Opinion Poll by Epinion, 1–8 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.2% 31.7–34.7% 31.3–35.2% 31.0–35.5% 30.3–36.3%
Venstre 23.4% 17.2% 16.0–18.4% 15.7–18.8% 15.4–19.1% 14.9–19.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.7% 7.9–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.2% 7.1–10.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.1% 6.4–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 6.0–8.5% 5.6–8.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.2% 5.5–7.0% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.1–3.1% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 57–63 56–64 56–64 55–65
Venstre 43 32 29–33 29–34 28–35 28–35
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 16 14–17 13–17 12–18 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 13 12–14 11–16 11–16 11–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–14 11–15 10–15 10–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 10–14 10–14 10–14 10–15
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 10–13 9–13 9–13 9–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.9% 99.8%  
56 7% 98.9%  
57 7% 92%  
58 30% 84%  
59 7% 55% Median
60 9% 48%  
61 4% 39%  
62 22% 34%  
63 6% 13%  
64 6% 6%  
65 0.5% 0.7%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.2%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.5%  
29 22% 97%  
30 5% 75%  
31 11% 70%  
32 26% 59% Median
33 27% 33%  
34 2% 6%  
35 4% 5%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 3% 100% Last Result
13 2% 97%  
14 24% 94%  
15 16% 70%  
16 32% 54% Median
17 19% 22%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.9%  
20 0.6% 0.6%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 8% 99.8%  
12 15% 92%  
13 57% 77% Median
14 14% 20%  
15 1.0% 6%  
16 5% 5% Last Result
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 4% 99.9%  
11 14% 96%  
12 42% 82% Median
13 26% 40%  
14 8% 14%  
15 6% 6%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 16% 99.6%  
11 33% 84%  
12 26% 51% Median
13 13% 25%  
14 11% 12% Last Result
15 0.9% 1.3%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 6% 99.7%  
10 13% 94%  
11 11% 81%  
12 33% 70% Median
13 36% 37% Last Result
14 0.4% 1.3%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.4% 100%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 33% 97%  
11 24% 64% Median
12 26% 40%  
13 13% 14%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 25% 94% Last Result
5 56% 69% Median
6 13% 13%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 50% 83% Median
5 27% 33%  
6 5% 5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 97 100% 93–99 93–100 92–101 91–102
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 97 100% 93–99 93–100 92–101 91–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 0.2% 80–86 80–87 80–88 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 83 0.2% 80–86 80–87 80–88 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 85 0.6% 81–88 81–88 80–88 80–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 76–82 75–82 74–83 73–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 72–78 72–78 71–79 70–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 70–75 69–76 69–76 68–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 67 0% 65–70 64–71 62–71 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 62–67 61–67 60–67 57–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 48–55 47–55 47–55 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 45–49 44–50 44–50 42–52
Venstre 43 32 0% 29–33 29–34 28–35 28–35

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 1.4% 99.9%  
92 3% 98.5%  
93 15% 95%  
94 15% 81%  
95 2% 66%  
96 10% 64% Last Result, Median
97 14% 54%  
98 16% 40%  
99 19% 24%  
100 2% 5%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.7% 1.0%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 1.4% 99.9% Last Result
92 3% 98.5%  
93 15% 95%  
94 15% 81%  
95 2% 66%  
96 10% 64% Median
97 14% 54%  
98 16% 40%  
99 19% 24%  
100 2% 5%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.7% 1.0%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 1.3% 99.4%  
80 22% 98% Last Result
81 14% 76%  
82 2% 61%  
83 12% 60% Median
84 8% 48%  
85 5% 40%  
86 28% 35%  
87 5% 8%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.4% 99.8%  
79 1.3% 99.4%  
80 22% 98%  
81 14% 76%  
82 2% 61%  
83 12% 60% Median
84 8% 48%  
85 5% 40%  
86 28% 35%  
87 5% 7%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 3% 99.8%  
81 19% 97%  
82 8% 78%  
83 4% 70%  
84 13% 66% Median
85 3% 53%  
86 32% 49%  
87 4% 17%  
88 11% 13%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.3% 0.6% Majority
91 0% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.7% 99.7%  
74 2% 99.0%  
75 2% 97%  
76 19% 95%  
77 16% 76%  
78 14% 60%  
79 10% 46% Last Result
80 2% 36% Median
81 15% 34%  
82 15% 19%  
83 3% 5%  
84 1.4% 1.5%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 2% 99.7%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 20% 97%  
73 12% 77%  
74 11% 65%  
75 8% 54%  
76 1.2% 45% Median
77 29% 44%  
78 11% 15%  
79 3% 4% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.7%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 1.5% 99.8%  
69 8% 98%  
70 3% 91%  
71 23% 87%  
72 19% 65% Median
73 7% 45%  
74 3% 39%  
75 29% 36%  
76 6% 7%  
77 1.2% 2%  
78 0.3% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.6% 100%  
61 0.4% 99.4%  
62 2% 99.0%  
63 0.6% 97%  
64 1.5% 96%  
65 5% 95%  
66 27% 89%  
67 17% 63%  
68 16% 46%  
69 5% 30% Median
70 16% 25%  
71 7% 9%  
72 1.0% 2%  
73 0.5% 0.9%  
74 0.4% 0.4%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.7% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.3%  
59 0.8% 98.9%  
60 2% 98%  
61 1.5% 96%  
62 27% 95%  
63 14% 67%  
64 12% 53%  
65 22% 41% Median
66 6% 19%  
67 11% 13%  
68 1.1% 2%  
69 0.2% 0.6%  
70 0.4% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.6% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.4%  
46 0.4% 99.3%  
47 5% 98.9%  
48 5% 94%  
49 2% 89%  
50 29% 87%  
51 9% 58%  
52 13% 49%  
53 18% 36% Median
54 6% 19%  
55 11% 13%  
56 1.4% 2%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 1.3% 99.8%  
43 0.5% 98%  
44 6% 98%  
45 19% 92%  
46 18% 73%  
47 18% 55%  
48 14% 37% Median
49 15% 23%  
50 6% 8%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.5%  
29 22% 97%  
30 5% 75%  
31 11% 70%  
32 26% 59% Median
33 27% 33%  
34 2% 6%  
35 4% 5%  
36 0.2% 0.2%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations