Opinion Poll by Gallup, 6–12 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.2% 27.8–30.7% 27.4–31.1% 27.1–31.4% 26.4–32.2%
Venstre 23.4% 18.4% 17.2–19.7% 16.9–20.0% 16.6–20.3% 16.0–21.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.8% 8.9–10.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.5–11.3% 8.0–11.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.6–10.4% 7.2–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.6–8.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.8% 5.9–9.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.6–7.1% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.9–8.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.3–7.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.3% 1.3–2.4% 1.3–2.6% 1.1–2.8%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3%
Borgerlisten 0.8% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 53 51–53 51–55 49–55 48–56
Venstre 43 37 33–37 32–37 30–37 30–38
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 17–21 16–21 16–21 16–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 15–16 14–17 14–17 13–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–14 12–15 12–16 11–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–14 12–15 12–15 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 11–13 11–14 10–14 9–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 9–11 9–12 9–12 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5 5–6 4–6 4–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgerlisten 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
49 4% 99.4%  
50 0.7% 96%  
51 30% 95%  
52 2% 65%  
53 55% 62% Median
54 1.0% 7%  
55 5% 6%  
56 1.3% 2%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 96%  
32 2% 96%  
33 31% 94%  
34 9% 63%  
35 1.0% 54%  
36 0.7% 53%  
37 51% 52% Median
38 0.6% 1.0%  
39 0.4% 0.4%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 6% 99.7%  
17 54% 94% Median
18 6% 40%  
19 3% 34%  
20 4% 31%  
21 26% 27%  
22 0.6% 0.8%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.9%  
14 7% 99.3%  
15 6% 92%  
16 79% 86% Median
17 5% 6%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.2% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 32% 99.4%  
13 53% 68% Last Result, Median
14 7% 14%  
15 3% 7%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 2% 99.4%  
12 6% 98%  
13 30% 92%  
14 55% 62% Last Result, Median
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.7%  
10 3% 98.8%  
11 82% 96% Median
12 2% 13%  
13 5% 12%  
14 6% 7%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 83% 99.3% Median
10 2% 16%  
11 6% 14%  
12 6% 8%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 3% 99.6% Last Result
5 88% 97% Median
6 7% 9%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 30%  
2 0% 30%  
3 0% 30%  
4 29% 30%  
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgerlisten

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 68% 87–92 87–94 87–97 86–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 91 68% 87–92 87–94 87–97 86–97
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 84 0.2% 83–88 81–88 78–88 78–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 84 0.1% 82–84 80–85 78–86 78–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0% 76–80 76–81 76–83 74–83
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0% 76–80 76–81 76–83 74–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 75–78 75–79 75–83 72–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 67–72 66–72 64–72 64–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 67–68 64–69 64–70 63–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 62–65 62–67 62–69 59–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 55–59 55–59 55–59 53–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 50–54 50–54 49–54 48–56
Venstre 43 37 0% 33–37 32–37 30–37 30–38

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.9%  
86 0.4% 99.8%  
87 27% 99.3%  
88 2% 72%  
89 2% 71%  
90 5% 68% Majority
91 52% 64% Median
92 3% 11%  
93 0.3% 8%  
94 4% 8%  
95 0.2% 4%  
96 0.2% 4% Last Result
97 4% 4%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.9%  
86 0.4% 99.8%  
87 27% 99.3%  
88 2% 72%  
89 2% 71%  
90 5% 68% Majority
91 52% 64% Last Result, Median
92 3% 11%  
93 0.3% 8%  
94 4% 8%  
95 0.2% 4%  
96 0.2% 4%  
97 4% 4%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 4% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 96% Last Result
80 0.2% 96%  
81 4% 96%  
82 0.3% 92%  
83 3% 92%  
84 52% 89% Median
85 5% 36%  
86 2% 32%  
87 2% 29%  
88 27% 28%  
89 0.4% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 4% 99.9%  
79 0.5% 96% Last Result
80 0.9% 96%  
81 4% 95%  
82 1.1% 91%  
83 4% 90%  
84 78% 86% Median
85 5% 8%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.9% 1.3%  
88 0% 0.4%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.5%  
76 28% 99.4%  
77 0.7% 71%  
78 5% 71%  
79 5% 66%  
80 51% 61% Last Result, Median
81 5% 10%  
82 0.6% 5%  
83 4% 4%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
76 28% 99.4%  
77 0.7% 71%  
78 5% 71%  
79 5% 66%  
80 51% 61% Median
81 5% 10%  
82 0.6% 5%  
83 4% 4%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.6% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.3%  
74 1.1% 99.0%  
75 29% 98%  
76 0.5% 68%  
77 3% 68%  
78 59% 65% Last Result, Median
79 1.3% 6%  
80 0.3% 5%  
81 0.3% 4%  
82 0.2% 4%  
83 4% 4%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 4% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 96%  
66 4% 96%  
67 2% 92%  
68 53% 90% Median
69 4% 36%  
70 4% 33%  
71 0.6% 29%  
72 27% 28%  
73 0.7% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.9%  
75 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.9% 99.7%  
64 4% 98.8%  
65 0.4% 95%  
66 4% 94%  
67 2% 90%  
68 80% 88% Median
69 4% 8%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0% 0.4%  
73 0% 0.3%  
74 0.3% 0.3%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.8%  
60 0.7% 99.0%  
61 0.5% 98%  
62 32% 98%  
63 3% 66%  
64 52% 63% Last Result, Median
65 1.2% 11%  
66 4% 10%  
67 0.8% 6%  
68 0.8% 5%  
69 4% 4%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.6%  
54 0.8% 99.2%  
55 9% 98%  
56 2% 90%  
57 5% 87%  
58 2% 83%  
59 79% 80% Last Result, Median
60 0.1% 1.4%  
61 0.5% 1.3%  
62 0.4% 0.7%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.4% 99.7%  
49 4% 99.3%  
50 5% 95%  
51 3% 90%  
52 4% 87%  
53 2% 82%  
54 79% 80% Median
55 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
56 0.7% 0.9%  
57 0% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 4% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 96%  
32 2% 96%  
33 31% 94%  
34 9% 63%  
35 1.0% 54%  
36 0.7% 53%  
37 51% 52% Median
38 0.6% 1.0%  
39 0.4% 0.4%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations