Opinion Poll by Gallup, 28 September–4 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.4% 28.2–30.7% 27.8–31.1% 27.5–31.4% 26.9–32.1%
Venstre 23.4% 19.1% 18.0–20.3% 17.7–20.6% 17.5–20.9% 16.9–21.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.4% 9.6–11.3% 9.4–11.6% 9.2–11.8% 8.8–12.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.3% 7.6–9.1% 7.4–9.4% 7.2–9.6% 6.8–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.1% 6.4–7.9% 6.2–8.1% 6.1–8.3% 5.7–8.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.6–7.0% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.3% 5.0–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.4–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.3–2.0% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.2%
Borgerlisten 0.8% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 52–53 52–53 52–53 52–55
Venstre 43 37 33–37 33–37 33–37 33–37
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 21 20–21 20–21 20–21 18–21
Radikale Venstre 16 16 15–16 15–16 15–16 15–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–14 13–14 13–14 12–14
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 10–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 11–12 11–12 11–12 11–13
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–13
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgerlisten 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 70% 99.9% Median
53 28% 30%  
54 2% 2%  
55 0% 0.5%  
56 0% 0.5%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 29% 99.8%  
34 0% 70%  
35 0.3% 70%  
36 0.3% 70%  
37 70% 70% Median
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0% 99.8%  
18 0.5% 99.8%  
19 2% 99.3%  
20 28% 98%  
21 70% 70% Median
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 28% 99.9%  
16 71% 72% Last Result, Median
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.8%  
12 0.3% 99.7%  
13 71% 99.3% Median
14 28% 28% Last Result
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 0.3% 98%  
12 28% 98%  
13 70% 70% Last Result, Median
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.4% 100%  
11 28% 99.6%  
12 70% 72% Median
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 70% 99.8% Median
12 2% 30%  
13 28% 28%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 29% 30% Last Result
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgerlisten

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 94 100% 94 94 94 93–96
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 94 100% 94 94 94 93–96
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 81 0% 81–82 81–82 81–82 81–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0% 81 81 81 79–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 81 81 81 79–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 78–79 78–79 78–79 77–79
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 78–79 78–79 78–79 77–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 69–70 69–70 69–70 69–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 69–70 69–70 69–70 67–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 68 68 68–69 68–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 57–58 57–58 57–58 56–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 53–58 53–58 53–58 52–58
Venstre 43 37 0% 33–37 33–37 33–37 33–37

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.2% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 2% 99.7%  
94 97% 98% Median
95 0.3% 0.8%  
96 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.2% 100% Last Result
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 2% 99.7%  
94 97% 98% Median
95 0.3% 0.8%  
96 0.3% 0.5%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 70% 99.9% Median
82 28% 30%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
80 0.3% 99.5%  
81 97% 99.2% Median
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
80 0.4% 99.4%  
81 97% 99.0% Median
82 1.5% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.7%  
78 70% 98% Median
79 28% 28%  
80 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.7%  
78 70% 98% Median
79 28% 28%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0% 99.7%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 71% 99.6% Median
70 28% 28%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 0% 99.5%  
69 71% 99.5% Median
70 28% 28%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 100%  
68 97% 99.9% Median
69 0.2% 3%  
70 2% 2%  
71 0.3% 0.7%  
72 0% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0% 99.7%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 0% 99.5%  
57 29% 99.5%  
58 70% 70% Median
59 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0% 99.8%  
50 0% 99.8%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 2% 99.8%  
53 28% 98%  
54 0.2% 70%  
55 0.2% 70% Last Result
56 0.1% 70%  
57 0% 70%  
58 70% 70% Median
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.2% 100%  
33 29% 99.8%  
34 0% 70%  
35 0.3% 70%  
36 0.3% 70%  
37 70% 70% Median
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations