Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 21–27 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.0% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.2–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
Venstre 23.4% 19.3% 17.8–20.9% 17.3–21.4% 17.0–21.8% 16.3–22.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 57–65 55–65 54–65 53–65
Venstre 43 40 34–40 32–40 31–40 30–41
Radikale Venstre 16 16 14–17 13–19 13–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 13–17 13–17 13–18 13–21
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 13 13–16 13–18 13–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 11–14 11–15 9–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 6 5–10 5–10 5–10 5–10
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 100%  
53 2% 99.8%  
54 0.8% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 3% 94%  
57 4% 91%  
58 2% 87%  
59 9% 85%  
60 51% 76% Median
61 0.4% 26%  
62 2% 25%  
63 4% 23%  
64 9% 19%  
65 10% 11%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.8%  
30 1.1% 99.6%  
31 2% 98.5%  
32 2% 96%  
33 4% 94%  
34 6% 90%  
35 17% 84%  
36 0.9% 67%  
37 2% 66%  
38 11% 65%  
39 2% 54%  
40 50% 51% Median
41 0.8% 1.3%  
42 0.2% 0.5%  
43 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 5% 98%  
14 5% 94%  
15 11% 89%  
16 68% 78% Last Result, Median
17 4% 10%  
18 1.0% 7%  
19 3% 6%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.3%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 19% 99.6%  
14 4% 81% Last Result
15 5% 77%  
16 13% 72%  
17 55% 60% Median
18 3% 4%  
19 0.4% 1.2%  
20 0.1% 0.7%  
21 0.5% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.4% Last Result
13 80% 98% Median
14 3% 18%  
15 4% 15%  
16 5% 11%  
17 0.9% 6%  
18 4% 5%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.8%  
10 2% 99.2%  
11 15% 98%  
12 3% 83%  
13 58% 80% Last Result, Median
14 16% 21%  
15 3% 5%  
16 0.9% 2%  
17 0.5% 1.0%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.1% 99.9%  
9 10% 98.8%  
10 60% 89% Median
11 8% 29%  
12 15% 21%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.4% 1.3%  
15 0.8% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 10% 99.9%  
6 52% 90% Median
7 8% 38%  
8 6% 30%  
9 13% 24%  
10 10% 11%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Median
1 0% 29%  
2 0% 29%  
3 0% 29%  
4 25% 29% Last Result
5 2% 4%  
6 1.0% 1.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 0.9% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 106 100% 102–106 101–106 100–106 96–111
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 106 100% 102–106 101–106 100–106 96–111
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 93 88% 89–94 87–94 86–94 85–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 90 63% 86–91 85–92 83–94 81–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 90 63% 86–91 85–91 83–94 81–94
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 76 0% 73–79 72–81 70–81 68–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 69 0% 69–73 69–74 69–75 64–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 69 0% 69–72 69–74 68–75 64–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 61–65 61–67 61–68 56–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 61–64 61–66 60–68 56–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 50–53 49–56 49–57 45–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 48–53 46–53 45–54 42–58
Venstre 43 40 0% 34–40 32–40 31–40 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.9%  
96 0.9% 99.8% Last Result
97 0.4% 98.9%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 1.4% 98%  
101 4% 97%  
102 4% 93%  
103 4% 89%  
104 9% 85%  
105 12% 76%  
106 62% 64% Median
107 0.8% 2%  
108 0.3% 2%  
109 0.5% 1.3%  
110 0.1% 0.8%  
111 0.5% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.9%  
96 0.9% 99.8%  
97 0.4% 98.8%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 1.4% 98%  
101 4% 97%  
102 5% 93%  
103 4% 88%  
104 9% 85%  
105 12% 76%  
106 61% 64% Median
107 0.8% 2%  
108 0.3% 2%  
109 0.5% 1.3%  
110 0.1% 0.8%  
111 0.5% 0.7%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 2% 99.6%  
86 0.8% 98%  
87 2% 97%  
88 3% 95%  
89 4% 92%  
90 3% 88% Majority
91 10% 85%  
92 10% 75%  
93 50% 65% Median
94 13% 15%  
95 0.4% 2%  
96 0.5% 1.4%  
97 0.6% 0.9%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.3% 99.7%  
82 0.9% 99.4%  
83 2% 98.5%  
84 0.5% 97%  
85 2% 96%  
86 6% 94%  
87 3% 87%  
88 9% 84%  
89 12% 75%  
90 50% 63% Median, Majority
91 8% 14%  
92 0.4% 5%  
93 2% 5%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.7%  
82 0.9% 99.4%  
83 2% 98%  
84 0.5% 96%  
85 2% 96%  
86 6% 94%  
87 3% 87%  
88 9% 84%  
89 12% 75%  
90 50% 63% Median, Majority
91 8% 13%  
92 0.4% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 100%  
68 0.8% 100%  
69 0.8% 99.2%  
70 2% 98%  
71 1.2% 96%  
72 3% 95%  
73 3% 92%  
74 1.1% 90%  
75 9% 88%  
76 58% 80% Median
77 3% 22%  
78 0.4% 19%  
79 9% 18%  
80 0.2% 10%  
81 9% 9%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.3%  
66 0.5% 99.2%  
67 0.3% 98.7%  
68 0.8% 98%  
69 62% 98% Median
70 12% 36%  
71 9% 24%  
72 4% 15%  
73 4% 11%  
74 4% 7%  
75 1.4% 3%  
76 0.1% 2%  
77 0.1% 2%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.9% 1.1% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.2%  
66 0.8% 99.1%  
67 0.3% 98%  
68 2% 98%  
69 62% 96% Median
70 14% 35%  
71 9% 21%  
72 4% 12%  
73 3% 9%  
74 2% 5%  
75 1.5% 3%  
76 0.1% 1.3%  
77 0.2% 1.2%  
78 0.1% 1.0%  
79 0.8% 1.0% Last Result
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.6% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.3%  
58 0.4% 99.2%  
59 0.6% 98.9%  
60 0.7% 98%  
61 17% 98%  
62 8% 81%  
63 51% 73% Median
64 11% 22%  
65 3% 12%  
66 3% 8%  
67 2% 6%  
68 1.3% 3%  
69 0.7% 2%  
70 0.2% 1.3%  
71 0.9% 1.1%  
72 0.1% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.7% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.2%  
58 0.5% 99.1%  
59 0.6% 98.6%  
60 0.7% 98%  
61 18% 97%  
62 9% 79%  
63 51% 71% Median
64 11% 20%  
65 2% 9%  
66 3% 7%  
67 2% 4%  
68 1.2% 3%  
69 0.4% 1.5%  
70 0.1% 1.1%  
71 0.8% 1.0%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.7%  
46 0.5% 99.2%  
47 0.2% 98.6%  
48 0.5% 98%  
49 4% 98%  
50 5% 94%  
51 11% 89%  
52 18% 78%  
53 51% 61% Median
54 3% 9%  
55 1.0% 6%  
56 3% 5%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.8% 1.1%  
59 0% 0.3% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.6% 100%  
43 0% 99.4%  
44 0.3% 99.3%  
45 3% 99.0%  
46 3% 97%  
47 0.5% 93%  
48 17% 93%  
49 3% 75%  
50 3% 73%  
51 11% 69%  
52 3% 59%  
53 51% 56% Median
54 2% 5%  
55 0.3% 2% Last Result
56 0.8% 2%  
57 0.3% 1.0%  
58 0.6% 0.8%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.8%  
30 1.1% 99.6%  
31 2% 98.5%  
32 2% 96%  
33 4% 94%  
34 6% 90%  
35 17% 84%  
36 0.9% 67%  
37 2% 66%  
38 11% 65%  
39 2% 54%  
40 50% 51% Median
41 0.8% 1.3%  
42 0.2% 0.5%  
43 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations