%  
55 8% 35%  
56 13% 27%  
57 7% 14%  
58 2% 7%  
59 4% 5%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.6%  
31 6% 95%  
32 7% 89%  
33 19% 82%  
34 8% 63%  
35 15% 55% Median
36 30% 41%  
37 7% 10%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100% Last Result
13 4% 99.8%  
14 4% 96%  
15 13% 91%  
16 29% 78% Median
17 14% 49%  
18 31% 36%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.5%  
12 14% 98%  
13 40% 84% Median
14 19% 45%  
15 22% 26%  
16 3% 4% Last Result
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 8% 99.6%  
12 8% 92%  
13 48% 84% Median
14 20% 36% Last Result
15 11% 17%  
16 3% 5%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 5% 99.5%  
12 17% 94%  
13 11% 77% Last Result
14 55% 66% Median
15 8% 11%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.3% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.9% 100%  
11 4% 99.1%  
12 27% 95%  
13 35% 68% Median
14 20% 33%  
15 9% 12%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.4% 0.9%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 7% 98%  
11 25% 92%  
12 17% 67% Median
13 32% 50%  
14 18% 18%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 31% 88% Last Result
5 51% 58% Median
6 6% 6%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 98% 90–98 90–99 90–100 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 93 98% 90–98 90–99 90–100 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0.1% 76–84 76–87 76–87 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0% 77–84 77–85 76–86 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 80 0% 77–84 77–85 76–86 74–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0% 76–85 76–85 75–85 73–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 65–72 64–73 64–73 61–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 63–70 63–73 63–73 62–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 51–59 51–59 50–59 48–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 48–54 47–54 46–55 45–56
Venstre 43 35 0% 31–37 31–37 30–38 30–38

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0.6% 99.8%  
89 2% 99.2%  
90 23% 98% Majority
91 9% 75%  
92 16% 66%  
93 12% 50% Median
94 4% 38%  
95 9% 34%  
96 7% 25% Last Result
97 7% 18%  
98 4% 11%  
99 5% 8%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 1.3% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0.6% 99.8%  
89 2% 99.2%  
90 23% 98% Majority
91 9% 75% Last Result
92 16% 66%  
93 12% 50% Median
94 4% 38%  
95 9% 34%  
96 7% 25%  
97 7% 18%  
98 4% 11%  
99 5% 8%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 1.3% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.7%  
76 22% 99.1%  
77 7% 77%  
78 17% 70% Last Result
79 9% 52% Median
80 6% 44%  
81 7% 38%  
82 4% 31%  
83 10% 27%  
84 7% 17%  
85 3% 9%  
86 0.7% 7%  
87 5% 6%  
88 0.9% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 1.0% 99.9%  
75 0.7% 98.9%  
76 1.2% 98%  
77 25% 97%  
78 5% 72%  
79 4% 66%  
80 19% 62% Last Result, Median
81 13% 43%  
82 7% 30%  
83 9% 23%  
84 5% 14%  
85 7% 9%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 1.0% 99.9%  
75 0.7% 98.9% Last Result
76 1.2% 98%  
77 25% 97%  
78 5% 72%  
79 4% 66%  
80 19% 62% Median
81 13% 43%  
82 7% 30%  
83 9% 23%  
84 5% 14%  
85 7% 9%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.8%  
74 1.5% 99.3%  
75 2% 98%  
76 9% 95%  
77 6% 87%  
78 12% 81%  
79 7% 69% Last Result
80 7% 62%  
81 3% 55% Median
82 8% 52%  
83 15% 44%  
84 7% 30%  
85 22% 22%  
86 0.3% 0.7%  
87 0.4% 0.4%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.8%  
62 0.8% 99.4%  
63 1.0% 98.6%  
64 5% 98%  
65 9% 93%  
66 10% 84%  
67 10% 73%  
68 5% 63%  
69 21% 58% Median
70 7% 38%  
71 1.4% 31%  
72 24% 29%  
73 5% 6%  
74 0.3% 0.5%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.8%  
63 24% 99.1%  
64 7% 75% Last Result
65 22% 68%  
66 6% 46% Median
67 4% 40%  
68 7% 37%  
69 6% 29%  
70 14% 23%  
71 3% 10%  
72 1.0% 6%  
73 4% 5%  
74 0.4% 0.9%  
75 0.3% 0.5%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.7%  
49 1.3% 99.3%  
50 1.4% 98%  
51 7% 97%  
52 10% 90%  
53 10% 80%  
54 24% 70%  
55 8% 47%  
56 3% 38% Median
57 5% 35%  
58 6% 30%  
59 22% 24% Last Result
60 0.2% 2%  
61 2% 2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0.4% 99.7%  
46 2% 99.3%  
47 6% 97%  
48 7% 91%  
49 24% 84%  
50 7% 60%  
51 9% 53% Median
52 10% 44%  
53 5% 34%  
54 26% 29%  
55 2% 3% Last Result
56 0.5% 0.7%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.6%  
31 6% 95%  
32 7% 89%  
33 19% 82%  
34 8% 63%  
35 15% 55% Median
36 30% 41%  
37 7% 10%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations