Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 28 September–4 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.2% 30.7–33.7% 30.3–34.1% 29.9–34.5% 29.2–35.2%
Venstre 23.4% 18.5% 17.3–19.8% 16.9–20.1% 16.7–20.4% 16.1–21.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.0% 8.1–9.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.5% 7.6–9.4% 7.4–9.7% 7.2–9.9% 6.8–10.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.6% 6.6–10.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.1% 6.3–7.9% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.4% 5.7–7.3% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–1.9% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–1.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.1% 0.1–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 57 57 57–59 56–61 54–63
Venstre 43 33 33 32–34 32–35 30–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 18 17–18 15–18 15–18 14–20
Radikale Venstre 16 14 14 13–15 13–16 12–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 15 14–15 14–17 13–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 15 15 13–15 12–15 10–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 12 12–13 10–14 10–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 7 7 7–8 7–8 7–10
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4 4–5 4–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.7% 99.8%  
55 1.3% 99.1%  
56 3% 98%  
57 87% 95% Median
58 2% 8%  
59 0.9% 6%  
60 2% 5%  
61 0.5% 3%  
62 0.5% 2%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0.6% 99.7%  
31 0.7% 99.1%  
32 4% 98%  
33 88% 95% Median
34 4% 7%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.9% 1.2%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.8% 99.9%  
15 4% 99.0%  
16 2% 95%  
17 4% 93%  
18 88% 89% Median
19 0.1% 0.7%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 4% 98%  
14 87% 94% Median
15 3% 7%  
16 3% 4% Last Result
17 0.5% 1.2%  
18 0.4% 0.7%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 0.7% 99.6%  
14 5% 98.9% Last Result
15 89% 94% Median
16 1.0% 4%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.9% 1.0%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.4%  
12 3% 98%  
13 4% 95%  
14 0.3% 91%  
15 88% 91% Median
16 2% 2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.4% 100%  
10 3% 99.6%  
11 1.1% 97%  
12 89% 96% Median
13 3% 6% Last Result
14 3% 3%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.4% 100%  
7 92% 99.6% Median
8 6% 8%  
9 1.0% 2%  
10 0.9% 0.9%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 0% 99.0%  
2 0% 99.0%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 93% 99.0% Last Result, Median
5 5% 6%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 98 100% 98–99 98–100 98–103 94–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 98 100% 98–99 98–100 98–103 94–105
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 86 4% 86 86–89 85–90 83–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 2% 84 84–86 83–88 80–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 84 2% 84 84–86 83–88 80–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 76–77 75–77 72–77 70–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 76–77 74–77 72–77 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 71 0% 71 71–73 71–76 69–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 70 0% 69–70 67–70 64–70 62–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 70 0% 69–70 67–70 64–70 61–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 55 53–55 52–56 48–59
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 51 49–51 47–51 45–53
Venstre 43 33 0% 33 32–34 32–35 30–36

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.2% 99.9%  
94 0.4% 99.8%  
95 0.5% 99.3%  
96 0.3% 98.8% Last Result
97 0.4% 98.5%  
98 87% 98% Median
99 6% 11%  
100 0.6% 5%  
101 1.3% 5%  
102 0.7% 4%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.1% 0.7%  
105 0.5% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.2% 99.9%  
94 0.4% 99.8%  
95 0.5% 99.3%  
96 0.3% 98.8%  
97 0.4% 98.5%  
98 87% 98% Median
99 6% 11%  
100 0.6% 5%  
101 1.2% 5%  
102 0.7% 4%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.1% 0.7%  
105 0.5% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100% Last Result
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.3% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.7%  
83 0.4% 99.6%  
84 0.3% 99.2%  
85 2% 98.9%  
86 87% 96% Median
87 2% 9%  
88 1.2% 7%  
89 2% 6%  
90 3% 4% Majority
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.3% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
81 1.0% 99.3%  
82 0.1% 98%  
83 2% 98%  
84 88% 96% Median
85 0.8% 8%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 0.4% 3%  
89 0.3% 2%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.3% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.6%  
81 1.0% 99.3%  
82 0.1% 98%  
83 2% 98%  
84 88% 96% Median
85 0.8% 8%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 5%  
88 0.4% 3%  
89 0.3% 2%  
90 2% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 2% 99.3%  
73 0.7% 97%  
74 1.3% 96%  
75 0.6% 95%  
76 6% 95%  
77 87% 89% Median
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.3% 1.5% Last Result
80 0.5% 1.2%  
81 0.4% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.3% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0.2% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 0.2% 99.3%  
71 0.4% 99.1%  
72 2% 98.7%  
73 0.9% 97%  
74 1.2% 96%  
75 0.3% 95%  
76 6% 94%  
77 87% 89% Median
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
80 0.5% 0.9%  
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100% Last Result
65 0% 100%  
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.6%  
70 1.5% 99.2%  
71 89% 98% Median
72 3% 8%  
73 0.6% 5%  
74 0.4% 4%  
75 1.0% 4%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.7% 1.0%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.4%  
64 2% 99.1%  
65 0.6% 97%  
66 0.5% 96%  
67 0.9% 96%  
68 3% 95%  
69 3% 92%  
70 87% 88% Median
71 0.6% 2%  
72 0.7% 0.9%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.3% 100%  
59 0% 99.7%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.3% 99.6%  
62 0.1% 99.3%  
63 0.4% 99.2%  
64 2% 98.8%  
65 0.4% 96%  
66 0.6% 96%  
67 0.9% 95%  
68 3% 94%  
69 4% 92%  
70 87% 88% Median
71 0.6% 1.3%  
72 0.6% 0.7%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.5% 100%  
48 0% 99.5%  
49 0.4% 99.5%  
50 0.2% 99.1%  
51 0.6% 98.9%  
52 2% 98%  
53 4% 96%  
54 1.0% 93%  
55 87% 92% Median
56 3% 5%  
57 0.4% 1.3%  
58 0.3% 1.0%  
59 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.6%  
46 0.1% 99.5%  
47 3% 99.4%  
48 0.7% 97%  
49 4% 96%  
50 1.3% 92%  
51 89% 91% Median
52 1.3% 2%  
53 0.7% 1.2%  
54 0% 0.5%  
55 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0.6% 99.7%  
31 0.7% 99.1%  
32 4% 98%  
33 88% 95% Median
34 4% 7%  
35 2% 3%  
36 0.9% 1.2%  
37 0.1% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations