Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 17–23 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.3–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.4%
Venstre 23.4% 18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.9–22.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.3–3.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 57–61 56–61 55–63 53–66
Venstre 43 33 33–36 31–36 29–37 28–40
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 14–16 13–16 12–17 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–15 11–15 11–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 12–15 11–15 11–16 11–17
Radikale Venstre 16 15 13–15 13–16 12–17 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 7–10 7–10 7–10 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Klaus Riskær Pedersen 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.7% 99.6%  
54 0.7% 98.9%  
55 1.1% 98%  
56 5% 97%  
57 3% 92%  
58 3% 89%  
59 8% 86%  
60 27% 78%  
61 46% 51% Median
62 1.2% 4%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.3% 1.5%  
65 0.5% 1.2%  
66 0.2% 0.6%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0.3% 0.3%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.2% 99.9%  
29 2% 98.7%  
30 1.2% 97%  
31 1.3% 96%  
32 3% 95%  
33 48% 91% Median
34 8% 44%  
35 8% 36%  
36 25% 28%  
37 1.4% 4%  
38 0.3% 2%  
39 0.5% 2%  
40 1.3% 1.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.7%  
12 3% 98.6% Last Result
13 4% 96%  
14 56% 92% Median
15 20% 37%  
16 13% 16%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.1% 2%  
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 47% 99.9%  
12 11% 53% Median
13 25% 42% Last Result
14 3% 17%  
15 10% 14%  
16 0.4% 4%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.3%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.2% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.6%  
12 8% 94%  
13 23% 86%  
14 11% 63% Last Result
15 47% 51% Median
16 3% 4%  
17 1.1% 1.4%  
18 0.1% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.7%  
12 2% 98%  
13 14% 96%  
14 24% 82%  
15 50% 58% Median
16 5% 8% Last Result
17 1.2% 3%  
18 1.3% 1.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.4% 100%  
10 1.5% 98.6%  
11 47% 97%  
12 20% 50% Median
13 12% 30%  
14 5% 19%  
15 10% 14%  
16 4% 4% Last Result
17 0.5% 0.5%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.3% 100%  
6 0.8% 99.7%  
7 22% 98.9%  
8 21% 76%  
9 7% 56% Median
10 47% 49%  
11 0.8% 2%  
12 1.2% 1.3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 0% 74%  
2 0% 74%  
3 0% 74%  
4 13% 74% Last Result
5 49% 61% Median
6 11% 11%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Klaus Riskær Pedersen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Klaus Riskær Pedersen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 102 100% 98–102 96–104 95–106 93–108
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 102 100% 98–102 96–104 95–106 93–108
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 90 52% 84–91 82–91 82–91 79–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 5% 84–87 81–89 81–90 80–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 5% 84–87 81–89 81–90 80–94
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 76 0% 71–76 70–76 69–78 66–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 71–76 70–77 67–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 71–76 70–77 67–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen 79 73 0% 71–76 70–77 67–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 71–76 70–77 67–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 71–76 70–77 67–78 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 63–69 61–70 59–70 58–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 63–69 61–70 59–70 58–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 50–56 48–56 46–56 44–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 47–51 45–51 44–53 41–55
Venstre 43 33 0% 33–36 31–36 29–37 28–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.4% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.5%  
95 4% 99.3%  
96 1.3% 95% Last Result
97 1.2% 94%  
98 9% 93%  
99 6% 84%  
100 19% 78%  
101 2% 58%  
102 51% 57%  
103 0.6% 6% Median
104 1.1% 5%  
105 1.2% 4%  
106 0.7% 3%  
107 0.4% 2%  
108 2% 2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.4% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.5%  
95 4% 99.3%  
96 1.3% 95%  
97 1.2% 94%  
98 9% 93%  
99 6% 84%  
100 19% 78%  
101 2% 58%  
102 51% 57%  
103 0.6% 6% Median
104 1.1% 5%  
105 1.2% 4%  
106 0.7% 3%  
107 0.4% 2%  
108 2% 2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9% Last Result
79 0.4% 99.8%  
80 0.3% 99.5%  
81 0.7% 99.1%  
82 4% 98%  
83 1.3% 94%  
84 8% 93%  
85 3% 85%  
86 8% 83%  
87 20% 75%  
88 1.4% 55%  
89 2% 53%  
90 4% 52% Majority
91 46% 48% Median
92 0.1% 2%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 0% 2%  
95 0.3% 2%  
96 0% 1.2%  
97 1.2% 1.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
81 4% 99.3%  
82 1.0% 95%  
83 2% 94%  
84 2% 92%  
85 7% 90%  
86 26% 83%  
87 50% 57%  
88 1.1% 7% Median
89 1.4% 6%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 0.3% 2%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 1.0% 1.5%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0.3% 0.3%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.7%  
81 4% 99.3%  
82 1.0% 95%  
83 2% 94%  
84 2% 92%  
85 7% 90%  
86 26% 83%  
87 50% 57%  
88 1.1% 7% Median
89 1.4% 6%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 0.3% 2%  
92 0.7% 2%  
93 1.0% 1.5%  
94 0.2% 0.5%  
95 0% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.3%  
97 0.3% 0.3%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100% Last Result
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.5%  
67 0.3% 99.0%  
68 0.8% 98.7%  
69 2% 98%  
70 5% 96%  
71 2% 91%  
72 9% 89%  
73 7% 81%  
74 19% 74%  
75 2% 55%  
76 49% 53% Median
77 1.1% 4%  
78 0.8% 3%  
79 0.4% 2%  
80 0.1% 2%  
81 1.4% 1.4%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Stram Kurs – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 1.2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 0.5% 97%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 18% 94%  
72 2% 76%  
73 53% 75% Median
74 2% 22%  
75 2% 20%  
76 10% 18%  
77 6% 9%  
78 0.9% 3%  
79 1.1% 2% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 1.2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 0.5% 97%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 18% 94%  
72 2% 76%  
73 53% 75% Median
74 2% 22%  
75 2% 20%  
76 10% 18%  
77 6% 9%  
78 0.9% 3%  
79 1.1% 2% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Klaus Riskær Pedersen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 1.2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 0.5% 97%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 18% 94%  
72 2% 76%  
73 53% 75% Median
74 2% 22%  
75 2% 20%  
76 10% 18%  
77 6% 9%  
78 0.9% 3%  
79 1.1% 2% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 1.2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 0.5% 97%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 18% 94%  
72 2% 76%  
73 53% 75% Median
74 2% 22%  
75 2% 20%  
76 10% 18%  
77 6% 9%  
78 0.9% 3%  
79 1.1% 2% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 1.2% 99.7%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 0.5% 97%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 18% 94%  
72 2% 76%  
73 53% 75% Median
74 2% 22%  
75 2% 20%  
76 10% 18%  
77 6% 9%  
78 0.9% 3%  
79 1.1% 2% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 1.4% 99.7%  
59 2% 98%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 2% 96%  
62 1.2% 95%  
63 63% 93%  
64 5% 31% Median
65 0.8% 25%  
66 5% 25%  
67 1.5% 20%  
68 1.4% 18%  
69 10% 17%  
70 7% 7%  
71 0.3% 0.6%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 1.4% 99.7%  
59 2% 98%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 2% 96%  
62 1.2% 95%  
63 63% 93%  
64 5% 31% Median
65 0.8% 25%  
66 5% 25%  
67 1.5% 20%  
68 1.4% 18%  
69 10% 17%  
70 7% 7%  
71 0.3% 0.6%  
72 0.2% 0.4%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 1.0% 100%  
45 0% 99.0%  
46 2% 99.0%  
47 0.2% 97%  
48 2% 97%  
49 2% 95%  
50 7% 92%  
51 18% 86%  
52 46% 68% Median
53 2% 21%  
54 1.4% 20%  
55 7% 18%  
56 9% 12%  
57 0.5% 2%  
58 0.5% 2%  
59 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.5% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.4%  
43 1.5% 99.4%  
44 2% 98%  
45 3% 96%  
46 2% 93%  
47 46% 90% Median
48 1.3% 44%  
49 1.1% 43%  
50 15% 42%  
51 23% 27%  
52 0.7% 4%  
53 1.2% 3%  
54 0.5% 2%  
55 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 1.2% 99.9%  
29 2% 98.7%  
30 1.2% 97%  
31 1.3% 96%  
32 3% 95%  
33 48% 91% Median
34 8% 44%  
35 8% 36%  
36 25% 28%  
37 1.4% 4%  
38 0.3% 2%  
39 0.5% 2%  
40 1.3% 1.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations