Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–12 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.6% 30.9–34.5% 30.4–35.0% 29.9–35.5% 29.1–36.4%
Venstre 23.4% 19.9% 18.4–21.5% 18.0–22.0% 17.6–22.4% 16.9–23.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.8–11.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.5–9.7% 6.1–10.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.3–9.5% 5.9–10.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.9–9.0% 5.5–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–7.8% 4.6–8.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 56–64 55–64 53–65 52–66
Venstre 43 36 33–39 32–39 31–39 31–42
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 14–18 13–19 13–20 12–20
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 13–16 12–18 12–18 10–18
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–16 11–16 10–16 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 8–13 8–14 8–14 7–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–9 7–10 6–10 5–12
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 1.1% 99.8%  
53 2% 98.7%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 0.9% 96%  
56 28% 95%  
57 7% 67%  
58 9% 59%  
59 13% 51% Median
60 18% 38%  
61 3% 20%  
62 6% 16%  
63 0.4% 11%  
64 8% 10%  
65 1.1% 3%  
66 1.3% 1.5%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.7%  
32 3% 97%  
33 6% 94%  
34 5% 88%  
35 8% 83%  
36 27% 74% Median
37 4% 47%  
38 11% 43%  
39 30% 32%  
40 0.2% 2%  
41 0.8% 2%  
42 1.1% 1.3%  
43 0% 0.2% Last Result
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.8% 100%  
13 5% 99.2%  
14 11% 94% Last Result
15 22% 83%  
16 7% 61%  
17 22% 53% Median
18 24% 32%  
19 4% 7%  
20 4% 4%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.5%  
12 6% 98.8% Last Result
13 11% 93%  
14 4% 82%  
15 58% 78% Median
16 12% 20%  
17 2% 8%  
18 5% 6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 2% 99.6%  
12 7% 97%  
13 17% 90%  
14 32% 73% Median
15 30% 41%  
16 6% 11% Last Result
17 4% 5%  
18 0.5% 1.0%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 3% 99.8%  
11 4% 97%  
12 27% 92%  
13 29% 66% Last Result, Median
14 8% 37%  
15 16% 29%  
16 11% 13%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 22% 99.4%  
9 2% 77%  
10 15% 75%  
11 18% 59% Median
12 21% 41%  
13 12% 20%  
14 7% 8%  
15 0.7% 1.0%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.6% 100%  
6 3% 99.4%  
7 14% 97%  
8 61% 83% Median
9 16% 22%  
10 4% 6%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.5% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Median
1 0% 36%  
2 0% 36%  
3 0% 36%  
4 31% 36% Last Result
5 4% 5%  
6 0.2% 0.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0.3% 16%  
4 14% 15%  
5 0.7% 0.8%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 103 100% 100–105 98–107 96–108 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 103 100% 100–105 98–107 96–108 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 88 28% 85–92 85–93 83–94 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 88 28% 85–92 85–93 83–94 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 88 40% 87–92 85–94 83–94 81–98
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 70–76 69–77 68–79 66–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 72 0% 70–75 68–77 67–79 65–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 72 0% 69–74 67–76 66–79 64–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 62–68 60–69 59–71 55–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 61–66 59–67 57–71 55–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 49–58 47–58 45–58 44–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 48–54 47–54 44–55 44–57
Venstre 43 36 0% 33–39 32–39 31–39 31–42

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0.4% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 2% 99.5% Last Result
97 0.9% 97%  
98 2% 96%  
99 2% 95%  
100 8% 92%  
101 25% 84%  
102 7% 59%  
103 13% 52% Median
104 21% 39%  
105 10% 17%  
106 2% 7%  
107 2% 5%  
108 2% 3%  
109 0.3% 1.2%  
110 0.8% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.4% 99.9%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 2% 99.5%  
97 0.9% 97%  
98 2% 96%  
99 2% 95%  
100 8% 92%  
101 25% 84%  
102 7% 59%  
103 13% 52% Median
104 21% 39%  
105 10% 17%  
106 2% 7%  
107 2% 5%  
108 2% 3%  
109 0.3% 1.2%  
110 0.8% 0.9%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.9% 99.5%  
82 0.7% 98.6%  
83 2% 98%  
84 0.9% 96%  
85 9% 95%  
86 4% 86%  
87 24% 82%  
88 11% 58%  
89 18% 47% Median
90 12% 28% Majority
91 5% 17%  
92 3% 12%  
93 6% 9%  
94 0.8% 3%  
95 1.1% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.9%  
97 0.5% 0.5%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.4% 99.9%  
81 0.9% 99.5%  
82 0.7% 98.6%  
83 2% 98%  
84 0.9% 96%  
85 9% 95%  
86 4% 86%  
87 24% 82%  
88 11% 58%  
89 18% 47% Median
90 12% 28% Majority
91 5% 17%  
92 3% 12%  
93 6% 9%  
94 0.8% 3%  
95 1.1% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.9%  
97 0.5% 0.5%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.7% 99.9%  
82 0.7% 99.2%  
83 1.1% 98.5%  
84 2% 97%  
85 0.6% 95%  
86 3% 94%  
87 11% 91%  
88 32% 80%  
89 8% 48%  
90 12% 40% Median, Majority
91 2% 28%  
92 19% 26%  
93 1.4% 6%  
94 3% 5%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.4% 2%  
97 0.2% 1.1%  
98 0.9% 0.9%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0.3% 100%  
66 1.0% 99.7%  
67 0.6% 98.7%  
68 1.1% 98%  
69 5% 97%  
70 26% 92%  
71 2% 66%  
72 12% 64%  
73 13% 52% Median
74 4% 39%  
75 18% 35%  
76 9% 18%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.2% 2%  
81 0.8% 1.3%  
82 0.5% 0.5%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.8% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.1%  
67 2% 98.8%  
68 2% 97%  
69 2% 95%  
70 10% 93% Median
71 21% 83%  
72 14% 61%  
73 7% 48%  
74 25% 41%  
75 8% 16%  
76 2% 8%  
77 2% 5%  
78 0.9% 4%  
79 2% 3% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.5%  
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.4% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.6%  
65 2% 99.3%  
66 2% 98%  
67 2% 96%  
68 4% 94%  
69 2% 90%  
70 10% 88% Median
71 27% 78%  
72 12% 51%  
73 7% 39%  
74 24% 31%  
75 3% 8%  
76 1.4% 5%  
77 1.0% 4%  
78 0.4% 3%  
79 2% 3% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.9% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.1%  
57 0.1% 99.0%  
58 0.5% 98.9%  
59 2% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 3% 94%  
62 10% 91% Median
63 30% 82%  
64 2% 52%  
65 9% 49%  
66 26% 40%  
67 3% 15%  
68 6% 12%  
69 2% 5%  
70 0.6% 4%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.5% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 1.1% 100%  
56 0.5% 98.9%  
57 2% 98%  
58 0.5% 97%  
59 3% 96%  
60 3% 94%  
61 2% 91%  
62 11% 89% Median
63 30% 77%  
64 8% 47%  
65 9% 39%  
66 25% 30%  
67 2% 6%  
68 0.6% 4%  
69 0.7% 4%  
70 0.3% 3%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.4% 0.4%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 2% 100%  
45 0.3% 98%  
46 0.8% 97%  
47 2% 97%  
48 1.3% 95%  
49 5% 93%  
50 3% 88%  
51 32% 85% Median
52 8% 53%  
53 10% 45%  
54 4% 35%  
55 5% 31%  
56 0.9% 26%  
57 1.4% 25%  
58 22% 24%  
59 0.2% 2% Last Result
60 1.4% 2%  
61 0.4% 0.4%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 3% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 97%  
46 1.1% 97%  
47 3% 95%  
48 3% 92%  
49 6% 89%  
50 4% 84%  
51 36% 79% Median
52 6% 44%  
53 10% 37%  
54 24% 28%  
55 2% 4% Last Result
56 0.5% 2%  
57 1.1% 1.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 3% 99.7%  
32 3% 97%  
33 6% 94%  
34 5% 88%  
35 8% 83%  
36 27% 74% Median
37 4% 47%  
38 11% 43%  
39 30% 32%  
40 0.2% 2%  
41 0.8% 2%  
42 1.1% 1.3%  
43 0% 0.2% Last Result
44 0.2% 0.2%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations