Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 19–25 October 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.1% 26.9–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
Venstre 23.4% 20.4% 18.9–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.3–23.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 53 51–57 50–57 49–58 46–62
Venstre 43 38 32–39 32–40 32–41 31–44
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 16–19 15–19 14–21 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–17 14–18 13–19 12–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–16 12–17 12–18 10–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 9–15 9–15 9–15 8–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–10 8–11 7–11 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.3% 100%  
46 0.5% 99.7%  
47 1.1% 99.3%  
48 0.4% 98% Last Result
49 2% 98%  
50 4% 96%  
51 3% 92%  
52 1.3% 89%  
53 43% 88% Median
54 3% 45%  
55 27% 42%  
56 3% 16%  
57 10% 13%  
58 0.4% 3%  
59 0.7% 2%  
60 0.6% 2%  
61 0.4% 1.0%  
62 0.4% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.8%  
32 10% 98.9%  
33 0.6% 89%  
34 1.5% 88%  
35 28% 87%  
36 3% 59%  
37 3% 56%  
38 40% 53% Median
39 5% 13%  
40 3% 8%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
44 0.5% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100% Last Result
13 0.7% 99.8%  
14 3% 99.1%  
15 6% 96%  
16 15% 90%  
17 33% 75% Median
18 9% 42%  
19 28% 32%  
20 1.2% 4%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.5% 1.0%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 2% 99.2%  
14 6% 97% Last Result
15 3% 91%  
16 4% 88%  
17 75% 84% Median
18 5% 9%  
19 2% 4%  
20 0.5% 2%  
21 0.2% 2%  
22 1.3% 1.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.2%  
12 4% 98%  
13 14% 94% Last Result
14 5% 80%  
15 26% 76% Median
16 40% 49%  
17 7% 10%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.7% 100%  
9 38% 99.3%  
10 6% 61%  
11 14% 55% Median
12 5% 41%  
13 3% 36%  
14 6% 33%  
15 25% 28%  
16 1.4% 2%  
17 0.8% 0.8%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 1.2% 99.8%  
9 27% 98.6%  
10 6% 71%  
11 14% 65%  
12 43% 52% Median
13 7% 8%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 4% 99.7%  
8 15% 96%  
9 37% 80% Median
10 38% 44%  
11 4% 6%  
12 0.4% 2%  
13 1.1% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100%  
1 0% 55%  
2 0% 55%  
3 0% 55%  
4 44% 55% Last Result, Median
5 7% 11%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 14% 17%  
5 1.2% 3%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 9% 9%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 94% 91–98 89–98 87–99 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 95 93% 91–98 89–98 87–99 86–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 86 11% 82–90 79–90 78–90 77–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 86 11% 82–90 79–90 78–90 77–94
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.1% 77–84 77–86 76–88 73–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 74–82 73–84 73–85 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 80 0% 76–82 76–83 73–84 71–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 63–71 63–74 63–75 62–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 63–71 62–71 62–74 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 61–65 59–66 57–68 56–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 51–59 50–60 50–62 49–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 50–55 50–58 49–59 47–61
Venstre 43 38 0% 32–39 32–40 32–41 31–44

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 2% 99.9%  
87 0.6% 98%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 3% 96%  
90 3% 94% Majority
91 1.5% 91%  
92 2% 90%  
93 4% 88%  
94 2% 84% Median
95 32% 82%  
96 3% 49% Last Result
97 34% 46%  
98 9% 12%  
99 2% 3%  
100 0.3% 2%  
101 0.7% 1.4%  
102 0.3% 0.7%  
103 0.4% 0.4%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 2% 99.9%  
87 0.9% 98%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 3% 96%  
90 3% 93% Majority
91 1.2% 91% Last Result
92 2% 90%  
93 12% 88%  
94 2% 76% Median
95 33% 74%  
96 3% 41%  
97 26% 38%  
98 9% 12%  
99 1.4% 3%  
100 0.3% 2%  
101 0.7% 1.4%  
102 0.3% 0.7%  
103 0.4% 0.4%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 2% 99.7%  
78 0.8% 98%  
79 3% 97%  
80 0.9% 94% Last Result
81 1.4% 93%  
82 3% 92%  
83 2% 89%  
84 5% 87%  
85 3% 82% Median
86 30% 79%  
87 34% 49%  
88 2% 15%  
89 3% 13%  
90 9% 11% Majority
91 0.3% 2%  
92 0.2% 1.5%  
93 0.6% 1.3%  
94 0.6% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 2% 99.7%  
78 1.0% 98%  
79 3% 97%  
80 0.9% 94%  
81 1.4% 93%  
82 3% 92%  
83 10% 89%  
84 5% 79%  
85 3% 74% Median
86 31% 71%  
87 26% 41%  
88 2% 15%  
89 3% 13%  
90 9% 11% Majority
91 0.3% 2%  
92 0.2% 1.4%  
93 0.6% 1.3%  
94 0.6% 0.7%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.4% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.7% 99.3%  
75 0.3% 98.5%  
76 2% 98%  
77 9% 97%  
78 34% 88%  
79 3% 54% Last Result
80 33% 51%  
81 2% 18%  
82 4% 16% Median
83 2% 12%  
84 1.4% 10%  
85 3% 9%  
86 3% 6%  
87 0.8% 4%  
88 0.6% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 8% 99.4%  
74 1.1% 91%  
75 0.7% 90%  
76 2% 89%  
77 1.4% 87%  
78 34% 86%  
79 4% 52% Last Result
80 32% 48%  
81 3% 16%  
82 5% 13% Median
83 2% 8%  
84 1.1% 6%  
85 3% 5%  
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 1.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 98.7%  
73 1.1% 98.5%  
74 1.2% 97%  
75 0.8% 96%  
76 6% 95%  
77 2% 89%  
78 4% 88% Last Result
79 32% 83% Median
80 11% 52%  
81 0.9% 40%  
82 34% 39%  
83 2% 6%  
84 1.5% 3%  
85 1.3% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 99.8%  
63 26% 99.0%  
64 1.2% 73%  
65 0.7% 72%  
66 9% 71%  
67 1.2% 63%  
68 7% 62%  
69 11% 54%  
70 4% 44%  
71 32% 40% Median
72 2% 8%  
73 0.8% 7%  
74 1.4% 6%  
75 2% 5% Last Result
76 0.3% 2%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.8% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.3% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.2% 99.6%  
62 9% 99.3%  
63 27% 90%  
64 1.2% 64%  
65 1.0% 63%  
66 2% 62%  
67 1.3% 60%  
68 8% 58%  
69 10% 50%  
70 3% 40%  
71 33% 37% Median
72 1.2% 4%  
73 0.6% 3%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.8% 1.0% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 98%  
58 2% 97%  
59 2% 95%  
60 2% 94%  
61 4% 92%  
62 35% 88% Median
63 11% 53%  
64 4% 43% Last Result
65 34% 39%  
66 1.1% 5%  
67 0.7% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.4% 1.2%  
70 0.1% 0.8%  
71 0.6% 0.7%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.7% 99.9%  
50 8% 99.2%  
51 2% 91%  
52 1.5% 89%  
53 0.8% 88%  
54 25% 87%  
55 5% 62%  
56 1.1% 57%  
57 2% 56%  
58 14% 54%  
59 33% 40% Last Result, Median
60 2% 6%  
61 2% 4%  
62 1.2% 3%  
63 0.4% 2%  
64 0.8% 1.2%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.8% 99.7%  
48 0.3% 98.9%  
49 1.1% 98.6%  
50 8% 97%  
51 4% 89%  
52 3% 85%  
53 3% 82%  
54 36% 79%  
55 35% 43% Last Result, Median
56 2% 9%  
57 1.1% 6%  
58 1.4% 5%  
59 2% 4%  
60 0.8% 2%  
61 0.4% 0.9%  
62 0.4% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.8%  
32 10% 98.9%  
33 0.6% 89%  
34 1.5% 88%  
35 28% 87%  
36 3% 59%  
37 3% 56%  
38 40% 53% Median
39 5% 13%  
40 3% 8%  
41 3% 4%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
44 0.5% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations