Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 26 October–1 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–32.9% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.3%
Venstre 23.4% 19.4% 17.9–21.1% 17.5–21.5% 17.1–21.9% 16.4–22.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 53–59 52–60 51–61 48–62
Venstre 43 35 31–37 31–39 30–39 29–40
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 19 16–20 16–21 15–21 14–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–18 14–19 13–19 13–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–15 11–15 10–16 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–13 9–13 8–13 8–15
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 8–13
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 6–12
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–7 0–7 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.3% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.7%  
48 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
49 0.2% 99.4%  
50 1.2% 99.1%  
51 1.0% 98%  
52 3% 97%  
53 13% 94%  
54 2% 81%  
55 14% 79%  
56 31% 66% Median
57 0.5% 35%  
58 24% 34%  
59 3% 11%  
60 4% 7%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.4% 0.7%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.8% 99.9%  
30 3% 99.1%  
31 9% 96%  
32 5% 87%  
33 10% 83%  
34 13% 72%  
35 28% 59% Median
36 18% 31%  
37 3% 12%  
38 2% 9%  
39 6% 7%  
40 0.2% 0.6%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 3% 99.4%  
16 8% 96%  
17 12% 89%  
18 21% 77%  
19 34% 56% Median
20 17% 22%  
21 4% 5%  
22 0.5% 0.7%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9%  
13 4% 99.7%  
14 7% 96% Last Result
15 40% 89% Median
16 22% 50%  
17 10% 28%  
18 12% 18%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 4% 99.9%  
11 7% 96%  
12 39% 89%  
13 12% 50% Last Result, Median
14 17% 38%  
15 17% 21%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.0% 1.3%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 4% 99.9%  
9 33% 96%  
10 20% 63% Median
11 6% 44%  
12 14% 38%  
13 22% 24%  
14 0.9% 2%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 12% 99.7%  
9 23% 88%  
10 42% 65% Median
11 12% 23%  
12 8% 11%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.6% 99.9%  
7 2% 99.4%  
8 20% 98%  
9 21% 78%  
10 46% 57% Median
11 10% 12%  
12 0.8% 1.2%  
13 0.3% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 0% 72%  
2 0% 72%  
3 14% 72%  
4 39% 58% Median
5 9% 19%  
6 2% 10%  
7 7% 7%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100%  
1 0% 72%  
2 0% 72%  
3 0% 72%  
4 23% 72% Last Result, Median
5 42% 49%  
6 6% 7%  
7 0.8% 0.8%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 98% 92–99 91–100 91–102 87–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 94 98% 92–99 91–100 91–102 87–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 4% 81–89 81–89 80–91 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 84 4% 81–89 81–89 80–91 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 3% 79–85 79–87 77–90 74–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0.2% 76–83 75–84 73–84 72–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 73–79 71–80 70–82 69–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 70 0% 63–73 63–74 62–75 60–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 61–70 61–71 61–72 59–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 61–69 60–69 60–70 59–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 52–59 52–60 51–61 49–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 48–55 47–59 47–59 46–59
Venstre 43 35 0% 31–37 31–39 30–39 29–40

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.4% 99.7%  
88 0.3% 99.3%  
89 0.7% 99.0%  
90 0.6% 98% Majority
91 7% 98%  
92 1.5% 90%  
93 38% 89%  
94 5% 51% Median
95 14% 47%  
96 4% 33% Last Result
97 4% 29%  
98 15% 25%  
99 2% 10%  
100 4% 8%  
101 1.4% 5%  
102 0.9% 3%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0.2% 0.2%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0.4% 99.7%  
88 0.3% 99.3%  
89 0.7% 99.0%  
90 0.6% 98% Majority
91 7% 98% Last Result
92 2% 90%  
93 38% 89%  
94 5% 51% Median
95 14% 47%  
96 4% 33%  
97 4% 29%  
98 15% 25%  
99 2% 10%  
100 4% 8%  
101 1.4% 4%  
102 0.9% 3%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.3%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.2%  
107 0.2% 0.2%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.3% 99.3%  
79 0.7% 99.0%  
80 2% 98% Last Result
81 7% 96%  
82 2% 90%  
83 30% 87%  
84 9% 57% Median
85 12% 49%  
86 7% 36%  
87 4% 29%  
88 2% 25%  
89 18% 22%  
90 2% 4% Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0% 99.8% Last Result
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.2% 99.5%  
78 0.3% 99.3%  
79 0.7% 99.0%  
80 2% 98%  
81 7% 96%  
82 2% 89%  
83 30% 87%  
84 9% 57% Median
85 12% 49%  
86 7% 36%  
87 4% 29%  
88 2% 25%  
89 18% 22%  
90 2% 4% Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.2% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.5% 99.5%  
76 1.0% 98.9%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 1.2% 97% Last Result
79 11% 96%  
80 7% 85%  
81 33% 78% Median
82 8% 45%  
83 21% 37%  
84 6% 16%  
85 3% 10%  
86 1.3% 8%  
87 2% 6%  
88 0.2% 4%  
89 0.8% 4%  
90 3% 3% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0.2% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.2% 99.7%  
72 2% 99.5%  
73 1.0% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 3% 95%  
76 9% 92%  
77 17% 82%  
78 4% 65%  
79 4% 60% Last Result
80 7% 57%  
81 2% 50%  
82 37% 48% Median
83 1.4% 11%  
84 7% 9%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.3% 1.0%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 2% 99.3%  
71 2% 97%  
72 4% 95%  
73 11% 91%  
74 3% 80%  
75 6% 76%  
76 2% 70%  
77 20% 68%  
78 30% 48% Median
79 11% 18% Last Result
80 4% 7%  
81 0.6% 3%  
82 0.6% 3%  
83 0.4% 2%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.4% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.5%  
62 2% 99.2%  
63 8% 97%  
64 15% 89%  
65 4% 74%  
66 4% 71%  
67 5% 67%  
68 6% 62%  
69 2% 56%  
70 12% 54%  
71 3% 42%  
72 3% 39% Median
73 28% 36%  
74 5% 8%  
75 1.3% 3% Last Result
76 0.8% 1.3%  
77 0.1% 0.5%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.6%  
60 0.7% 99.2%  
61 10% 98%  
62 2% 88%  
63 3% 86%  
64 6% 84% Last Result
65 8% 77%  
66 33% 69% Median
67 16% 36%  
68 2% 20%  
69 8% 18%  
70 3% 10%  
71 4% 7%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.2% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.6%  
60 8% 99.2%  
61 1.4% 91%  
62 6% 89%  
63 6% 84%  
64 18% 78%  
65 3% 60%  
66 2% 57%  
67 18% 55%  
68 5% 37% Median
69 28% 32%  
70 2% 4%  
71 0.6% 2%  
72 0.3% 1.0%  
73 0.7% 0.8%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.4% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.5%  
51 3% 99.1%  
52 9% 97%  
53 5% 87%  
54 17% 83%  
55 6% 66%  
56 4% 60%  
57 7% 56%  
58 11% 48% Median
59 32% 37% Last Result
60 2% 6%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.9%  
64 0.4% 0.7%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.7%  
47 8% 99.5%  
48 3% 91%  
49 5% 88%  
50 2% 83%  
51 4% 81%  
52 5% 77%  
53 6% 72%  
54 53% 66% Median
55 4% 13% Last Result
56 2% 9%  
57 0.4% 7%  
58 1.3% 7%  
59 5% 5%  
60 0.3% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.8% 99.9%  
30 3% 99.1%  
31 9% 96%  
32 5% 87%  
33 10% 83%  
34 13% 72%  
35 28% 59% Median
36 18% 31%  
37 3% 12%  
38 2% 9%  
39 6% 7%  
40 0.2% 0.6%  
41 0.3% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations