Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 31 August–6 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
Venstre 23.4% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.3–23.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 59–60 57–60 57–62 54–65
Venstre 43 34 34–36 33–38 33–39 31–42
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 16 14–17 14–18 13–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–15 12–15 12–16 11–18
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 16 14–16 13–16 12–16 11–16
Radikale Venstre 16 12 12 11–13 10–14 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–11 10–13 9–14 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–9 8–10 7–10 7–12
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4 4–5 3–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.4% 100%  
54 1.3% 99.5%  
55 0.4% 98%  
56 0.1% 98%  
57 3% 98%  
58 3% 95%  
59 5% 92%  
60 83% 87% Median
61 1.1% 4%  
62 0.6% 3%  
63 0.6% 2%  
64 0.3% 2%  
65 1.4% 1.4%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.2% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.8%  
32 0.6% 99.5%  
33 4% 98.8%  
34 79% 95% Median
35 2% 16%  
36 7% 14%  
37 1.2% 7%  
38 3% 6%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.5% 2%  
41 0.4% 1.1%  
42 0.6% 0.7%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 1.2% 99.6%  
14 3% 98% Last Result
15 1.5% 95%  
16 86% 93% Median
17 3% 7%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.2% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 9% 99.1%  
13 5% 90% Last Result
14 3% 85%  
15 79% 82% Median
16 1.0% 3%  
17 0.7% 2%  
18 0.9% 1.2%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 2% 98% Last Result
13 2% 95%  
14 7% 93%  
15 4% 86%  
16 82% 83% Median
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 4% 99.8%  
11 5% 96%  
12 82% 91% Median
13 5% 9%  
14 3% 5%  
15 1.5% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 2% 99.7%  
9 2% 98%  
10 83% 96% Median
11 3% 13%  
12 4% 10%  
13 2% 6%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.7%  
8 82% 96% Median
9 7% 14%  
10 5% 7%  
11 0.5% 2%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0.1% 98%  
4 88% 97% Last Result, Median
5 6% 9%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 103 100% 100–103 99–103 98–105 95–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 103 100% 100–103 99–103 98–105 95–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 91 86% 88–91 87–91 85–92 83–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 91 86% 88–91 87–91 85–92 83–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 88 3% 88 85–88 84–91 80–93
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 72 0% 72–75 72–76 70–77 69–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 72 0% 72–75 72–76 70–77 69–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 71–72 70–72 69–75 65–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 64–66 62–68 62–70 60–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 64–66 62–68 62–69 60–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 54–56 51–56 50–58 48–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 49–51 47–52 47–53 45–56
Venstre 43 34 0% 34–36 33–38 33–39 31–42

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.4% 99.7%  
96 1.3% 99.3% Last Result
97 0.2% 98%  
98 2% 98%  
99 2% 96%  
100 8% 93%  
101 3% 85%  
102 0.2% 83%  
103 79% 83% Median
104 0.5% 4%  
105 1.4% 3%  
106 2% 2%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.4% 99.7%  
96 1.3% 99.3%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 2% 98%  
99 2% 96%  
100 8% 93%  
101 3% 85%  
102 0.2% 83%  
103 79% 83% Median
104 0.5% 4%  
105 1.4% 3%  
106 2% 2%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 2% 99.4%  
85 0.9% 98%  
86 1.5% 97%  
87 5% 95%  
88 3% 91%  
89 2% 88%  
90 4% 86% Majority
91 80% 82% Median
92 0.4% 3%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.7%  
84 2% 99.4%  
85 0.9% 98%  
86 1.5% 97%  
87 5% 95%  
88 3% 91%  
89 2% 88%  
90 4% 86% Majority
91 80% 82% Median
92 0.4% 3%  
93 0.6% 2%  
94 1.3% 2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.2% 100% Last Result
79 0% 99.8%  
80 0.6% 99.8%  
81 0.8% 99.2%  
82 0.1% 98%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 1.1% 98%  
85 3% 97%  
86 1.1% 94%  
87 3% 93%  
88 86% 90% Median
89 2% 5%  
90 0.1% 3% Majority
91 0.2% 3%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 2% 99.8%  
70 1.4% 98%  
71 0.5% 97%  
72 79% 96% Median
73 0.2% 17%  
74 3% 17%  
75 8% 15%  
76 2% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 1.3% 2% Last Result
80 0.4% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 2% 99.7%  
70 1.4% 98%  
71 0.8% 97%  
72 79% 96% Median
73 0.4% 17%  
74 2% 16%  
75 8% 14%  
76 2% 6%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.2% 1.2%  
79 0.7% 1.0% Last Result
80 0.3% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0% 99.8% Last Result
65 0.6% 99.8%  
66 1.0% 99.2%  
67 0.2% 98%  
68 0.4% 98%  
69 2% 98%  
70 5% 95%  
71 3% 91%  
72 83% 88% Median
73 0.8% 5%  
74 1.1% 4%  
75 0.5% 3%  
76 2% 2%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.3% 0.3%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.9% 99.7%  
61 0.9% 98.8%  
62 3% 98%  
63 0.4% 95%  
64 79% 94% Median
65 3% 16%  
66 5% 12%  
67 0.7% 7%  
68 3% 7%  
69 0.8% 4%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.6%  
73 0.4% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 1.0% 99.6%  
61 1.0% 98.6%  
62 3% 98%  
63 0.6% 94%  
64 79% 94% Median
65 3% 15%  
66 6% 12%  
67 0.7% 6%  
68 2% 5%  
69 1.0% 3%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0% 0.3%  
72 0% 0.3%  
73 0.2% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.6%  
49 1.3% 99.5%  
50 0.8% 98%  
51 5% 97%  
52 0.5% 92%  
53 2% 92%  
54 79% 90% Median
55 0.2% 11%  
56 5% 10%  
57 0.7% 5%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.9% 2% Last Result
60 0.7% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 99.9%  
46 0.4% 99.2%  
47 6% 98.8%  
48 1.1% 93%  
49 2% 92%  
50 79% 90% Median
51 2% 11%  
52 5% 9%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.4% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.2% Last Result
56 0.6% 0.7%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.2% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.8%  
32 0.6% 99.5%  
33 4% 98.8%  
34 79% 95% Median
35 2% 16%  
36 7% 14%  
37 1.2% 7%  
38 3% 6%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.5% 2%  
41 0.4% 1.1%  
42 0.6% 0.7%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations