Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 2–7 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.5% 30.7–34.4% 30.1–34.9% 29.7–35.4% 28.8–36.4%
Venstre 23.4% 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.9–11.5% 7.4–12.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.9–10.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 58–59 56–60 56–62 52–64
Venstre 43 31 31–34 31–35 31–35 29–37
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 16–17 15–19 15–19 14–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 15–16 14–17 13–17 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–11 9–11 8–12 8–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 10–11 9–11 9–12 8–13
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8 8–9 7–10 6–11
Kristendemokraterne 0 5 5 4–6 4–6 0–8
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 4–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.8% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.0%  
54 0.3% 98.8%  
55 0.5% 98%  
56 6% 98%  
57 1.2% 92%  
58 69% 91% Median
59 16% 22%  
60 2% 6%  
61 0.7% 4%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.5% 1.1%  
64 0.2% 0.6%  
65 0.4% 0.4%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.4% 99.8%  
30 2% 99.4%  
31 69% 98% Median
32 5% 28%  
33 2% 24%  
34 16% 22%  
35 4% 6%  
36 1.3% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0.1% 100%  
14 1.2% 99.8%  
15 5% 98.6%  
16 5% 94%  
17 83% 90% Median
18 1.0% 7%  
19 5% 6%  
20 0.4% 0.7%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 4% 99.4%  
14 2% 95% Last Result
15 82% 93% Median
16 4% 11%  
17 6% 7%  
18 0.8% 1.4%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.8%  
12 13% 99.0%  
13 5% 86% Last Result
14 4% 82%  
15 73% 78% Median
16 3% 5%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.4%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 3% 99.9%  
9 14% 97%  
10 7% 83%  
11 71% 76% Median
12 3% 5%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 1.2% 99.8%  
9 6% 98.6%  
10 76% 93% Median
11 14% 17%  
12 1.1% 3%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.0% 100%  
7 2% 99.0%  
8 87% 97% Median
9 7% 10%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.2% 0.5%  
12 0.3% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0.1% 98%  
4 6% 98%  
5 85% 92% Median
6 5% 7%  
7 1.0% 2%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 9% 95% Last Result
5 85% 86% Median
6 1.2% 1.3%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 96 99.6% 94–97 94–98 93–100 90–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 96 99.6% 94–97 94–98 93–100 90–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 88 6% 86–88 86–90 85–91 82–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 88 6% 86–88 86–90 85–91 82–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.2% 81–82 81–83 79–84 76–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 78–81 77–81 75–82 72–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 74–76 72–76 69–77 67–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 69–70 67–70 65–72 62–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 66–67 65–68 64–70 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 64–65 62–65 60–67 57–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 53–56 51–56 50–56 47–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 48 0% 48–51 48–51 47–51 45–54
Venstre 43 31 0% 31–34 31–35 31–35 29–37

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.9%  
90 1.0% 99.6% Majority
91 0.4% 98.7%  
92 0.6% 98%  
93 1.1% 98%  
94 13% 96%  
95 0.6% 83%  
96 71% 83% Last Result, Median
97 7% 12%  
98 0.5% 5%  
99 1.1% 5%  
100 3% 4%  
101 0.2% 0.9%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0.3% 0.6%  
104 0.4% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 1.0% 99.6% Majority
91 0.4% 98.6% Last Result
92 0.6% 98%  
93 1.1% 98%  
94 13% 96%  
95 0.6% 83%  
96 71% 83% Median
97 7% 12%  
98 0.5% 5%  
99 1.1% 5%  
100 3% 4%  
101 0.2% 0.9%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0.3% 0.6%  
104 0.4% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 1.1% 99.7%  
83 0.7% 98.6%  
84 0.3% 98%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 14% 97%  
87 1.0% 83%  
88 74% 82% Median
89 2% 8%  
90 2% 6% Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.8% 1.5%  
93 0.2% 0.7%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 1.1% 99.7%  
83 0.7% 98.6%  
84 0.3% 98%  
85 0.6% 98%  
86 14% 97%  
87 1.0% 83%  
88 74% 82% Median
89 2% 8%  
90 2% 6% Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.8% 1.5%  
93 0.2% 0.7%  
94 0.4% 0.5%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.9% 99.6%  
77 0.5% 98.7%  
78 0.2% 98% Last Result
79 0.8% 98%  
80 2% 97%  
81 70% 96% Median
82 16% 26%  
83 5% 9%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.3% 1.4%  
87 0.3% 1.1%  
88 0.5% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.4% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 0% 99.4%  
74 0.3% 99.3%  
75 3% 99.1%  
76 1.1% 96%  
77 0.5% 95%  
78 7% 95%  
79 71% 88% Last Result, Median
80 0.6% 17%  
81 13% 17%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 1.0% 1.3%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.4% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.5%  
68 0.5% 99.4%  
69 1.5% 98.9%  
70 0.3% 97%  
71 0.7% 97%  
72 2% 96%  
73 1.4% 94%  
74 75% 93% Median
75 1.5% 18%  
76 13% 17%  
77 2% 4%  
78 0.3% 2%  
79 0.4% 2% Last Result
80 1.0% 1.3%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.5% 99.9%  
63 0.6% 99.5%  
64 0.4% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 2% 97%  
67 1.0% 95%  
68 3% 94%  
69 74% 91% Median
70 12% 17%  
71 2% 4%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.2% 1.3%  
74 0.6% 1.0%  
75 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.7% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.1%  
62 0.4% 98.9%  
63 0.6% 98%  
64 1.3% 98% Last Result
65 5% 97%  
66 69% 91% Median
67 17% 23%  
68 1.0% 6%  
69 0.6% 5%  
70 3% 4%  
71 0.2% 1.4%  
72 0.4% 1.2%  
73 0.4% 0.8%  
74 0% 0.4%  
75 0.4% 0.4%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.5% 99.9%  
58 0.9% 99.4%  
59 0.6% 98.6%  
60 0.6% 98%  
61 2% 97%  
62 2% 96%  
63 2% 94%  
64 71% 92% Median
65 17% 22%  
66 0.8% 4%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.7% 1.4%  
69 0.2% 0.7%  
70 0.3% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 0.3% 99.3%  
49 0.6% 99.0%  
50 1.3% 98%  
51 2% 97%  
52 1.0% 95%  
53 69% 94% Median
54 3% 24%  
55 8% 21%  
56 12% 13%  
57 0.6% 1.2%  
58 0.2% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 1.0% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 98.9%  
47 2% 98.7%  
48 69% 97% Median
49 3% 28%  
50 3% 26%  
51 20% 22%  
52 0.8% 2%  
53 0.5% 1.1%  
54 0.2% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.4% 99.8%  
30 2% 99.4%  
31 69% 98% Median
32 5% 28%  
33 2% 24%  
34 16% 22%  
35 4% 6%  
36 1.3% 2%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations