Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 12–18 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.8% 29.0–32.8% 28.5–33.3% 28.1–33.8% 27.2–34.7%
Venstre 23.4% 18.3% 16.8–19.9% 16.4–20.4% 16.0–20.8% 15.3–21.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.7–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 54–60 52–60 51–60 50–63
Venstre 43 31 31–35 30–35 29–37 27–39
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 16–18 15–19 14–20 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 13–19 13–19 12–19 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 13 13–16 11–16 11–16 10–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–14 11–15 11–16 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–15 11–15 10–16 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 8–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 4–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 3% 99.5%  
52 3% 97%  
53 3% 94%  
54 24% 91%  
55 6% 68%  
56 44% 62% Median
57 0.9% 18%  
58 2% 18%  
59 3% 15%  
60 11% 13%  
61 0.8% 2%  
62 0.5% 1.1%  
63 0.6% 0.6%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.7%  
28 0.2% 99.5%  
29 3% 99.3%  
30 4% 97%  
31 55% 93% Median
32 5% 37%  
33 4% 33%  
34 2% 29%  
35 22% 26%  
36 0.4% 5%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.1% 2%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100% Last Result
13 2% 99.9%  
14 2% 98%  
15 5% 96%  
16 1.4% 91%  
17 49% 90% Median
18 35% 41%  
19 3% 5%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.3% 0.5%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 3% 100%  
13 12% 97%  
14 5% 85% Last Result
15 4% 80%  
16 26% 76%  
17 3% 51% Median
18 3% 47%  
19 44% 44%  
20 0.1% 0.4%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.9%  
11 6% 98.8%  
12 2% 93%  
13 58% 91% Median
14 5% 32%  
15 3% 28%  
16 23% 25% Last Result
17 0.4% 2%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.5%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.8%  
11 23% 98.7%  
12 56% 75% Median
13 6% 20% Last Result
14 6% 13%  
15 5% 8%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.3% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.5%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.3% 100%  
10 2% 98.7%  
11 4% 97%  
12 4% 93%  
13 37% 89%  
14 5% 51% Median
15 43% 47%  
16 3% 3% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 4% 98%  
8 66% 95% Median
9 5% 29%  
10 9% 24%  
11 15% 15%  
12 0.4% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 82% 95% Last Result, Median
5 8% 14%  
6 4% 6%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.4%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0% 12%  
4 10% 12%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 100 99.9% 96–100 94–102 92–103 91–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 100 99.9% 96–100 94–101 92–103 91–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 87 3% 81–87 80–89 79–90 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 87 2% 81–87 80–89 79–89 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 87 2% 82–88 81–88 79–89 78–92
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 75 0% 75–79 73–81 72–83 69–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 74–78 72–80 72–81 68–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 66–73 65–73 64–74 62–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 67 0% 66–70 64–71 62–74 61–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 65–70 63–70 61–71 59–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 52–57 51–57 48–58 47–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 48 0% 48–53 47–53 45–56 43–57
Venstre 43 31 0% 31–35 30–35 29–37 27–39

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 2% 99.8%  
92 0.9% 98%  
93 1.2% 97%  
94 2% 96%  
95 2% 94%  
96 3% 91% Last Result
97 23% 89%  
98 12% 65% Median
99 2% 54%  
100 45% 52%  
101 0.9% 6%  
102 1.3% 6%  
103 3% 4%  
104 0.3% 2%  
105 0.5% 1.3%  
106 0.5% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0.3% 0.3%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 2% 99.8% Last Result
92 1.0% 98%  
93 2% 97%  
94 2% 95%  
95 2% 93%  
96 3% 91%  
97 23% 88%  
98 12% 65% Median
99 2% 54%  
100 45% 51%  
101 0.9% 6%  
102 1.3% 5%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.3% 2%  
105 0.4% 1.3%  
106 0.5% 0.9%  
107 0% 0.3%  
108 0.3% 0.3%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 1.0% 100%  
78 0.1% 98.9%  
79 4% 98.8%  
80 1.1% 95% Last Result
81 23% 94%  
82 0.8% 71%  
83 3% 71%  
84 3% 68%  
85 13% 65% Median
86 0.7% 52%  
87 45% 52%  
88 0.8% 7%  
89 4% 6%  
90 1.0% 3% Majority
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.6%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 1.0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 98.9%  
79 4% 98.8%  
80 2% 95%  
81 23% 94%  
82 0.8% 71%  
83 3% 70%  
84 3% 67%  
85 13% 65% Median
86 1.2% 52%  
87 45% 51%  
88 0.8% 6%  
89 4% 6%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.4% 0.5%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.9% Last Result
79 0.8% 98%  
80 1.3% 97%  
81 4% 96%  
82 3% 92%  
83 4% 89%  
84 2% 86%  
85 2% 83%  
86 31% 82% Median
87 1.2% 50%  
88 45% 49%  
89 2% 4%  
90 0.2% 2% Majority
91 0.4% 1.3%  
92 0.6% 1.0%  
93 0% 0.4%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 0.5% 99.7%  
70 0.5% 99.1%  
71 0.3% 98.7%  
72 3% 98%  
73 1.3% 96%  
74 0.9% 94% Median
75 45% 94%  
76 2% 48%  
77 12% 46%  
78 23% 35%  
79 3% 11% Last Result
80 2% 9%  
81 2% 6%  
82 1.2% 4%  
83 0.9% 3%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.5%  
69 0.9% 99.3%  
70 0.4% 98%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 4% 98%  
73 1.5% 93%  
74 4% 92% Median
75 46% 88%  
76 2% 42%  
77 11% 40%  
78 21% 29%  
79 3% 8% Last Result
80 3% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.4% 0.8%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.9%  
63 2% 99.5%  
64 1.3% 98% Last Result
65 4% 96%  
66 3% 92%  
67 2% 90%  
68 3% 88%  
69 43% 85% Median
70 21% 42%  
71 4% 21%  
72 3% 17%  
73 11% 14%  
74 1.4% 3%  
75 0.1% 2%  
76 0.6% 2%  
77 0.2% 0.9%  
78 0.5% 0.8%  
79 0.3% 0.3%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.3% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 2% 99.6%  
62 0.7% 98%  
63 1.2% 97%  
64 1.0% 96%  
65 2% 95%  
66 11% 93% Median
67 44% 82%  
68 4% 38%  
69 2% 34%  
70 26% 32%  
71 2% 6%  
72 0.9% 4%  
73 0.8% 3%  
74 0.2% 3%  
75 2% 2% Last Result
76 0.7% 0.7%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.3%  
61 2% 99.1%  
62 0.9% 97%  
63 1.4% 96%  
64 3% 95%  
65 2% 92%  
66 14% 89% Median
67 44% 75%  
68 3% 31%  
69 2% 28%  
70 23% 26%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.6% 1.1%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 1.4% 99.8%  
48 0.9% 98%  
49 1.3% 97%  
50 0.8% 96%  
51 1.5% 95%  
52 47% 94% Median
53 13% 47%  
54 2% 34%  
55 4% 31%  
56 2% 28%  
57 22% 25%  
58 2% 4%  
59 0.8% 2% Last Result
60 0.2% 1.2%  
61 0.7% 1.0%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 2% 99.9%  
44 0.3% 98%  
45 0.6% 98%  
46 1.5% 97%  
47 1.2% 96%  
48 48% 94% Median
49 15% 46%  
50 3% 31%  
51 3% 29%  
52 2% 26%  
53 21% 24%  
54 0.3% 3%  
55 0.2% 3% Last Result
56 0.8% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.7%  
28 0.2% 99.5%  
29 3% 99.3%  
30 4% 97%  
31 55% 93% Median
32 5% 37%  
33 4% 33%  
34 2% 29%  
35 22% 26%  
36 0.4% 5%  
37 3% 4%  
38 0.1% 2%  
39 2% 2%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations