Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 30 November–5 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.6% 28.4–34.1% 27.6–35.0%
Venstre 23.4% 19.2% 17.7–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.9–21.7% 16.2–22.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 52–62 51–62 51–62 49–63
Venstre 43 34 32–38 31–39 30–39 28–41
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 18 15–20 15–21 15–21 13–23
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
Radikale Venstre 16 14 12–16 11–16 11–16 9–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 8–12 8–12 7–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 8–11 8–12 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
49 0.4% 99.8%  
50 1.1% 99.5%  
51 7% 98%  
52 1.5% 91%  
53 8% 90%  
54 11% 82%  
55 14% 71%  
56 20% 58% Median
57 9% 38%  
58 7% 29%  
59 3% 22%  
60 1.0% 19%  
61 2% 18%  
62 15% 16%  
63 0.3% 0.5%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.6% 100%  
29 0.8% 99.4%  
30 2% 98.6%  
31 5% 96%  
32 25% 92%  
33 14% 67%  
34 20% 53% Median
35 9% 34%  
36 8% 25%  
37 7% 17%  
38 5% 11%  
39 4% 5%  
40 0.6% 1.4%  
41 0.7% 0.8%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100% Last Result
13 0.5% 99.9%  
14 1.0% 99.5%  
15 15% 98%  
16 7% 83%  
17 22% 77%  
18 22% 55% Median
19 20% 33%  
20 4% 13%  
21 7% 9%  
22 0.7% 2%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 15% 97%  
13 6% 83% Last Result
14 28% 76% Median
15 24% 48%  
16 21% 24%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.8% 1.3%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.1% 100%  
11 2% 98.9%  
12 8% 97%  
13 15% 89%  
14 40% 73% Last Result, Median
15 14% 33%  
16 17% 20%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 1.4% 99.5%  
11 7% 98%  
12 7% 91%  
13 16% 84%  
14 22% 67% Median
15 36% 46%  
16 9% 10% Last Result
17 0.8% 1.2%  
18 0.4% 0.4%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.7% 99.9%  
8 6% 99.2%  
9 25% 94%  
10 27% 68% Median
11 16% 42%  
12 24% 26%  
13 1.2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.6%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.7% 99.9%  
8 12% 99.2%  
9 22% 88%  
10 30% 66% Median
11 28% 36%  
12 5% 8%  
13 2% 3%  
14 1.2% 1.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0.1% 61%  
4 15% 61% Last Result, Median
5 39% 46%  
6 6% 7%  
7 0.7% 0.9%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 28%  
2 0% 28%  
3 0% 28%  
4 23% 28%  
5 4% 5%  
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Median
1 0% 0.9%  
2 0% 0.9%  
3 0% 0.9%  
4 0.9% 0.9%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 99 99.8% 93–105 92–105 92–105 91–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 99 99.8% 93–105 92–105 92–105 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 16% 80–91 79–91 78–91 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 85 16% 80–91 79–91 78–91 77–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 84 17% 78–90 78–90 77–90 76–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 70–82 70–83 70–83 70–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 70–81 70–82 70–83 66–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 70 0% 65–76 64–76 64–76 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 66 0% 61–71 61–72 61–73 59–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 61–70 61–71 60–72 56–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 51–60 51–61 51–61 48–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 48–56 47–56 47–57 45–58
Venstre 43 34 0% 32–38 31–39 30–39 28–41

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.8% Majority
91 0.9% 99.5%  
92 4% 98.7%  
93 6% 95%  
94 6% 89%  
95 2% 83%  
96 12% 81% Last Result
97 10% 69%  
98 4% 59% Median
99 13% 55%  
100 3% 42%  
101 20% 39%  
102 2% 19%  
103 1.0% 17%  
104 0.3% 16%  
105 16% 16%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.8% Majority
91 0.9% 99.5% Last Result
92 4% 98.6%  
93 6% 95%  
94 6% 89%  
95 2% 83%  
96 12% 80%  
97 10% 69%  
98 4% 59% Median
99 13% 55%  
100 3% 42%  
101 20% 39%  
102 2% 19%  
103 1.0% 17%  
104 0.3% 16%  
105 16% 16%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.1% 99.8%  
78 3% 98.7%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94% Last Result
81 15% 89%  
82 4% 74%  
83 4% 70%  
84 13% 66% Median
85 12% 53%  
86 15% 41%  
87 3% 26%  
88 6% 24%  
89 1.3% 17%  
90 1.3% 16% Majority
91 15% 15%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9% Last Result
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 1.3% 99.8%  
78 3% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 15% 89%  
82 4% 74%  
83 4% 70%  
84 13% 66% Median
85 12% 53%  
86 15% 41%  
87 3% 26%  
88 6% 24%  
89 1.3% 17%  
90 1.3% 16% Majority
91 15% 15%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.8%  
77 4% 99.5%  
78 7% 96% Last Result
79 2% 89%  
80 2% 87%  
81 5% 85%  
82 5% 80%  
83 14% 75%  
84 14% 61% Median
85 14% 48%  
86 2% 34%  
87 12% 32%  
88 1.3% 20%  
89 2% 18%  
90 16% 17% Majority
91 0.7% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 16% 99.8%  
71 0.3% 84%  
72 1.0% 84%  
73 2% 83%  
74 20% 81%  
75 3% 61%  
76 13% 58% Median
77 4% 45%  
78 10% 41%  
79 12% 31% Last Result
80 2% 19%  
81 6% 17%  
82 6% 11%  
83 4% 5%  
84 0.9% 1.3%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.5% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.5%  
68 0.4% 99.4%  
69 0.2% 99.0%  
70 15% 98.8%  
71 0.9% 84%  
72 8% 83%  
73 4% 74%  
74 21% 70%  
75 12% 49%  
76 6% 37% Median
77 5% 31%  
78 9% 26%  
79 3% 17% Last Result
80 2% 14%  
81 5% 12%  
82 3% 7%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 1.4% 99.6%  
64 6% 98% Last Result
65 5% 93%  
66 3% 87%  
67 4% 85%  
68 6% 81%  
69 12% 75%  
70 20% 63% Median
71 16% 43%  
72 7% 27%  
73 1.1% 20%  
74 0.5% 19%  
75 1.2% 19%  
76 16% 17%  
77 1.2% 2%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.7%  
60 0.9% 99.3%  
61 15% 98%  
62 1.0% 84%  
63 3% 83%  
64 21% 80%  
65 6% 58%  
66 4% 52% Median
67 6% 49%  
68 17% 43%  
69 4% 26%  
70 12% 23%  
71 3% 11%  
72 6% 8%  
73 1.3% 3%  
74 1.1% 1.4%  
75 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.5% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.5%  
58 0.5% 99.4%  
59 0.8% 98.9%  
60 2% 98%  
61 15% 96%  
62 1.0% 81%  
63 6% 80%  
64 32% 74%  
65 8% 41%  
66 5% 34% Median
67 6% 29%  
68 3% 23%  
69 3% 20%  
70 11% 17%  
71 2% 7%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.5% 0.8%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.7% 99.9%  
49 0.9% 99.1%  
50 0.7% 98%  
51 17% 98%  
52 19% 80%  
53 6% 61%  
54 8% 54%  
55 13% 46%  
56 4% 33% Median
57 6% 30%  
58 5% 24%  
59 2% 19% Last Result
60 8% 17%  
61 6% 9%  
62 2% 2%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.7%  
46 0.8% 99.3%  
47 8% 98.6%  
48 2% 90%  
49 8% 88%  
50 13% 80%  
51 20% 67%  
52 15% 48% Median
53 5% 32%  
54 6% 27%  
55 6% 21% Last Result
56 12% 15%  
57 1.3% 3%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.6% 100%  
29 0.8% 99.4%  
30 2% 98.6%  
31 5% 96%  
32 25% 92%  
33 14% 67%  
34 20% 53% Median
35 9% 34%  
36 8% 25%  
37 7% 17%  
38 5% 11%  
39 4% 5%  
40 0.6% 1.4%  
41 0.7% 0.8%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
44 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations