Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 6–11 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.5% 31.8–35.3% 31.4–35.8% 31.0–36.2% 30.1–37.0%
Venstre 23.4% 15.7% 14.4–17.1% 14.1–17.5% 13.8–17.8% 13.2–18.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.5–11.8% 8.0–12.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.3–11.1% 8.1–11.4% 7.6–11.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.9–8.8% 6.6–9.1% 6.4–9.4% 6.0–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.3% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.3–5.6% 3.0–6.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 56–64 55–64 54–65 52–66
Venstre 43 29 26–34 24–34 24–34 23–34
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 16–20 15–21 15–22 14–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 14–20 13–21 13–21 13–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–18 12–19 11–19 10–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–14 9–14 9–14 8–15
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 11 10–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 7 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–7 4–7 4–8 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.6% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.4%  
54 2% 98.8%  
55 3% 96%  
56 7% 94%  
57 5% 87%  
58 14% 82%  
59 14% 67%  
60 7% 53% Median
61 8% 45%  
62 1.0% 37%  
63 11% 36%  
64 23% 25%  
65 0.8% 3%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 1.3% 100%  
24 4% 98.7%  
25 3% 94%  
26 5% 91%  
27 6% 86%  
28 23% 81%  
29 10% 58% Median
30 2% 47%  
31 9% 45%  
32 1.4% 36%  
33 23% 35%  
34 11% 11%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0.4% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.6%  
15 6% 99.4%  
16 11% 93%  
17 40% 83% Median
18 26% 43%  
19 5% 17%  
20 7% 12%  
21 3% 6%  
22 3% 3%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 6% 100%  
14 15% 93%  
15 3% 79%  
16 36% 76% Median
17 5% 40%  
18 5% 35%  
19 9% 30%  
20 13% 21%  
21 8% 8%  
22 0.2% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 3% 99.2%  
12 6% 96%  
13 10% 90% Last Result
14 10% 80%  
15 45% 70% Median
16 9% 25%  
17 3% 16%  
18 7% 13%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.2% 1.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.5% 99.9%  
9 33% 98%  
10 29% 65% Median
11 7% 36%  
12 8% 30%  
13 8% 22%  
14 11% 13%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.2% 99.7%  
10 35% 99.6%  
11 32% 64% Median
12 17% 33%  
13 5% 15%  
14 7% 10% Last Result
15 1.1% 3%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.1% 100%  
6 13% 98.9%  
7 45% 86% Median
8 23% 41%  
9 11% 18%  
10 5% 8%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 42% 98% Last Result
5 22% 56% Median
6 9% 34%  
7 21% 24%  
8 3% 4%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 23%  
2 0% 23%  
3 0% 23%  
4 18% 23%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 96 80% 88–99 88–99 86–100 84–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 96 80% 88–99 88–99 86–100 84–102
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 15% 82–90 80–92 80–92 76–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 15% 82–90 80–92 80–92 76–94
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 1.1% 76–87 76–87 75–89 73–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0.2% 76–86 72–87 72–87 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 75–83 74–84 73–86 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 63–71 63–71 61–72 60–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 62–67 58–69 57–70 54–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 59–66 57–66 57–67 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 49–56 48–56 47–56 45–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 43–52 43–52 41–52 40–52
Venstre 43 29 0% 26–34 24–34 24–34 23–34

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.9% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.0%  
86 2% 98.9%  
87 1.1% 97%  
88 8% 96%  
89 8% 88%  
90 4% 80% Majority
91 5% 76%  
92 4% 71%  
93 12% 67% Median
94 2% 55%  
95 2% 53%  
96 26% 51% Last Result
97 2% 26%  
98 4% 24%  
99 17% 20%  
100 1.1% 3%  
101 0.3% 1.5%  
102 1.0% 1.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.9% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.0%  
86 2% 98.9%  
87 1.1% 97%  
88 8% 96%  
89 8% 88%  
90 4% 80% Majority
91 5% 76% Last Result
92 4% 71%  
93 12% 67% Median
94 2% 55%  
95 2% 53%  
96 26% 51%  
97 2% 26%  
98 4% 24%  
99 17% 20%  
100 1.1% 3%  
101 0.3% 1.5%  
102 1.0% 1.2%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.6% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 0.5% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 98.5%  
80 5% 98% Last Result
81 2% 93%  
82 14% 91%  
83 2% 77%  
84 5% 75%  
85 13% 70%  
86 2% 57% Median
87 3% 55%  
88 5% 53%  
89 32% 47%  
90 5% 15% Majority
91 0.3% 10%  
92 8% 10%  
93 0.1% 1.4%  
94 1.1% 1.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100% Last Result
76 0.6% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.3%  
78 0.5% 99.0%  
79 0.9% 98.5%  
80 5% 98%  
81 2% 93%  
82 14% 91%  
83 2% 77%  
84 5% 75%  
85 13% 70%  
86 2% 57% Median
87 3% 55%  
88 5% 53%  
89 32% 47%  
90 5% 15% Majority
91 0.3% 10%  
92 8% 10%  
93 0.1% 1.4%  
94 1.1% 1.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 1.0% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 98.8%  
75 1.3% 98.5%  
76 17% 97%  
77 4% 80% Median
78 2% 76%  
79 25% 74% Last Result
80 2% 49%  
81 2% 47%  
82 12% 45%  
83 4% 33%  
84 5% 29%  
85 4% 24%  
86 8% 20%  
87 8% 12%  
88 1.1% 4%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.1% 1.1% Majority
91 0.9% 1.0%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 5% 99.9%  
73 1.1% 95%  
74 0.4% 94%  
75 2% 93%  
76 12% 91%  
77 5% 79% Median
78 4% 74%  
79 26% 70% Last Result
80 2% 44%  
81 3% 42%  
82 19% 39%  
83 1.2% 21%  
84 5% 19%  
85 3% 15%  
86 3% 11%  
87 7% 8%  
88 1.0% 1.2%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.6%  
73 2% 98.9%  
74 4% 97%  
75 15% 92%  
76 1.2% 77%  
77 6% 76%  
78 15% 70% Last Result, Median
79 6% 55%  
80 3% 49%  
81 29% 46%  
82 1.2% 16%  
83 6% 15%  
84 5% 9%  
85 1.5% 4%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.9% 1.2%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0.9% 99.8%  
61 1.5% 98.9%  
62 1.5% 97%  
63 9% 96%  
64 10% 87% Last Result
65 5% 77%  
66 1.1% 73%  
67 21% 71% Median
68 2% 50%  
69 7% 49%  
70 10% 42%  
71 28% 32%  
72 1.5% 4%  
73 0.4% 2%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.0% 100%  
55 0% 99.0%  
56 0% 98.9%  
57 3% 98.9%  
58 1.5% 95%  
59 0.5% 94%  
60 0.4% 93%  
61 3% 93% Median
62 11% 90%  
63 31% 80%  
64 5% 48%  
65 3% 43%  
66 29% 40%  
67 2% 11%  
68 3% 10%  
69 2% 7%  
70 2% 5%  
71 0.5% 2%  
72 2% 2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.0% 100%  
55 0% 98.9%  
56 0.1% 98.9%  
57 4% 98.8%  
58 2% 95%  
59 6% 93%  
60 1.0% 87%  
61 4% 86% Median
62 15% 82%  
63 27% 66%  
64 7% 39%  
65 2% 32%  
66 26% 30%  
67 3% 5%  
68 1.2% 2%  
69 0.2% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.7%  
46 1.4% 99.4%  
47 2% 98%  
48 6% 96%  
49 4% 90%  
50 12% 86%  
51 7% 75% Median
52 16% 68%  
53 8% 51%  
54 23% 44%  
55 4% 21%  
56 15% 17%  
57 1.5% 2%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.5% 99.7%  
41 3% 99.2%  
42 0.7% 96%  
43 8% 95%  
44 8% 88%  
45 14% 79%  
46 5% 65% Median
47 15% 61%  
48 4% 46%  
49 1.4% 42%  
50 26% 40%  
51 1.5% 15%  
52 13% 13%  
53 0% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 1.3% 100%  
24 4% 98.7%  
25 3% 94%  
26 5% 91%  
27 6% 86%  
28 23% 81%  
29 10% 58% Median
30 2% 47%  
31 9% 45%  
32 1.4% 36%  
33 23% 35%  
34 11% 11%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations