Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 24–30 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.3% 30.5–34.2% 30.0–34.8% 29.5–35.3% 28.7–36.2%
Venstre 23.4% 19.4% 17.9–21.1% 17.5–21.6% 17.1–22.0% 16.4–22.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 62 55–62 55–63 55–63 51–63
Venstre 43 35 34–36 33–37 33–37 31–39
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 14–15 14–16 14–18 13–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–16 12–16 12–16 12–17
Radikale Venstre 16 13 12–13 12–13 11–14 11–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 12–14 12–15 12–16 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–9 7–9 7–10 6–11
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4 4 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.6% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.3%  
53 0.1% 99.1%  
54 0.5% 99.0%  
55 11% 98%  
56 0.7% 87%  
57 1.4% 87%  
58 5% 85%  
59 0.7% 80%  
60 0.8% 79%  
61 0.2% 78%  
62 72% 78% Median
63 6% 6%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.5%  
32 1.2% 99.0%  
33 6% 98%  
34 2% 91%  
35 73% 89% Median
36 11% 16%  
37 4% 6%  
38 0.4% 2%  
39 0.7% 1.2%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.2% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
13 0.6% 99.7%  
14 77% 99.1% Median
15 16% 22%  
16 2% 6%  
17 0.7% 4%  
18 2% 3%  
19 1.0% 1.4%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 6% 99.6%  
13 1.2% 93%  
14 6% 92% Last Result
15 75% 86% Median
16 10% 11%  
17 0.9% 1.3%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 4% 99.9%  
12 8% 96%  
13 83% 88% Median
14 2% 5%  
15 1.1% 2%  
16 0.8% 1.2% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 0.4% 99.6%  
12 73% 99.2% Median
13 8% 26%  
14 15% 18%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.3% 1.1% Last Result
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 0.9% 99.3%  
12 73% 98% Median
13 10% 25% Last Result
14 8% 15%  
15 2% 7%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.0% 1.2%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 1.4% 99.9%  
7 6% 98%  
8 74% 93% Median
9 16% 19%  
10 1.0% 3%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 93% 95% Last Result, Median
5 2% 3%  
6 0.5% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0.5% 2%  
4 1.3% 2%  
5 0.6% 0.7%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 102 100% 97–102 97–102 95–102 93–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 102 100% 97–102 97–102 95–102 93–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 90 72% 84–90 83–90 82–90 79–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 89 1.4% 84–89 84–89 83–89 80–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 89 1.4% 84–89 84–89 83–89 80–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 73–78 73–78 73–80 71–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 73–78 73–78 73–78 69–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 75 0% 68–75 68–75 68–75 64–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 65–69 65–69 65–70 63–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 65–69 65–69 64–69 61–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 53–55 52–55 52–55 47–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 49–51 48–51 48–53 46–55
Venstre 43 35 0% 34–36 33–37 33–37 31–39

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.7% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.1%  
95 2% 98.8%  
96 0.5% 97% Last Result
97 10% 97%  
98 0.5% 87%  
99 5% 86%  
100 2% 82%  
101 6% 80%  
102 73% 74% Median
103 0.4% 0.9%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0% 99.9% Last Result
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.7% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.1%  
95 2% 98.8%  
96 0.5% 97%  
97 10% 97%  
98 0.5% 87%  
99 5% 86%  
100 2% 82%  
101 6% 80%  
102 73% 74% Median
103 0.4% 0.9%  
104 0.1% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100% Last Result
79 0.6% 99.9%  
80 1.0% 99.3%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 0.3% 98%  
83 4% 97%  
84 10% 94%  
85 3% 84%  
86 0.5% 81%  
87 7% 81%  
88 0.2% 74%  
89 1.2% 74%  
90 72% 72% Median, Majority
91 0.1% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 1.0% 99.7% Last Result
81 0.6% 98.7%  
82 0.5% 98%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 10% 97%  
85 1.3% 86%  
86 0.8% 85%  
87 0.8% 84%  
88 4% 83%  
89 78% 79% Median
90 0.9% 1.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 1.0% 99.7%  
81 0.6% 98.7%  
82 0.5% 98%  
83 1.1% 98%  
84 10% 97%  
85 1.3% 86%  
86 0.8% 85%  
87 0.8% 84%  
88 4% 83%  
89 78% 79% Median
90 0.9% 1.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.5%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.6%  
72 0.4% 99.4%  
73 73% 99.1% Median
74 6% 26%  
75 2% 20%  
76 5% 18%  
77 0.5% 13%  
78 10% 13%  
79 0.5% 3% Last Result
80 2% 3%  
81 0.2% 1.1%  
82 0.7% 0.9%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.2% 99.2%  
72 0.6% 99.0%  
73 73% 98% Median
74 6% 25%  
75 2% 19%  
76 5% 17%  
77 0.5% 13%  
78 10% 12%  
79 0.8% 2% Last Result
80 1.1% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.5% 100% Last Result
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 0.9% 99.3%  
67 0.7% 98%  
68 10% 98%  
69 3% 88%  
70 3% 85%  
71 1.5% 82%  
72 0.8% 81%  
73 0.6% 80%  
74 0.7% 79%  
75 78% 79% Median
76 0.6% 0.8%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.4% 99.6%  
64 1.1% 99.2%  
65 78% 98% Median
66 2% 20%  
67 1.0% 19%  
68 0.8% 18%  
69 14% 17%  
70 0.4% 3%  
71 0.4% 2%  
72 0.3% 2%  
73 0.5% 2%  
74 0.9% 1.1%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.2% 99.6%  
62 0.1% 99.4%  
63 0.6% 99.2%  
64 1.2% 98.7%  
65 78% 97% Median
66 1.5% 20%  
67 0.8% 18%  
68 0.8% 17%  
69 15% 17%  
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.8% 1.4%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 0.4% 99.5%  
49 0.1% 99.1%  
50 1.1% 99.0%  
51 0.2% 98%  
52 6% 98%  
53 73% 92% Median
54 3% 18%  
55 14% 16%  
56 0.5% 2%  
57 0.2% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.8%  
59 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 0.2% 99.6%  
47 0.2% 99.3%  
48 6% 99.1%  
49 73% 93% Median
50 3% 20%  
51 13% 17%  
52 0.7% 4%  
53 1.2% 3%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
56 0.3% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.5%  
32 1.2% 99.0%  
33 6% 98%  
34 2% 91%  
35 73% 89% Median
36 11% 16%  
37 4% 6%  
38 0.4% 2%  
39 0.7% 1.2%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.2% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations