Opinion Poll by Voxmeter for Ritzau, 10–16 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.9% 31.1–34.8% 30.6–35.4% 30.1–35.8% 29.2–36.8%
Venstre 23.4% 17.8% 16.4–19.4% 15.9–19.9% 15.6–20.3% 14.9–21.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.5% 3.7–5.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.4–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 56–61 55–63 54–63 51–67
Venstre 43 31 28–34 28–35 27–35 27–37
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–16 12–16 12–17 11–20
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 12–16 12–17 12–17 10–19
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 12–14 11–15 10–16 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–10 6–10 6–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 5 3–7 3–7 0–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.6% 99.9%  
52 0.7% 99.3%  
53 0.7% 98.6%  
54 3% 98%  
55 4% 95%  
56 4% 91%  
57 17% 87%  
58 25% 71% Median
59 5% 46%  
60 29% 41%  
61 4% 12%  
62 3% 8%  
63 5% 6%  
64 0.3% 1.1%  
65 0.2% 0.8%  
66 0% 0.6%  
67 0.4% 0.6%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 3% 99.8%  
28 8% 97%  
29 2% 89%  
30 14% 87%  
31 31% 73% Median
32 8% 42%  
33 18% 34%  
34 11% 16%  
35 3% 6%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.7% 1.1%  
38 0% 0.4%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.6%  
12 24% 98%  
13 25% 74% Last Result, Median
14 9% 49%  
15 28% 40%  
16 9% 12%  
17 1.3% 4%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.6%  
20 0.5% 0.5%  
21 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.5%  
12 16% 98.6% Last Result
13 18% 82%  
14 11% 64%  
15 22% 53% Median
16 24% 30%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.6% 1.1%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.7%  
12 8% 97%  
13 34% 89%  
14 11% 55% Median
15 26% 44%  
16 15% 18% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 3% 99.8%  
11 7% 97%  
12 50% 90% Median
13 25% 41%  
14 9% 16% Last Result
15 4% 7%  
16 1.5% 3%  
17 0.9% 1.0%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9%  
10 3% 99.2%  
11 14% 96%  
12 27% 82%  
13 30% 55% Median
14 8% 25%  
15 16% 17%  
16 0.7% 0.9% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.3% 100%  
6 5% 99.7%  
7 11% 94%  
8 51% 83% Median
9 12% 32%  
10 16% 20%  
11 2% 4%  
12 1.1% 1.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 19% 97%  
4 24% 78% Last Result
5 31% 54% Median
6 12% 23%  
7 10% 11%  
8 0.8% 1.2%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 99 100% 97–102 96–103 95–105 93–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 99 100% 97–102 96–103 95–105 93–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 7% 83–89 82–90 81–91 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 85 7% 83–89 82–90 81–90 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 85 3% 83–88 81–89 81–90 79–93
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 72 0% 68–74 67–75 66–77 64–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 72 0% 68–74 67–75 66–77 64–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 70–75 68–76 67–76 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 60–65 59–67 58–69 56–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 48–54 47–54 46–56 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 46 0% 44–48 42–49 41–51 40–52
Venstre 43 31 0% 28–34 28–35 27–35 27–37

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.3% 99.9%  
93 1.0% 99.6%  
94 0.9% 98.6%  
95 1.4% 98%  
96 5% 96% Last Result
97 3% 91% Median
98 30% 89%  
99 38% 59%  
100 4% 21%  
101 5% 17%  
102 3% 12%  
103 5% 9%  
104 2% 4%  
105 2% 3%  
106 0.4% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100% Last Result
92 0.3% 99.9%  
93 1.0% 99.6%  
94 0.9% 98.6%  
95 1.4% 98%  
96 5% 96%  
97 3% 91% Median
98 30% 89%  
99 38% 59%  
100 4% 21%  
101 5% 17%  
102 3% 12%  
103 4% 9%  
104 2% 4%  
105 2% 3%  
106 0.4% 0.5%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.4%  
79 0.6% 99.4%  
80 0.5% 98.7% Last Result
81 0.7% 98%  
82 4% 97%  
83 16% 94% Median
84 25% 77%  
85 29% 52%  
86 7% 23%  
87 2% 16%  
88 3% 14%  
89 4% 11%  
90 5% 7% Majority
91 1.4% 3%  
92 0.2% 1.1%  
93 0.6% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.4%  
79 0.6% 99.4%  
80 0.6% 98.7%  
81 0.8% 98%  
82 4% 97%  
83 16% 93% Median
84 25% 77%  
85 29% 52%  
86 7% 23%  
87 2% 16%  
88 3% 14%  
89 4% 11%  
90 5% 7% Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.2% 1.1%  
93 0.6% 0.9%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
79 0.6% 99.7%  
80 1.2% 99.1%  
81 3% 98%  
82 3% 94%  
83 28% 92%  
84 7% 64% Median
85 8% 57%  
86 15% 50%  
87 23% 35%  
88 4% 12%  
89 6% 8%  
90 0.6% 3% Majority
91 1.3% 2%  
92 0.2% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.6%  
94 0.4% 0.4%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 1.2% 99.9%  
65 1.0% 98.7%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 4% 97%  
68 4% 94%  
69 2% 89%  
70 5% 87%  
71 25% 82%  
72 33% 57% Median
73 12% 24%  
74 7% 12%  
75 1.2% 5%  
76 0.9% 4%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.4% 1.3%  
79 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
80 0.7% 0.8%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 1.2% 99.9%  
65 1.0% 98.7%  
66 0.4% 98%  
67 4% 97%  
68 4% 94%  
69 2% 89%  
70 5% 87%  
71 25% 82%  
72 33% 57% Median
73 12% 24%  
74 7% 12%  
75 1.2% 5%  
76 0.9% 4%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.4% 1.3%  
79 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
80 0.7% 0.8%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 1.1% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.6%  
68 3% 97%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 92%  
71 28% 88%  
72 6% 60% Median
73 16% 54%  
74 8% 38%  
75 23% 30%  
76 5% 7%  
77 1.0% 2%  
78 0.1% 1.2%  
79 1.0% 1.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 1.1% 99.8%  
57 1.1% 98.7%  
58 1.5% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 4% 94%  
61 3% 90%  
62 18% 87%  
63 29% 69%  
64 16% 40% Median
65 16% 25%  
66 1.4% 8%  
67 3% 7%  
68 1.0% 4%  
69 1.5% 3%  
70 1.0% 1.2%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.8%  
45 0.6% 99.4%  
46 3% 98.8%  
47 4% 96%  
48 2% 91%  
49 17% 89%  
50 37% 72%  
51 12% 34% Median
52 2% 23%  
53 8% 21%  
54 10% 13%  
55 1.2% 4%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.4% 100%  
40 0.5% 99.6%  
41 4% 99.1%  
42 4% 95%  
43 1.3% 91%  
44 6% 90%  
45 33% 84%  
46 6% 52% Median
47 33% 46%  
48 7% 13%  
49 2% 6%  
50 0.9% 4%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.7% 1.1%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 3% 99.8%  
28 8% 97%  
29 2% 89%  
30 14% 87%  
31 31% 73% Median
32 8% 42%  
33 18% 34%  
34 11% 16%  
35 3% 6%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.7% 1.1%  
38 0% 0.4%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations