Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 14–20 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.9% 31.1–34.8% 30.5–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.2–36.8%
Venstre 23.4% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.5% 16.2–20.9% 15.5–21.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.8% 5.8–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.3–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 63 59–63 57–63 56–66 52–66
Venstre 43 32 30–36 30–36 29–38 27–38
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 14–18 13–18 13–18 13–19
Radikale Venstre 16 13 13–17 13–17 13–17 13–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–16 13–16 12–17 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 10–16 10–17 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 12–14 11–15 11–15 9–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 6–9 5–9 5–9 5–9
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.7% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.3%  
54 0.3% 99.2%  
55 1.3% 98.9%  
56 1.3% 98%  
57 4% 96%  
58 0.6% 92%  
59 31% 92%  
60 0.6% 61%  
61 0.9% 61%  
62 0.2% 60%  
63 56% 60% Median
64 1.2% 4%  
65 0% 3%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 98%  
29 0.9% 98%  
30 16% 97%  
31 0.4% 80%  
32 52% 80% Median
33 8% 28%  
34 9% 19%  
35 0.7% 11%  
36 6% 10%  
37 0.5% 4%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
13 8% 99.7%  
14 11% 92%  
15 5% 81%  
16 2% 76%  
17 58% 74% Median
18 14% 16%  
19 1.4% 1.5%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 54% 99.5% Median
14 6% 46%  
15 7% 40%  
16 9% 32% Last Result
17 22% 24%  
18 1.0% 1.4%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 3% 99.8%  
13 15% 97%  
14 52% 82% Last Result, Median
15 7% 30%  
16 20% 23%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.2% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.4%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 8% 100%  
11 1.0% 92%  
12 16% 91%  
13 1.1% 75% Last Result
14 61% 74% Median
15 7% 13%  
16 1.4% 6%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.8%  
10 0.6% 99.5%  
11 8% 98.9%  
12 59% 90% Median
13 16% 32%  
14 6% 16%  
15 8% 10%  
16 0.4% 2% Last Result
17 1.2% 1.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 6% 100%  
6 55% 94% Median
7 4% 40%  
8 20% 35%  
9 15% 15%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100%  
1 0% 70%  
2 0% 70%  
3 0% 70%  
4 67% 70% Last Result, Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 12% 13%  
5 1.2% 1.3%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 104 100% 101–106 100–108 99–109 97–109
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 104 100% 101–106 100–108 99–109 97–109
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 90 74% 88–93 85–94 85–94 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 91 62% 84–91 84–93 84–93 83–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 91 62% 84–91 84–93 84–93 83–95
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 76 0% 74–78 70–78 70–80 66–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 71 0% 69–74 67–75 66–76 66–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 68–74 67–74 65–75 62–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 61–66 61–67 60–67 59–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 61–65 61–67 58–67 56–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 47–53 47–53 45–53 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 47–50 46–51 44–53 43–53
Venstre 43 32 0% 30–36 30–36 29–38 27–38

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.2% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
97 0.9% 99.7%  
98 0.2% 98.8%  
99 1.2% 98.6%  
100 4% 97%  
101 22% 94%  
102 0.3% 72%  
103 1.0% 72%  
104 50% 71% Median
105 5% 21%  
106 7% 16%  
107 2% 10%  
108 5% 8%  
109 2% 3%  
110 0.1% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.2% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.9% 99.7%  
98 0.3% 98.8%  
99 1.2% 98.5%  
100 4% 97%  
101 22% 94%  
102 0.2% 72%  
103 1.0% 72%  
104 50% 71% Median
105 5% 21%  
106 7% 16%  
107 2% 10%  
108 5% 8%  
109 2% 3%  
110 0.1% 0.3%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0.6% 99.9%  
82 0.6% 99.3%  
83 0.4% 98.7%  
84 0.1% 98%  
85 4% 98%  
86 0.7% 95%  
87 0.3% 94%  
88 4% 94%  
89 15% 90%  
90 50% 74% Median, Majority
91 8% 25%  
92 6% 17%  
93 0.7% 11%  
94 8% 10%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.5% 0.6%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.6%  
83 0.9% 99.6%  
84 14% 98.7%  
85 8% 84%  
86 1.1% 76%  
87 4% 75%  
88 3% 71%  
89 6% 68%  
90 0.7% 62% Majority
91 53% 62% Median
92 0.1% 8%  
93 6% 8%  
94 0.1% 2%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.6%  
83 0.9% 99.6%  
84 14% 98.6%  
85 8% 84%  
86 1.1% 76%  
87 4% 75%  
88 3% 71%  
89 6% 68%  
90 0.7% 62% Majority
91 53% 62% Median
92 0.1% 8%  
93 6% 8%  
94 0.1% 2%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.4%  
68 0.3% 99.1%  
69 0.7% 98.9%  
70 4% 98%  
71 0.9% 95%  
72 1.2% 94%  
73 2% 93%  
74 0.5% 90%  
75 8% 90%  
76 71% 82% Median
77 0.3% 11%  
78 6% 11%  
79 2% 5%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.5% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 2% 99.7%  
67 5% 97%  
68 2% 92%  
69 7% 90%  
70 5% 84%  
71 50% 79% Median
72 1.0% 29%  
73 0.3% 28%  
74 22% 28%  
75 4% 6%  
76 1.2% 3%  
77 0.2% 1.4%  
78 0.9% 1.2%  
79 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 2% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 0% 98%  
65 0.1% 98%  
66 0.8% 97%  
67 6% 97%  
68 2% 91%  
69 7% 89%  
70 12% 82%  
71 50% 70% Median
72 0.5% 20%  
73 0.8% 20%  
74 15% 19%  
75 3% 4%  
76 0.7% 1.0%  
77 0.1% 0.3%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0% 0.2% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.8%  
60 2% 99.4%  
61 7% 97%  
62 9% 90%  
63 0.3% 81%  
64 2% 80%  
65 65% 79% Median
66 8% 14%  
67 4% 6%  
68 0.2% 2%  
69 0.4% 2%  
70 0.8% 2%  
71 0.2% 0.9%  
72 0.6% 0.7%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 0.1% 98%  
59 0.4% 97%  
60 0.9% 97%  
61 8% 96%  
62 16% 88%  
63 0.3% 72%  
64 2% 71%  
65 64% 70% Median
66 0.9% 6%  
67 4% 5%  
68 0.2% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.9%  
45 1.3% 98%  
46 0.8% 96%  
47 8% 96%  
48 3% 88%  
49 6% 85%  
50 0.4% 78%  
51 6% 78%  
52 15% 72%  
53 54% 56% Median
54 0.1% 2%  
55 1.1% 2%  
56 0.6% 0.9%  
57 0% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.2% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.8% 99.7%  
44 2% 99.0%  
45 1.3% 97%  
46 1.1% 95%  
47 9% 94%  
48 17% 85%  
49 57% 68% Median
50 1.1% 11%  
51 6% 10%  
52 0.3% 4%  
53 3% 4%  
54 0% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.9%  
28 0.3% 98%  
29 0.9% 98%  
30 16% 97%  
31 0.4% 80%  
32 52% 80% Median
33 8% 28%  
34 9% 19%  
35 0.7% 11%  
36 6% 10%  
37 0.5% 4%  
38 3% 4%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations