Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 3–8 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.9% 30.5–36.4% 29.6–37.3%
Venstre 23.4% 18.9% 17.4–20.5% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.3% 5.5–9.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 56–63 56–63 55–65 53–67
Venstre 43 34 32–36 31–40 31–40 28–40
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 12–17 12–17 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 14 11–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–13 10–13 9–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–10 6–10 5–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.4% 100%  
53 0.5% 99.6%  
54 0.5% 99.0%  
55 3% 98%  
56 6% 96%  
57 18% 90%  
58 24% 71% Median
59 17% 48%  
60 12% 31%  
61 4% 19%  
62 4% 16%  
63 7% 12%  
64 2% 4%  
65 1.0% 3%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0.9% 1.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.4%  
30 1.5% 99.0%  
31 6% 98%  
32 21% 92%  
33 3% 71%  
34 32% 68% Median
35 16% 37%  
36 10% 20%  
37 3% 10%  
38 2% 7%  
39 0.5% 6%  
40 5% 5%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 24% 99.9%  
13 9% 76% Last Result
14 26% 68% Median
15 31% 42%  
16 5% 11%  
17 2% 6%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.9% 1.5%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 5% 99.7%  
13 6% 95%  
14 7% 89% Last Result
15 36% 82% Median
16 10% 46%  
17 34% 37%  
18 1.1% 2%  
19 1.1% 1.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.9%  
11 11% 98%  
12 7% 87%  
13 22% 81%  
14 19% 58% Median
15 16% 40%  
16 22% 23% Last Result
17 0.8% 1.2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 0.3% 99.7%  
10 3% 99.4%  
11 14% 97%  
12 13% 83% Last Result
13 45% 71% Median
14 15% 25%  
15 7% 10%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.2%  
10 25% 97%  
11 33% 72% Median
12 14% 39%  
13 22% 25%  
14 2% 3%  
15 1.2% 1.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100% Last Result
5 3% 99.8%  
6 4% 97%  
7 34% 92%  
8 43% 59% Median
9 5% 16%  
10 10% 10%  
11 0.4% 0.6%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100%  
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 40% 51% Last Result, Median
5 10% 11%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 102 100% 99–106 99–107 97–108 96–112
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 102 100% 99–106 99–107 97–108 96–112
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 39% 85–92 85–93 83–96 82–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 37% 85–92 85–93 83–95 82–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 89 21% 84–92 84–93 83–93 81–98
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 69–77 68–78 68–78 66–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 69 0% 64–71 64–72 63–74 61–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 69 0% 64–71 64–72 63–74 61–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 57–64 57–64 56–66 53–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 45–52 44–54 44–55 42–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 44–50 44–51 43–51 40–53
Venstre 43 34 0% 32–36 31–40 31–40 28–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.2% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.8%  
96 1.3% 99.6% Last Result
97 1.1% 98%  
98 1.0% 97%  
99 10% 96%  
100 1.0% 86%  
101 28% 85% Median
102 15% 57%  
103 3% 43%  
104 21% 39%  
105 4% 18%  
106 8% 14%  
107 2% 6%  
108 2% 4%  
109 1.0% 2%  
110 0.2% 1.2%  
111 0.4% 1.1%  
112 0.7% 0.7%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.2% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.8%  
96 1.5% 99.5%  
97 1.1% 98%  
98 1.0% 97%  
99 10% 96%  
100 2% 86%  
101 28% 83% Median
102 15% 55%  
103 3% 40%  
104 20% 38%  
105 4% 17%  
106 8% 14%  
107 2% 6%  
108 2% 4%  
109 1.0% 2%  
110 0.1% 1.1%  
111 0.3% 1.0%  
112 0.6% 0.7%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100% Last Result
81 0% 99.9%  
82 2% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 98%  
84 0.3% 97%  
85 21% 97%  
86 6% 76%  
87 3% 71% Median
88 22% 68%  
89 6% 46%  
90 2% 39% Majority
91 25% 37%  
92 6% 12%  
93 2% 7%  
94 1.0% 4%  
95 0.7% 3%  
96 0.8% 3%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.6% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 2% 99.9%  
83 0.6% 98%  
84 0.6% 97%  
85 21% 97%  
86 6% 76%  
87 3% 70% Median
88 23% 67%  
89 6% 44%  
90 2% 37% Majority
91 25% 35%  
92 4% 10%  
93 2% 6%  
94 0.9% 4%  
95 0.5% 3%  
96 0.8% 2%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.6%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.6%  
82 0.6% 99.4%  
83 1.4% 98.8%  
84 8% 97%  
85 7% 90%  
86 6% 83%  
87 7% 77% Median
88 15% 70%  
89 34% 55%  
90 7% 21% Majority
91 1.3% 13%  
92 3% 12%  
93 7% 9%  
94 1.1% 2%  
95 0.3% 1.1%  
96 0.1% 0.8%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.3%  
68 7% 98.7%  
69 3% 92%  
70 4% 89%  
71 19% 85%  
72 16% 65% Median
73 9% 50%  
74 21% 41%  
75 6% 19%  
76 3% 14%  
77 2% 11%  
78 7% 9%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.3% 1.2%  
81 0.6% 1.0%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.4% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 99.5%  
62 1.2% 99.4%  
63 1.3% 98%  
64 8% 97%  
65 3% 89%  
66 1.4% 85%  
67 25% 84%  
68 4% 59%  
69 16% 54%  
70 26% 38% Median
71 7% 12%  
72 1.1% 5%  
73 1.2% 4%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.3% 0.3%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.4% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 99.5%  
62 1.2% 99.4%  
63 1.3% 98%  
64 8% 97%  
65 3% 89%  
66 1.4% 85%  
67 25% 84%  
68 4% 59%  
69 16% 54%  
70 26% 38% Median
71 7% 12%  
72 1.1% 5%  
73 1.2% 4%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.3% 0.3%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 0.6% 99.5%  
55 0.7% 98.8%  
56 2% 98%  
57 15% 96%  
58 3% 81%  
59 16% 78%  
60 6% 62%  
61 4% 56%  
62 41% 53% Median
63 1.2% 12%  
64 7% 10%  
65 0.5% 4%  
66 3% 3%  
67 0.4% 0.8%  
68 0.3% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.3% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 1.0% 99.4%  
44 5% 98%  
45 9% 93%  
46 6% 84%  
47 4% 79%  
48 5% 75%  
49 25% 70%  
50 5% 44%  
51 28% 40% Median
52 2% 11%  
53 1.4% 10%  
54 5% 8%  
55 0.3% 3%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0.5% 0.6%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.4% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.4%  
42 0.5% 99.0%  
43 3% 98.5%  
44 6% 95%  
45 22% 90%  
46 8% 68%  
47 25% 60% Median
48 5% 35%  
49 18% 31%  
50 3% 12%  
51 8% 10%  
52 1.1% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.9%  
29 0.3% 99.4%  
30 1.5% 99.0%  
31 6% 98%  
32 21% 92%  
33 3% 71%  
34 32% 68% Median
35 16% 37%  
36 10% 20%  
37 3% 10%  
38 2% 7%  
39 0.5% 6%  
40 5% 5%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations