Opinion Poll by Epinion, 1–8 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.5% 30.1–33.0% 29.7–33.4% 29.3–33.8% 28.7–34.5%
Venstre 23.4% 17.6% 16.5–18.9% 16.1–19.2% 15.9–19.5% 15.3–20.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 9.9% 9.1–10.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.6–11.5% 8.2–11.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.2% 6.2–9.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.6–8.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.7–7.8% 5.6–8.0% 5.3–8.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.5–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.7% 3.2–4.4% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 53–60 52–60 52–60 50–62
Venstre 43 31 29–35 29–35 28–35 27–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 18 16–20 16–22 16–22 15–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 11–14 10–15 10–15 10–16
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 10–14 10–15 10–15
Radikale Venstre 16 12 11–14 10–14 9–14 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 8–12 8–13 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 7 6–8 6–8 5–9 5–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 1.3% 99.9%  
51 0.6% 98.6%  
52 4% 98%  
53 9% 94%  
54 22% 86%  
55 6% 64%  
56 17% 58% Median
57 16% 41%  
58 8% 24%  
59 5% 16%  
60 10% 11%  
61 0.4% 1.0%  
62 0.3% 0.6%  
63 0% 0.3%  
64 0.3% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.7% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.2%  
29 19% 96%  
30 16% 78%  
31 22% 61% Median
32 11% 39%  
33 9% 29%  
34 6% 20%  
35 12% 13%  
36 1.3% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.3%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.3% 100%  
15 2% 99.7%  
16 12% 98%  
17 25% 86%  
18 32% 61% Median
19 15% 29%  
20 7% 14%  
21 2% 8%  
22 5% 5%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.0%  
13 21% 95%  
14 29% 74% Median
15 28% 45%  
16 13% 17%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 7% 100%  
11 20% 93%  
12 22% 73%  
13 31% 51% Median
14 12% 20% Last Result
15 7% 8%  
16 0.6% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 7% 99.8%  
11 24% 93%  
12 13% 69%  
13 45% 57% Last Result, Median
14 8% 11%  
15 3% 4%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 6% 97%  
11 29% 91%  
12 33% 62% Median
13 11% 30%  
14 16% 18%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 11% 99.9%  
9 7% 89%  
10 20% 82%  
11 16% 62% Median
12 37% 46%  
13 8% 8%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100% Last Result
5 4% 99.9%  
6 16% 96%  
7 33% 80% Median
8 42% 46%  
9 4% 4%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0.1% 9%  
4 8% 9%  
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 90% 89–96 89–97 88–98 87–100
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 93 90% 89–96 89–97 88–98 87–100
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0.1% 79–86 78–86 77–87 75–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0.1% 78–85 78–86 76–87 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 0.1% 77–84 76–86 76–86 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 81 0.1% 77–84 76–86 76–86 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0% 77–84 77–85 77–85 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 68 0% 64–71 64–72 64–73 63–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 64–71 64–72 63–72 61–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 64–71 63–71 62–72 61–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 54–61 53–61 52–61 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 47–53 47–53 45–54 45–55
Venstre 43 31 0% 29–35 29–35 28–35 27–36

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.3% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 4% 99.5%  
89 6% 96%  
90 5% 90% Majority
91 11% 84%  
92 17% 74%  
93 24% 57%  
94 17% 34% Median
95 6% 16%  
96 2% 11% Last Result
97 5% 8%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 1.2% 2%  
100 0.5% 0.6%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.3% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.6%  
88 4% 99.5%  
89 6% 96%  
90 5% 90% Majority
91 11% 84% Last Result
92 17% 74%  
93 24% 57%  
94 17% 34% Median
95 6% 16%  
96 2% 11%  
97 5% 8%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 1.2% 2%  
100 0.5% 0.6%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.9%  
76 1.2% 99.4%  
77 1.1% 98%  
78 5% 97%  
79 2% 92% Last Result
80 6% 89%  
81 17% 84% Median
82 24% 66%  
83 17% 43%  
84 11% 26%  
85 5% 16%  
86 6% 10%  
87 4% 4%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 0.8% 99.6%  
76 1.3% 98.8%  
77 2% 97%  
78 7% 96%  
79 3% 89% Last Result
80 8% 87%  
81 19% 78% Median
82 23% 59%  
83 17% 36%  
84 8% 20%  
85 3% 12%  
86 6% 9%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 1.0% 99.9%  
76 4% 98.9%  
77 6% 95%  
78 5% 89%  
79 11% 83%  
80 18% 72% Last Result
81 23% 54%  
82 12% 31% Median
83 6% 19%  
84 5% 13%  
85 2% 8%  
86 4% 6%  
87 1.5% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 1.0% 99.9% Last Result
76 4% 98.9%  
77 6% 95%  
78 5% 89%  
79 11% 83%  
80 18% 72%  
81 23% 54%  
82 12% 31% Median
83 6% 19%  
84 5% 13%  
85 2% 8%  
86 4% 6%  
87 1.5% 2%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.7%  
76 1.4% 99.4%  
77 9% 98%  
78 11% 89% Last Result
79 10% 78%  
80 17% 68%  
81 31% 51% Median
82 3% 20%  
83 5% 17%  
84 6% 12%  
85 4% 6%  
86 1.4% 2%  
87 0.3% 0.6%  
88 0.2% 0.3%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 1.3% 99.7%  
64 9% 98% Last Result
65 8% 90%  
66 9% 82%  
67 13% 73%  
68 17% 61% Median
69 22% 43%  
70 5% 22%  
71 11% 17%  
72 3% 6%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0.4% 0.4%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.5% 99.9%  
62 2% 99.5%  
63 2% 98%  
64 7% 96%  
65 6% 89%  
66 6% 83%  
67 25% 76% Median
68 5% 52%  
69 19% 46%  
70 13% 28%  
71 8% 14%  
72 5% 7%  
73 0.5% 2%  
74 1.0% 1.3%  
75 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.7%  
62 2% 99.2%  
63 2% 97%  
64 7% 95%  
65 7% 88%  
66 10% 81%  
67 25% 72% Median
68 7% 46%  
69 18% 39%  
70 11% 21%  
71 7% 10%  
72 3% 3%  
73 0.1% 0.7%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 2% 99.7%  
52 2% 98%  
53 5% 95%  
54 7% 91%  
55 25% 84%  
56 14% 59% Median
57 7% 45%  
58 13% 37%  
59 5% 24% Last Result
60 8% 20%  
61 10% 11%  
62 0.6% 1.2%  
63 0.4% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 2% 99.7%  
46 2% 97%  
47 28% 95%  
48 7% 67%  
49 18% 61% Median
50 11% 42%  
51 9% 31%  
52 3% 22%  
53 16% 19%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.8% 1.0% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.7% 99.9%  
28 3% 99.2%  
29 19% 96%  
30 16% 78%  
31 22% 61% Median
32 11% 39%  
33 9% 29%  
34 6% 20%  
35 12% 13%  
36 1.3% 2%  
37 0.3% 0.3%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations