Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 23–29 November 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.2% 28.4–32.1% 27.9–32.6% 27.5–33.1% 26.6–34.0%
Venstre 23.4% 19.7% 18.1–21.3% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 51–57 49–57 49–59 48–60
Venstre 43 33 32–36 30–38 30–39 30–41
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 14–18 13–19 13–19 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–16 12–17 11–18 11–18
Radikale Venstre 16 11 11–14 10–16 10–16 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 10–13 9–13 9–14 8–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–7 4–7 4–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
49 6% 99.4%  
50 3% 93%  
51 2% 90%  
52 7% 88%  
53 4% 81%  
54 45% 77% Median
55 12% 32%  
56 5% 20%  
57 10% 15%  
58 1.0% 4%  
59 3% 3%  
60 0.2% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 7% 99.8%  
31 1.2% 93%  
32 8% 92%  
33 49% 83% Median
34 6% 34%  
35 14% 29%  
36 6% 15%  
37 4% 9%  
38 0.9% 5%  
39 3% 5%  
40 0.4% 1.0%  
41 0.4% 0.6%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100% Last Result
13 7% 99.9%  
14 12% 93%  
15 5% 81%  
16 9% 76%  
17 47% 66% Median
18 10% 19%  
19 8% 9%  
20 1.0% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.8% 100%  
12 7% 99.2%  
13 8% 92%  
14 6% 84% Last Result
15 25% 78%  
16 11% 53% Median
17 36% 42%  
18 5% 6%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 4% 97%  
13 8% 94% Last Result
14 18% 86%  
15 45% 68% Median
16 13% 22%  
17 7% 10%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.3% 100%  
10 7% 98.7%  
11 42% 92% Median
12 16% 49%  
13 15% 33%  
14 10% 19%  
15 4% 9%  
16 5% 5% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.8%  
9 4% 99.1%  
10 6% 95%  
11 70% 89% Median
12 5% 19%  
13 10% 14%  
14 2% 3%  
15 1.3% 1.5%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 2% 99.8%  
9 7% 98%  
10 58% 90% Median
11 11% 33%  
12 14% 22%  
13 6% 8%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 14% 98.6% Last Result
5 27% 84%  
6 15% 57% Median
7 43% 43%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 20%  
2 0% 20%  
3 0% 20%  
4 14% 20%  
5 6% 6%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 98% 94–100 92–102 90–102 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 97 98% 94–100 92–102 90–102 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 1.1% 81–86 80–89 78–89 76–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 1.1% 81–86 80–89 78–89 76–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 0.2% 79–85 77–87 75–88 74–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 75–81 73–83 73–85 72–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 74–80 73–82 72–82 72–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 67 0% 63–70 62–72 61–74 61–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 64–69 61–72 61–72 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 63–69 62–70 61–71 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 52–58 52–60 51–61 49–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 47–53 47–55 46–56 45–57
Venstre 43 33 0% 32–36 30–38 30–39 30–41

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 2% 99.7%  
90 1.0% 98% Majority
91 0.8% 96%  
92 1.0% 96%  
93 4% 95%  
94 2% 91%  
95 16% 88%  
96 17% 73% Last Result, Median
97 40% 55%  
98 2% 15%  
99 3% 13%  
100 2% 11%  
101 4% 9%  
102 3% 5%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 2% 99.7%  
90 1.0% 98% Majority
91 0.8% 96% Last Result
92 1.0% 96%  
93 4% 95%  
94 2% 91%  
95 16% 88%  
96 17% 73% Median
97 40% 55%  
98 2% 15%  
99 3% 13%  
100 2% 11%  
101 4% 9%  
102 3% 5%  
103 2% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.3% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.6%  
77 2% 99.5%  
78 1.0% 98%  
79 1.0% 97%  
80 3% 96% Last Result
81 10% 92%  
82 5% 82%  
83 5% 77%  
84 9% 72%  
85 21% 63% Median
86 33% 42%  
87 2% 8%  
88 1.1% 7%  
89 4% 5%  
90 0.2% 1.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.9%  
92 0.8% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.3% 100% Last Result
76 0.2% 99.6%  
77 2% 99.5%  
78 1.0% 98%  
79 1.0% 97%  
80 3% 96%  
81 10% 92%  
82 5% 82%  
83 5% 77%  
84 9% 72%  
85 21% 63% Median
86 33% 42%  
87 2% 8%  
88 1.1% 7%  
89 4% 5%  
90 0.2% 1.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.9%  
92 0.8% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 2% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 98%  
76 0.9% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 3% 95% Last Result
79 12% 92%  
80 11% 80%  
81 4% 69% Median
82 36% 64%  
83 15% 29%  
84 4% 14%  
85 1.2% 10%  
86 0.3% 9%  
87 6% 9%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 2% 99.8%  
73 3% 98%  
74 4% 95%  
75 2% 91%  
76 3% 89%  
77 2% 87% Median
78 40% 85%  
79 17% 45% Last Result
80 16% 27%  
81 2% 12%  
82 4% 9%  
83 1.0% 5%  
84 0.8% 4%  
85 1.0% 4%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 2% 99.6%  
73 3% 97%  
74 10% 94%  
75 4% 84%  
76 9% 81%  
77 2% 72% Median
78 39% 70%  
79 13% 31% Last Result
80 10% 18%  
81 2% 9%  
82 6% 7%  
83 0.4% 1.5%  
84 0.2% 1.1%  
85 0.5% 0.8%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 3% 99.8%  
62 3% 97%  
63 5% 94%  
64 1.3% 90%  
65 2% 88%  
66 3% 86% Median
67 44% 83%  
68 18% 39%  
69 10% 22%  
70 5% 11%  
71 0.8% 7%  
72 1.2% 6%  
73 2% 5%  
74 0.5% 3%  
75 2% 2% Last Result
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.6% 99.8%  
61 5% 99.3%  
62 3% 94%  
63 1.2% 92%  
64 9% 90% Last Result
65 36% 81% Median
66 6% 45%  
67 5% 39%  
68 22% 34%  
69 4% 12%  
70 0.7% 9%  
71 0.6% 8%  
72 7% 7%  
73 0.1% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.2% 100%  
58 0% 99.8%  
59 0% 99.7%  
60 0.2% 99.7%  
61 3% 99.5%  
62 3% 97%  
63 10% 94%  
64 4% 83%  
65 8% 79%  
66 3% 71% Median
67 42% 68%  
68 12% 25%  
69 5% 14%  
70 4% 8%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0.9% 1.2%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.7%  
50 2% 99.5%  
51 0.5% 98%  
52 8% 97%  
53 10% 89%  
54 1.4% 79%  
55 14% 77%  
56 8% 63% Median
57 41% 55%  
58 4% 14%  
59 1.1% 9% Last Result
60 4% 8%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.3% 0.8%  
63 0.3% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 2% 99.8%  
46 1.3% 98%  
47 11% 96%  
48 7% 86%  
49 13% 79%  
50 34% 66% Median
51 10% 33%  
52 12% 22%  
53 2% 11%  
54 1.3% 9%  
55 3% 8% Last Result
56 3% 4%  
57 0.5% 1.0%  
58 0.1% 0.5%  
59 0.2% 0.4%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 7% 99.8%  
31 1.2% 93%  
32 8% 92%  
33 49% 83% Median
34 6% 34%  
35 14% 29%  
36 6% 15%  
37 4% 9%  
38 0.9% 5%  
39 3% 5%  
40 0.4% 1.0%  
41 0.4% 0.6%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations