Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 4–7 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.9% 31.3–34.7% 30.8–35.2% 30.4–35.6% 29.6–36.4%
Venstre 23.4% 14.1% 12.9–15.5% 12.6–15.9% 12.3–16.2% 11.8–16.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.3% 9.3–11.5% 9.0–11.8% 8.7–12.1% 8.3–12.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1% 7.2–10.3% 6.8–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.6–8.5% 6.3–8.8% 6.1–9.0% 5.7–9.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.6–8.5% 6.3–8.8% 6.1–9.0% 5.7–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–8.0% 4.9–8.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.7–2.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 63 57–64 56–64 56–64 55–65
Venstre 43 26 23–29 23–30 23–30 21–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 17–19 16–20 15–21 14–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 13–17 13–18 13–18 13–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–16 11–16 11–16 11–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 4–6 4–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.8%  
56 5% 99.4%  
57 6% 95%  
58 4% 89%  
59 4% 85%  
60 11% 81%  
61 2% 70%  
62 13% 68%  
63 39% 55% Median
64 15% 16%  
65 0.7% 0.7%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.8%  
22 0.6% 99.4%  
23 11% 98.9%  
24 3% 88%  
25 7% 85%  
26 28% 77% Median
27 36% 50%  
28 2% 13%  
29 1.3% 11%  
30 8% 10%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.8% 100%  
15 3% 99.1%  
16 5% 96%  
17 72% 91% Median
18 2% 19%  
19 10% 17%  
20 2% 7%  
21 4% 5%  
22 0.5% 1.0%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 15% 99.8%  
14 4% 85%  
15 17% 81%  
16 31% 63% Median
17 26% 33%  
18 5% 7%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 15% 98%  
13 51% 83% Last Result, Median
14 13% 32%  
15 14% 19%  
16 5% 5%  
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 9% 99.9%  
12 2% 91%  
13 41% 89% Median
14 20% 47% Last Result
15 7% 28%  
16 20% 21%  
17 0.6% 0.7%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 3% 99.8%  
10 10% 96%  
11 35% 87%  
12 14% 52% Median
13 35% 38%  
14 1.4% 2%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 0.8% 99.8%  
8 17% 99.0%  
9 44% 82% Median
10 24% 37%  
11 11% 14%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 5% 98.6% Last Result
5 27% 94%  
6 64% 67% Median
7 3% 4%  
8 0.7% 0.8%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 99.9% 95–101 92–101 90–103 90–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 98 99.9% 95–101 92–101 90–103 90–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 89 40% 85–92 82–92 82–92 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 89 40% 85–92 82–92 82–92 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 85 0% 80–87 78–87 76–89 76–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 74–80 74–82 72–85 72–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 74–80 74–82 72–85 72–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 66–74 65–74 65–75 64–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 57–64 57–68 56–68 56–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 57–64 57–68 56–68 56–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 45–51 45–55 45–55 44–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 44 0% 40–46 40–49 39–49 39–50
Venstre 43 26 0% 23–29 23–30 23–30 21–31

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 4% 99.9% Majority
91 0.5% 96%  
92 0.7% 96%  
93 0.7% 95%  
94 2% 94%  
95 5% 92%  
96 7% 87% Last Result
97 2% 80%  
98 39% 78% Median
99 9% 39%  
100 16% 30%  
101 11% 14%  
102 0.4% 4%  
103 3% 3%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 4% 99.9% Majority
91 0.5% 96% Last Result
92 0.7% 96%  
93 0.7% 95%  
94 2% 94%  
95 5% 92%  
96 7% 87%  
97 2% 80%  
98 39% 78% Median
99 9% 39%  
100 16% 30%  
101 11% 14%  
102 0.4% 4%  
103 3% 3%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.4% 99.9%  
82 5% 99.5%  
83 0.2% 95%  
84 4% 95%  
85 5% 91%  
86 2% 87%  
87 6% 84%  
88 0.9% 78%  
89 38% 77% Median
90 25% 40% Majority
91 4% 15%  
92 11% 11%  
93 0.6% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.9%  
82 5% 99.5%  
83 0.2% 95%  
84 4% 95%  
85 5% 91%  
86 2% 87%  
87 6% 84%  
88 0.9% 78%  
89 38% 77% Median
90 25% 40% Majority
91 4% 15%  
92 11% 11%  
93 0.6% 0.7%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 4% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 96%  
78 1.3% 95% Last Result
79 0.3% 94%  
80 8% 94%  
81 0.3% 86%  
82 2% 85%  
83 0.9% 84%  
84 3% 83%  
85 30% 79% Median
86 32% 50%  
87 13% 18%  
88 2% 4%  
89 3% 3%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 3% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 96%  
74 11% 96%  
75 16% 85%  
76 9% 70%  
77 39% 61% Median
78 2% 22%  
79 7% 20% Last Result
80 5% 13%  
81 2% 8%  
82 0.6% 6%  
83 0.7% 5%  
84 0.5% 4%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 3% 99.8%  
73 0.5% 96%  
74 11% 96%  
75 18% 85%  
76 9% 67%  
77 39% 58% Median
78 2% 19%  
79 5% 17% Last Result
80 5% 12%  
81 2% 8%  
82 0.6% 6%  
83 0.7% 5%  
84 0.5% 4%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
65 7% 99.5%  
66 3% 92%  
67 0.6% 89%  
68 1.3% 88%  
69 4% 87%  
70 23% 83%  
71 4% 60%  
72 37% 56% Median
73 2% 19%  
74 14% 17%  
75 3% 3%  
76 0.2% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 3% 99.7%  
57 10% 97%  
58 3% 86%  
59 9% 83%  
60 1.3% 75%  
61 28% 73% Median
62 28% 45%  
63 3% 17%  
64 4% 14%  
65 3% 10%  
66 0.4% 7%  
67 0.4% 6%  
68 6% 6%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 3% 99.7%  
57 10% 97%  
58 3% 86%  
59 9% 83%  
60 1.4% 74%  
61 31% 73% Median
62 28% 42%  
63 3% 14%  
64 4% 11%  
65 0.5% 7%  
66 0.3% 6%  
67 0.4% 6%  
68 6% 6%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.3% 99.8%  
45 13% 99.5%  
46 0.6% 86%  
47 2% 85%  
48 0.6% 84%  
49 39% 83% Median
50 30% 45%  
51 5% 14%  
52 1.0% 9%  
53 0.5% 8%  
54 2% 8%  
55 5% 6%  
56 0.5% 0.8%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.2% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 3% 99.7%  
40 10% 97%  
41 0.7% 87%  
42 2% 86%  
43 28% 84% Median
44 37% 56%  
45 2% 18%  
46 7% 16%  
47 0.5% 9%  
48 2% 8%  
49 4% 6%  
50 1.5% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.8%  
22 0.6% 99.4%  
23 11% 98.9%  
24 3% 88%  
25 7% 85%  
26 28% 77% Median
27 36% 50%  
28 2% 13%  
29 1.3% 11%  
30 8% 10%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations