Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 16–22 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
Venstre 23.4% 20.3% 18.7–22.0% 18.3–22.4% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.1–7.7% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 49–53 49–55 48–56 46–60
Venstre 43 37 33–38 33–38 32–40 30–41
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 15 14–18 14–18 14–19 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 13–19 12–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–13 10–14 9–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–10 8–11 8–12 7–13
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 7–12 7–12 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–7 5–7 4–7 4–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.5% 99.8%  
47 0.6% 99.3%  
48 1.3% 98.7% Last Result
49 23% 97%  
50 7% 75%  
51 10% 67%  
52 14% 57% Median
53 34% 43%  
54 3% 9%  
55 3% 6%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.5% 1.3%  
59 0.1% 0.9%  
60 0.3% 0.8%  
61 0.4% 0.4%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 0.8% 99.4%  
32 2% 98.7%  
33 8% 97%  
34 12% 89%  
35 11% 77%  
36 6% 65%  
37 49% 60% Median
38 7% 11%  
39 1.4% 4%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.3% 0.7%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
13 1.3% 99.7%  
14 26% 98%  
15 26% 73% Median
16 13% 47%  
17 12% 34%  
18 20% 22%  
19 1.1% 3%  
20 0.6% 2%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 4% 99.8%  
13 9% 95%  
14 9% 87% Last Result
15 32% 78% Median
16 35% 46%  
17 4% 11%  
18 2% 8%  
19 6% 6%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 10% 99.2% Last Result
14 10% 89%  
15 35% 80% Median
16 13% 44%  
17 27% 32%  
18 4% 5%  
19 1.1% 1.3%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.8% 100%  
9 2% 99.2%  
10 14% 97%  
11 13% 83%  
12 34% 70% Median
13 29% 36%  
14 6% 8%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.3% 100%  
7 2% 99.7%  
8 4% 98%  
9 44% 94%  
10 42% 50% Median
11 4% 8%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.7% 0.9%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.0% 100%  
7 29% 99.0%  
8 11% 70%  
9 26% 60% Median
10 16% 34%  
11 3% 18%  
12 13% 14%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 4% 99.9% Last Result
5 20% 96%  
6 39% 77% Median
7 36% 38%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 49% 90% Median
5 38% 40%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 95% 92–97 90–98 87–100 87–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 94 95% 92–97 90–98 87–100 87–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 0.7% 79–84 78–86 77–88 76–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 83 0.7% 79–84 78–86 77–88 76–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0.1% 78–83 77–85 75–88 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 75–82 74–82 74–84 73–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 75–79 74–81 73–84 70–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 71 0% 68–73 67–75 66–79 63–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 66–69 64–72 62–75 60–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 62–65 60–66 60–67 57–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 56–60 55–62 53–63 53–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 50–55 49–56 48–56 47–58
Venstre 43 37 0% 33–38 33–38 32–40 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 3% 99.7%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 0.5% 96%  
90 2% 95% Majority
91 2% 94%  
92 11% 92%  
93 5% 80%  
94 31% 75% Median
95 6% 44%  
96 28% 38% Last Result
97 2% 11%  
98 6% 9%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 0.9% 2%  
102 0.2% 0.8%  
103 0.5% 0.5%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 3% 99.7%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 0.5% 96%  
90 2% 95% Majority
91 2% 94% Last Result
92 11% 92%  
93 5% 80%  
94 31% 75% Median
95 6% 44%  
96 28% 38%  
97 2% 11%  
98 6% 9%  
99 0.7% 3%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 0.9% 2%  
102 0.2% 0.8%  
103 0.5% 0.5%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.5% 99.7%  
77 4% 99.2%  
78 2% 96%  
79 6% 94%  
80 4% 88% Last Result
81 23% 84%  
82 10% 61% Median
83 3% 51%  
84 41% 49%  
85 1.2% 8%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.4% 3%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.2% 0.7% Majority
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
76 0.5% 99.7%  
77 4% 99.2%  
78 2% 96%  
79 6% 94%  
80 4% 88%  
81 23% 84%  
82 10% 61% Median
83 3% 51%  
84 41% 49%  
85 1.2% 8%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.4% 3%  
89 0.4% 1.1%  
90 0.2% 0.7% Majority
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 1.0% 99.2%  
75 1.0% 98%  
76 0.7% 97%  
77 6% 96%  
78 3% 91%  
79 28% 88% Last Result
80 6% 60%  
81 31% 54% Median
82 5% 23%  
83 10% 18%  
84 2% 8%  
85 1.5% 6%  
86 0.5% 5%  
87 0.8% 4%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.8% 99.6%  
74 6% 98.8%  
75 4% 92%  
76 1.0% 88%  
77 29% 87%  
78 2% 58% Last Result
79 12% 56% Median
80 5% 44%  
81 24% 39%  
82 11% 15%  
83 0.4% 3%  
84 1.3% 3%  
85 0.7% 2%  
86 0.2% 1.0%  
87 0.7% 0.8%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 1.1% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 98.7%  
72 0.7% 98%  
73 1.2% 98%  
74 3% 97%  
75 29% 93%  
76 28% 65%  
77 12% 37% Median
78 14% 25%  
79 2% 11% Last Result
80 3% 8%  
81 0.8% 5%  
82 0.6% 5%  
83 0.3% 4%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.4% 0.4%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.5% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.5%  
64 0.9% 99.3%  
65 0.7% 98%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 95%  
68 2% 91%  
69 3% 89%  
70 29% 86%  
71 27% 58% Median
72 11% 31%  
73 13% 20%  
74 0.9% 7%  
75 1.2% 6% Last Result
76 0.6% 5%  
77 0.4% 4%  
78 0.7% 4%  
79 3% 3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.9% 99.9%  
61 0.7% 99.0%  
62 1.0% 98%  
63 0.8% 97%  
64 2% 97%  
65 2% 95%  
66 52% 93%  
67 11% 41% Median
68 19% 30%  
69 4% 11%  
70 1.4% 7%  
71 0.4% 6%  
72 0.8% 6%  
73 1.3% 5%  
74 0.5% 4%  
75 3% 3% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 0.7% 99.4%  
59 0.3% 98.8%  
60 3% 98%  
61 4% 95%  
62 24% 91%  
63 18% 67%  
64 10% 49% Last Result, Median
65 28% 38%  
66 6% 10%  
67 2% 4%  
68 0.2% 2%  
69 0.8% 2%  
70 0.2% 1.3%  
71 0.3% 1.1%  
72 0.3% 0.7%  
73 0.4% 0.4%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 2% 99.6%  
54 0.9% 97%  
55 2% 96%  
56 16% 94%  
57 22% 78%  
58 13% 56% Median
59 30% 43% Last Result
60 5% 13%  
61 2% 8%  
62 1.4% 6%  
63 4% 4%  
64 0.6% 0.8%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.8%  
47 1.1% 99.5%  
48 2% 98%  
49 1.3% 96%  
50 8% 95%  
51 33% 87%  
52 33% 54% Median
53 7% 21%  
54 4% 14%  
55 4% 10% Last Result
56 4% 6%  
57 0.6% 1.5%  
58 0.4% 0.9%  
59 0.4% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 0.8% 99.4%  
32 2% 98.7%  
33 8% 97%  
34 12% 89%  
35 11% 77%  
36 6% 65%  
37 49% 60% Median
38 7% 11%  
39 1.4% 4%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.3% 0.7%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations