Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 31 August–1 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
Venstre 23.4% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 56–64 55–65 54–66 53–66
Venstre 43 34 32–40 31–40 31–42 30–43
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–17 13–18 11–19 11–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–17 12–18 11–18 11–19
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 14 12–16 12–17 11–17 10–19
Radikale Venstre 16 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–14 9–14 8–14 7–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–11
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 4% 99.2%  
55 1.5% 96%  
56 10% 94%  
57 4% 85%  
58 8% 80%  
59 30% 73% Median
60 8% 43%  
61 12% 35%  
62 10% 23%  
63 2% 12%  
64 5% 10%  
65 2% 6%  
66 4% 4%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 1.5% 99.8%  
31 7% 98%  
32 2% 91%  
33 31% 89%  
34 13% 58% Median
35 3% 44%  
36 11% 41%  
37 3% 30%  
38 8% 27%  
39 6% 19%  
40 9% 13%  
41 0.8% 4%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 2% 99.8%  
12 2% 97%  
13 15% 95%  
14 10% 80% Last Result
15 19% 71%  
16 41% 52% Median
17 5% 10%  
18 3% 5%  
19 0.8% 3%  
20 0.5% 2%  
21 1.3% 1.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.5%  
12 34% 96%  
13 11% 62% Last Result
14 17% 51% Median
15 18% 34%  
16 4% 15%  
17 3% 12%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.8%  
11 2% 99.0%  
12 17% 97% Last Result
13 12% 80%  
14 45% 69% Median
15 14% 24%  
16 3% 10%  
17 6% 7%  
18 1.0% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 6% 98%  
11 17% 92%  
12 16% 75%  
13 38% 59% Median
14 6% 22%  
15 10% 16%  
16 6% 6% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.3% 100%  
8 1.5% 98.7%  
9 13% 97%  
10 30% 84%  
11 7% 54% Median
12 17% 47%  
13 6% 30%  
14 23% 24%  
15 0.7% 0.7%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.3% 100%  
6 2% 99.7%  
7 10% 98%  
8 19% 88%  
9 25% 69% Median
10 34% 43%  
11 9% 9%  
12 0.2% 0.4%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0.3% 78%  
4 42% 78% Last Result, Median
5 24% 36%  
6 11% 12%  
7 1.1% 1.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 14% 16%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 101 100% 97–106 96–106 96–107 92–108
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 101 100% 97–106 96–106 96–107 92–108
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 88 33% 84–93 84–95 84–96 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 88 33% 84–93 84–95 84–96 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 88 13% 83–91 82–93 82–93 77–95
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 74 0% 69–78 69–79 68–79 67–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 69–76 68–78 66–78 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 68–76 67–77 66–77 64–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 60–69 60–72 59–72 58–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 60–68 59–68 58–69 56–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 50–57 49–58 48–59 45–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 45–53 45–54 45–54 42–57
Venstre 43 34 0% 32–40 31–40 31–42 30–43

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.8% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.5% 99.1%  
95 0.5% 98.6%  
96 4% 98% Last Result
97 8% 94%  
98 1.4% 86%  
99 3% 85%  
100 30% 81%  
101 12% 52%  
102 8% 39% Median
103 4% 31%  
104 11% 28%  
105 5% 17%  
106 8% 12%  
107 3% 4%  
108 0.6% 1.0%  
109 0.3% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.8% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.5% 99.1%  
95 0.5% 98.6%  
96 4% 98%  
97 8% 94%  
98 1.4% 86%  
99 3% 85%  
100 30% 81%  
101 12% 52%  
102 8% 39% Median
103 4% 31%  
104 11% 28%  
105 5% 17%  
106 8% 12%  
107 3% 4%  
108 0.6% 1.0%  
109 0.3% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9% Last Result
81 1.1% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 98.8%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 8% 98%  
85 4% 90%  
86 6% 86%  
87 30% 80%  
88 7% 51%  
89 11% 44% Median
90 5% 33% Majority
91 9% 28%  
92 2% 19%  
93 12% 17%  
94 0.3% 5%  
95 2% 5%  
96 3% 4%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 1.1% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 98.8%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 8% 98%  
85 4% 90%  
86 6% 86%  
87 30% 80%  
88 7% 51%  
89 11% 44% Median
90 5% 33% Majority
91 9% 28%  
92 2% 19%  
93 12% 17%  
94 0.3% 5%  
95 2% 5%  
96 3% 4%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.8% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.2% Last Result
79 0.2% 99.0%  
80 0.3% 98.8%  
81 0.9% 98%  
82 6% 98%  
83 5% 92%  
84 2% 87%  
85 3% 85%  
86 7% 82%  
87 10% 74%  
88 38% 64% Median
89 13% 26%  
90 2% 13% Majority
91 4% 11%  
92 0.9% 7%  
93 4% 6%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.8% 1.0%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 3% 99.0%  
69 8% 96%  
70 5% 88%  
71 11% 83%  
72 4% 72% Median
73 8% 69%  
74 12% 61%  
75 30% 48%  
76 3% 19%  
77 1.4% 15%  
78 8% 14%  
79 4% 6% Last Result
80 0.5% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.4%  
82 0.1% 0.9%  
83 0.8% 0.8%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 3% 99.8%  
67 1.1% 97%  
68 3% 96%  
69 8% 93%  
70 3% 85%  
71 13% 81%  
72 5% 68% Median
73 8% 63%  
74 14% 55%  
75 31% 41%  
76 2% 11%  
77 1.2% 9%  
78 6% 8%  
79 1.2% 2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.7%  
81 0.5% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
65 1.1% 99.5%  
66 3% 98%  
67 0.8% 96%  
68 5% 95%  
69 4% 89%  
70 5% 85%  
71 7% 81%  
72 31% 74% Median
73 15% 43%  
74 9% 28%  
75 5% 18%  
76 7% 13%  
77 3% 6%  
78 2% 2%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 1.1% 99.6%  
59 3% 98.5%  
60 7% 95%  
61 3% 88%  
62 6% 85%  
63 13% 79% Median
64 9% 66%  
65 30% 58%  
66 7% 28%  
67 4% 22%  
68 6% 18%  
69 5% 12%  
70 2% 8%  
71 0.8% 6%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.4% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 1.2% 100%  
57 0.2% 98.7%  
58 2% 98%  
59 5% 97%  
60 7% 92%  
61 3% 85%  
62 7% 83%  
63 13% 75% Median
64 9% 62%  
65 30% 53%  
66 6% 23%  
67 3% 17%  
68 9% 13%  
69 3% 5%  
70 0.2% 1.2%  
71 0.4% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.3% 0.4%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.9% 100%  
46 0.4% 99.1%  
47 0.3% 98.7%  
48 1.4% 98%  
49 5% 97%  
50 7% 92%  
51 32% 84%  
52 14% 53% Median
53 5% 39%  
54 7% 34%  
55 7% 27%  
56 6% 20%  
57 6% 14%  
58 4% 8%  
59 3% 4% Last Result
60 0.6% 0.9%  
61 0% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.7% 100%  
43 0.4% 99.3%  
44 0.3% 98.9%  
45 14% 98.7%  
46 2% 84%  
47 25% 83%  
48 7% 58% Median
49 10% 51%  
50 4% 41%  
51 11% 37%  
52 8% 26%  
53 11% 18%  
54 5% 7%  
55 0.6% 2% Last Result
56 0.8% 2%  
57 0.6% 0.7%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 1.5% 99.8%  
31 7% 98%  
32 2% 91%  
33 31% 89%  
34 13% 58% Median
35 3% 44%  
36 11% 41%  
37 3% 30%  
38 8% 27%  
39 6% 19%  
40 9% 13%  
41 0.8% 4%  
42 2% 3%  
43 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations