Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 9–15 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.3% 29.5–33.2% 29.0–33.8% 28.6–34.2% 27.7–35.1%
Venstre 23.4% 18.6% 17.1–20.2% 16.7–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.6–21.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 53–57 52–59 52–60 50–62
Venstre 43 34 31–35 30–37 29–37 28–38
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 18 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–18 14–19 13–20 12–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 14–17 14–18 13–18 12–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 8–11 7–12 7–13 7–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 8–11 8–11 7–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–12 7–12 7–12 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–6 4–7 4–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–6 0–7 0–7
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9% Last Result
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 0.8% 99.1%  
52 5% 98%  
53 12% 94%  
54 8% 82%  
55 16% 74%  
56 9% 58% Median
57 39% 49%  
58 3% 10%  
59 4% 7%  
60 1.3% 4%  
61 2% 2%  
62 0.5% 0.7%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.6%  
29 3% 98%  
30 3% 95%  
31 6% 92%  
32 13% 86%  
33 13% 73%  
34 39% 60% Median
35 13% 21%  
36 1.3% 8%  
37 4% 7%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 2% 100%  
14 4% 98%  
15 15% 94%  
16 6% 79%  
17 8% 73%  
18 53% 65% Median
19 8% 12%  
20 2% 4%  
21 0.9% 1.4%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.3%  
14 40% 97% Last Result
15 11% 57% Median
16 16% 46%  
17 16% 30%  
18 5% 13%  
19 6% 8%  
20 0.7% 3%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.0% Last Result
14 14% 96%  
15 13% 82%  
16 18% 70%  
17 43% 52% Median
18 6% 8%  
19 1.0% 2%  
20 0.9% 1.0%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 5% 99.5%  
8 15% 95%  
9 7% 80%  
10 21% 73%  
11 46% 52% Median
12 3% 7%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.2% 0.8%  
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 4% 99.7%  
8 20% 96%  
9 48% 76% Median
10 15% 28%  
11 8% 12%  
12 3% 4%  
13 1.3% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.7% 100%  
7 4% 99.3%  
8 12% 95%  
9 53% 83% Median
10 8% 30%  
11 12% 22%  
12 10% 11%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 20% 98% Last Result
5 18% 78%  
6 54% 60% Median
7 5% 6%  
8 0.8% 0.9%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 21% 56% Median
5 25% 35%  
6 7% 10%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 99.2% 94–98 93–100 92–103 89–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 97 99.2% 94–98 93–100 92–103 89–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 88 14% 85–90 83–92 82–94 80–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 88 14% 85–90 83–92 82–94 80–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 80 0.2% 78–84 78–84 76–87 74–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 76–81 74–82 72–83 70–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 72–78 70–78 69–79 65–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 66–71 65–73 63–74 61–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 62–69 61–69 60–70 57–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 63–67 62–68 61–69 59–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 52–58 50–59 50–60 48–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 47–52 45–53 45–54 44–56
Venstre 43 34 0% 31–35 30–37 29–37 28–38

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.7% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.2% Majority
91 1.4% 98.9%  
92 1.2% 98%  
93 4% 96%  
94 3% 92%  
95 7% 89%  
96 13% 82% Last Result
97 40% 69% Median
98 21% 29%  
99 2% 9%  
100 2% 7%  
101 1.0% 5%  
102 1.0% 4%  
103 0.9% 3%  
104 1.3% 2%  
105 0.1% 0.6%  
106 0.5% 0.5%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.7% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.2% Majority
91 1.4% 98.9% Last Result
92 1.2% 98%  
93 4% 96%  
94 3% 92%  
95 7% 89%  
96 13% 82%  
97 40% 69% Median
98 21% 29%  
99 2% 9%  
100 2% 7%  
101 1.0% 5%  
102 1.0% 4%  
103 0.9% 3%  
104 1.3% 2%  
105 0.1% 0.6%  
106 0.5% 0.5%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.7% Last Result
81 0.7% 99.0%  
82 3% 98%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 94%  
85 9% 92%  
86 16% 83%  
87 9% 67%  
88 37% 58% Median
89 7% 21%  
90 7% 14% Majority
91 2% 7%  
92 2% 5%  
93 0.5% 3%  
94 1.3% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.3%  
96 0.6% 0.7%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.7% 99.7%  
81 0.7% 99.0%  
82 3% 98%  
83 2% 96%  
84 2% 94%  
85 9% 92%  
86 16% 83%  
87 9% 67%  
88 37% 58% Median
89 7% 21%  
90 7% 14% Majority
91 2% 7%  
92 2% 5%  
93 0.5% 3%  
94 1.3% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.3%  
96 0.6% 0.7%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.9% 99.9%  
75 1.4% 99.0%  
76 0.6% 98%  
77 1.3% 97%  
78 7% 96% Last Result
79 3% 89%  
80 51% 85% Median
81 9% 34%  
82 5% 25%  
83 3% 20%  
84 13% 17%  
85 1.0% 5%  
86 1.2% 4%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.9%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.5% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 1.3% 99.4%  
72 0.9% 98%  
73 1.1% 97%  
74 1.1% 96%  
75 2% 95%  
76 4% 93%  
77 20% 89%  
78 40% 68%  
79 13% 28% Last Result
80 4% 15%  
81 3% 11%  
82 4% 8% Median
83 1.2% 4%  
84 1.4% 2%  
85 0.2% 1.0%  
86 0.6% 0.8%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.4% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.5%  
67 1.3% 99.5%  
68 0.5% 98%  
69 0.7% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 95%  
72 10% 92%  
73 14% 82%  
74 11% 68%  
75 7% 57%  
76 2% 50%  
77 6% 48%  
78 38% 42% Median
79 2% 4% Last Result
80 2% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.8%  
62 2% 99.3%  
63 0.8% 98%  
64 1.1% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 5% 94%  
67 6% 89%  
68 8% 83%  
69 57% 75%  
70 3% 18%  
71 5% 15%  
72 2% 9%  
73 4% 8% Median
74 2% 4%  
75 0.6% 2% Last Result
76 0.7% 1.0%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.2% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.7% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.1%  
59 0.7% 98.6%  
60 2% 98%  
61 4% 96%  
62 5% 92%  
63 6% 87%  
64 13% 81%  
65 13% 68%  
66 5% 55%  
67 7% 50%  
68 1.2% 44%  
69 40% 42% Median
70 2% 3%  
71 0.3% 0.9%  
72 0.4% 0.6%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.6% 99.5%  
60 1.1% 98.9%  
61 2% 98%  
62 5% 95%  
63 12% 90%  
64 12% 78% Last Result
65 7% 65% Median
66 38% 58%  
67 14% 21%  
68 2% 7%  
69 3% 5%  
70 0.9% 2%  
71 0.7% 1.2%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.6% 99.9%  
49 1.4% 99.3%  
50 4% 98%  
51 2% 94%  
52 5% 92%  
53 1.0% 87%  
54 4% 86%  
55 15% 81%  
56 19% 67%  
57 5% 47%  
58 37% 42% Median
59 1.4% 5% Last Result
60 3% 4%  
61 0.5% 1.1%  
62 0.5% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 2% 99.7%  
45 5% 98%  
46 3% 93%  
47 3% 90%  
48 2% 87%  
49 2% 86%  
50 16% 83%  
51 17% 68%  
52 45% 50% Median
53 0.8% 5%  
54 2% 4%  
55 2% 2% Last Result
56 0.4% 0.7%  
57 0% 0.3%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.6%  
29 3% 98%  
30 3% 95%  
31 6% 92%  
32 13% 86%  
33 13% 73%  
34 39% 60% Median
35 13% 21%  
36 1.3% 8%  
37 4% 7%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations