Opinion Poll by Epinion, 22–28 September 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.3% 29.9–32.8% 29.4–33.2% 29.1–33.6% 28.4–34.3%
Venstre 23.4% 17.7% 16.5–18.9% 16.2–19.3% 15.9–19.6% 15.3–20.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.6% 9.7–11.7% 9.4–12.0% 9.2–12.2% 8.8–12.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.2% 5.4–8.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.8% 6.1–7.7% 5.9–7.9% 5.7–8.2% 5.3–8.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 54–61 53–62 53–63 51–64
Venstre 43 33 30–35 30–36 29–36 28–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 20 17–22 17–22 17–23 16–23
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 11–13 11–14 11–15 10–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–15 11–15 11–15 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 12–14 11–14 11–14 10–15
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–13 10–14 10–15 10–15
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.8% 99.8%  
52 0.3% 99.1%  
53 4% 98.7%  
54 43% 95%  
55 1.1% 52%  
56 2% 51% Median
57 30% 48%  
58 3% 18%  
59 3% 16%  
60 1.4% 13%  
61 3% 11%  
62 6% 9%  
63 0.5% 3%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.8% 99.7%  
29 2% 98.9%  
30 7% 97%  
31 16% 90%  
32 6% 74%  
33 40% 69% Median
34 7% 29%  
35 16% 22%  
36 6% 6%  
37 0.4% 0.4%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.5% 100%  
16 0.7% 99.5%  
17 12% 98.8%  
18 31% 87%  
19 5% 56%  
20 11% 51% Median
21 2% 41%  
22 36% 38%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.0% 100%  
11 8% 99.0%  
12 10% 91%  
13 2% 81% Last Result
14 29% 79%  
15 43% 50% Median
16 7% 7%  
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.0% 99.9%  
11 10% 98.9%  
12 27% 89%  
13 54% 62% Median
14 4% 8%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.9% 1.0%  
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 2% 99.4%  
11 40% 98%  
12 34% 58% Median
13 3% 24%  
14 8% 21% Last Result
15 13% 13%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 4% 98%  
12 10% 94%  
13 36% 85% Median
14 48% 49%  
15 1.3% 1.4%  
16 0% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.1% 99.9%  
10 17% 99.8%  
11 19% 83%  
12 16% 64% Median
13 41% 48%  
14 4% 7%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0% 45%  
4 33% 45% Last Result
5 11% 12%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0.1% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 99.1% 93–100 92–100 91–101 88–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 93 99.1% 93–100 92–100 91–101 88–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 82 0.3% 80–87 80–88 79–89 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 82 0.3% 80–87 80–88 79–89 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 78–86 78–86 78–88 74–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0% 75–82 75–83 74–84 74–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0% 75–82 75–82 74–84 74–87
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 65–74 65–74 65–76 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 64–70 63–70 62–72 61–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 63–70 62–70 62–71 61–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 51–57 49–57 49–58 48–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 49–55 47–56 47–56 45–57
Venstre 43 33 0% 30–35 30–36 29–36 28–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.6% 100%  
89 0.4% 99.4%  
90 1.0% 99.1% Majority
91 2% 98%  
92 3% 97%  
93 48% 94%  
94 20% 46%  
95 5% 26% Median
96 3% 21% Last Result
97 1.0% 18%  
98 6% 17%  
99 1.4% 12%  
100 7% 10%  
101 3% 4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.6% 100%  
89 0.4% 99.4%  
90 1.0% 99.1% Majority
91 2% 98% Last Result
92 3% 97%  
93 48% 94%  
94 20% 46%  
95 5% 26% Median
96 3% 21%  
97 1.0% 18%  
98 6% 17%  
99 1.4% 12%  
100 7% 10%  
101 3% 4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.6% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.4%  
78 0.3% 98.9%  
79 2% 98.6%  
80 34% 97% Last Result
81 8% 63%  
82 6% 55%  
83 29% 49% Median
84 2% 20%  
85 3% 18%  
86 2% 15%  
87 7% 13%  
88 2% 6%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.6% 100%  
77 0.5% 99.4%  
78 0.3% 98.9%  
79 2% 98.6%  
80 34% 97%  
81 8% 63%  
82 6% 55%  
83 29% 49% Median
84 2% 20%  
85 3% 18%  
86 2% 15%  
87 7% 13%  
88 2% 6%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.8% 100%  
75 0% 99.2%  
76 0.4% 99.2%  
77 0.9% 98.7%  
78 36% 98% Last Result
79 18% 62%  
80 14% 44% Median
81 1.4% 30%  
82 0.8% 28%  
83 11% 27%  
84 4% 16%  
85 2% 12%  
86 5% 10%  
87 0.8% 5%  
88 4% 4%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 3% 99.8%  
75 7% 96%  
76 1.4% 90%  
77 6% 88%  
78 1.0% 83%  
79 3% 82% Last Result, Median
80 5% 79%  
81 20% 74%  
82 48% 54%  
83 3% 6%  
84 1.3% 3%  
85 1.0% 2%  
86 0.4% 0.9%  
87 0.6% 0.6%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 3% 99.7%  
75 7% 96%  
76 2% 89%  
77 6% 88%  
78 1.0% 81%  
79 3% 80% Last Result, Median
80 5% 77%  
81 19% 72%  
82 48% 52%  
83 2% 4%  
84 1.1% 3%  
85 0.8% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.8%  
87 0.6% 0.6%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.7% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.1% Last Result
65 10% 98.6%  
66 4% 89%  
67 47% 84%  
68 10% 37% Median
69 6% 27%  
70 3% 21%  
71 3% 18%  
72 2% 14%  
73 2% 12%  
74 6% 10%  
75 0.6% 4%  
76 1.1% 4%  
77 2% 2%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 2% 99.9%  
62 3% 98%  
63 5% 95%  
64 6% 90%  
65 3% 84%  
66 3% 81% Median
67 3% 79%  
68 12% 76%  
69 44% 64%  
70 17% 20%  
71 0.8% 3%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.4% 1.1%  
74 0.7% 0.7%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 2% 99.8%  
62 4% 98%  
63 5% 94%  
64 6% 89%  
65 3% 83%  
66 3% 80% Median
67 3% 77%  
68 12% 74%  
69 43% 62%  
70 16% 19%  
71 0.8% 3%  
72 1.2% 2%  
73 0.2% 0.8%  
74 0.6% 0.6%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.2% 100%  
48 0.5% 99.8%  
49 5% 99.3%  
50 0.8% 95%  
51 10% 94%  
52 3% 83%  
53 1.0% 80% Median
54 11% 79%  
55 40% 69%  
56 7% 28%  
57 17% 21%  
58 2% 3%  
59 1.3% 2% Last Result
60 0.5% 0.7%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.8% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.2%  
47 4% 99.1%  
48 2% 95%  
49 13% 93%  
50 1.0% 80%  
51 14% 79%  
52 3% 65%  
53 18% 61% Median
54 4% 44%  
55 33% 40% Last Result
56 6% 6%  
57 0.6% 0.7%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 0.8% 99.7%  
29 2% 98.9%  
30 7% 97%  
31 16% 90%  
32 6% 74%  
33 40% 69% Median
34 7% 29%  
35 16% 22%  
36 6% 6%  
37 0.4% 0.4%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations