Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 5–10 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.3% 29.4–33.2% 28.9–33.7% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.1%
Venstre 23.4% 19.7% 18.1–21.4% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.9–11.5% 7.4–12.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.2–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 54–60 52–60 50–61 49–63
Venstre 43 36 34–39 33–39 32–39 31–41
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 16–19 16–19 14–20 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–16 13–17 12–17 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 10–16 10–19 10–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–15 11–15 11–17 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–14 9–14 9–16 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–10
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.6% 100%  
50 3% 99.4%  
51 0.6% 96%  
52 1.2% 95%  
53 3% 94%  
54 9% 92%  
55 3% 83%  
56 8% 80%  
57 9% 72%  
58 33% 63% Median
59 14% 29%  
60 13% 15%  
61 1.4% 3%  
62 0.2% 1.4%  
63 1.1% 1.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.6%  
32 0.5% 98%  
33 5% 97%  
34 29% 92%  
35 8% 63%  
36 10% 55% Median
37 12% 45%  
38 19% 33%  
39 12% 14%  
40 0.4% 1.4%  
41 0.6% 1.1%  
42 0.1% 0.5%  
43 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 2% 99.9%  
14 1.5% 98%  
15 0.8% 96%  
16 35% 96%  
17 19% 60% Median
18 11% 41%  
19 28% 31%  
20 1.0% 3%  
21 1.4% 2%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 6% 97%  
14 14% 91% Last Result
15 28% 78% Median
16 44% 50%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.8% 0.8%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 8% 100%  
11 2% 92%  
12 1.3% 91%  
13 21% 89%  
14 26% 69% Median
15 22% 42%  
16 17% 21% Last Result
17 0.9% 4%  
18 0.5% 3%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.7%  
11 22% 98%  
12 28% 77% Median
13 16% 49% Last Result
14 13% 33%  
15 15% 20%  
16 2% 4%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 12% 99.9%  
10 4% 87%  
11 36% 83% Median
12 3% 47%  
13 31% 44%  
14 9% 13%  
15 0.7% 5%  
16 4% 4% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.6% 100%  
6 31% 99.3%  
7 9% 68%  
8 35% 60% Median
9 16% 25%  
10 9% 9%  
11 0.2% 0.5%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100%  
1 0% 58%  
2 0% 58%  
3 0% 58%  
4 34% 58% Last Result, Median
5 19% 25%  
6 5% 6%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 100 99.8% 94–103 93–103 93–104 92–107
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 100 99.8% 94–103 93–103 93–104 92–107
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 88 16% 80–91 80–91 78–91 78–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 1.3% 82–89 81–89 80–89 78–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 1.2% 82–89 81–89 79–89 78–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 75 0% 72–81 72–82 71–82 68–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 72–81 72–82 71–82 68–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 64–76 64–76 63–76 63–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 64–72 64–72 64–73 62–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 64–72 64–72 64–72 62–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 53–59 53–59 52–60 50–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 50–55 50–55 48–56 47–59
Venstre 43 36 0% 34–39 33–39 32–39 31–41

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.8% Majority
91 0.3% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 9% 99.3%  
94 2% 91%  
95 4% 89%  
96 7% 84% Last Result
97 1.2% 78%  
98 3% 77%  
99 21% 74% Median
100 19% 53%  
101 2% 34%  
102 1.1% 31%  
103 27% 30%  
104 2% 4%  
105 0.2% 1.1%  
106 0.3% 1.0%  
107 0.7% 0.7%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.8% Majority
91 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 9% 99.3%  
94 2% 91%  
95 4% 89%  
96 7% 84%  
97 1.2% 78%  
98 3% 77%  
99 21% 74% Median
100 19% 53%  
101 2% 34%  
102 1.1% 31%  
103 27% 30%  
104 2% 4%  
105 0.1% 1.1%  
106 0.3% 1.0%  
107 0.6% 0.7%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 3% 99.8% Last Result
79 0.1% 97%  
80 8% 97%  
81 1.1% 89%  
82 4% 88%  
83 6% 84%  
84 3% 78%  
85 9% 75%  
86 0.4% 66%  
87 14% 66% Median
88 16% 52%  
89 19% 36%  
90 1.2% 16% Majority
91 14% 15%  
92 0.6% 1.0%  
93 0% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.7%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 1.4% 98% Last Result
81 2% 96%  
82 4% 94%  
83 15% 90%  
84 0.4% 75%  
85 32% 75% Median
86 12% 43%  
87 14% 30%  
88 0.7% 16%  
89 14% 16%  
90 0.6% 1.3% Majority
91 0.5% 0.7%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0% 99.9% Last Result
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 2% 99.7%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 1.4% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 4% 94%  
83 15% 90%  
84 0.4% 75%  
85 32% 75% Median
86 12% 43%  
87 14% 30%  
88 0.7% 16%  
89 14% 16%  
90 0.6% 1.2% Majority
91 0.5% 0.6%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.7% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.3%  
70 0.2% 99.0%  
71 2% 98.9%  
72 27% 96%  
73 1.1% 70%  
74 2% 69%  
75 19% 66%  
76 21% 47% Median
77 3% 26%  
78 1.2% 23%  
79 7% 22% Last Result
80 4% 16%  
81 2% 11%  
82 9% 9%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.7% 100%  
69 0.7% 99.3%  
70 0.2% 98.6%  
71 3% 98%  
72 27% 96%  
73 0.8% 69%  
74 3% 68%  
75 20% 66%  
76 22% 45% Median
77 3% 23%  
78 1.0% 20%  
79 5% 19% Last Result
80 3% 14%  
81 2% 11%  
82 9% 9%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 3% 100%  
64 8% 97% Last Result
65 1.4% 89%  
66 0.5% 88%  
67 3% 87%  
68 3% 85%  
69 5% 81%  
70 1.2% 76%  
71 9% 75%  
72 26% 66% Median
73 19% 39%  
74 3% 20%  
75 3% 17%  
76 13% 14%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.4% 0.4%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.9% 99.7%  
63 0.6% 98.8%  
64 28% 98%  
65 0.5% 70%  
66 1.3% 70%  
67 11% 68%  
68 2% 57% Median
69 21% 55%  
70 13% 34%  
71 5% 21%  
72 13% 16%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.3% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 1.3% 99.7%  
63 0.6% 98%  
64 28% 98%  
65 0.8% 69%  
66 2% 69%  
67 11% 66%  
68 3% 55% Median
69 21% 52%  
70 12% 31%  
71 5% 19%  
72 12% 14%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 0.7% 99.6%  
51 1.3% 98.9%  
52 0.6% 98%  
53 20% 97%  
54 11% 77%  
55 12% 66%  
56 4% 53%  
57 16% 49% Median
58 20% 32%  
59 9% 12% Last Result
60 1.0% 3%  
61 0.5% 2%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 0.9% 1.1%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 1.1% 99.6%  
48 2% 98%  
49 0.9% 96%  
50 6% 95%  
51 2% 90%  
52 6% 88%  
53 28% 82% Median
54 37% 53%  
55 14% 16% Last Result
56 0.5% 3%  
57 1.5% 2%  
58 0.2% 0.9%  
59 0.2% 0.7%  
60 0% 0.4%  
61 0.3% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.6%  
32 0.5% 98%  
33 5% 97%  
34 29% 92%  
35 8% 63%  
36 10% 55% Median
37 12% 45%  
38 19% 33%  
39 12% 14%  
40 0.4% 1.4%  
41 0.6% 1.1%  
42 0.1% 0.5%  
43 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations