Opinion Poll by Gallup, 4–10 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.5% 28.0–31.0% 27.6–31.5% 27.2–31.9% 26.5–32.6%
Venstre 23.4% 17.5% 16.3–18.8% 16.0–19.2% 15.7–19.5% 15.1–20.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.7% 10.7–12.8% 10.4–13.2% 10.2–13.4% 9.7–14.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.4–9.2% 7.1–9.5% 6.9–9.7% 6.5–10.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.8% 7.0–8.8% 6.8–9.1% 6.6–9.3% 6.2–9.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.5% 5.5–9.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.4% 5.2–7.6% 4.8–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%
Borgerlisten 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 51–57 50–59 49–59 48–59
Venstre 43 31 28–35 26–35 26–35 26–35
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 21 20–24 20–24 19–25 17–25
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 13–16 13–17 12–17 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–13 9–14 9–14 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 8 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 4–6 0–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgerlisten 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 1.0% 99.8% Last Result
49 3% 98.8%  
50 3% 96%  
51 4% 92%  
52 22% 88%  
53 1.1% 66%  
54 28% 65% Median
55 12% 38%  
56 4% 26%  
57 15% 22%  
58 0.3% 7%  
59 7% 7%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 8% 100%  
27 0.1% 92%  
28 2% 92%  
29 8% 90%  
30 9% 82%  
31 27% 74% Median
32 19% 47%  
33 5% 28%  
34 5% 23%  
35 17% 18%  
36 0.3% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 100%  
17 0.4% 99.7%  
18 1.5% 99.3%  
19 1.4% 98%  
20 8% 96%  
21 43% 88% Median
22 12% 45%  
23 9% 33%  
24 20% 24%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.4% 0.4%  
27 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 2% 99.5%  
13 7% 97%  
14 10% 91% Last Result
15 36% 80% Median
16 16% 44%  
17 24% 28%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.8%  
13 45% 96%  
14 16% 51% Median
15 25% 35%  
16 5% 11%  
17 5% 6%  
18 0.7% 1.0%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 7% 99.3%  
12 24% 92%  
13 40% 68% Last Result, Median
14 13% 28%  
15 3% 15%  
16 10% 12%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 17% 99.9%  
10 14% 83%  
11 21% 70% Median
12 17% 49%  
13 26% 32%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.3% 1.5%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 14% 98%  
8 34% 83% Median
9 28% 50%  
10 16% 21%  
11 3% 5%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 1.1% 1.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 20% 96% Last Result
5 61% 76% Median
6 10% 15%  
7 4% 5%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgerlisten

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 94% 90–97 89–98 88–98 87–99
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 95 94% 90–97 89–98 88–98 87–99
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.1% 78–85 77–86 77–87 76–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 77–85 77–86 77–87 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0% 79–86 78–86 76–86 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 84 0% 78–86 78–86 76–86 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0% 77–84 76–85 75–85 75–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 67 0% 63–70 63–71 63–72 62–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 63–70 63–71 63–72 61–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 62–69 61–69 60–69 60–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 54–61 53–62 53–63 52–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 50–56 48–56 48–57 48–59
Venstre 43 31 0% 28–35 26–35 26–35 26–35

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 2% 99.8%  
88 2% 98%  
89 2% 96%  
90 16% 94% Majority
91 5% 78%  
92 7% 74%  
93 4% 67% Median
94 2% 63%  
95 24% 61%  
96 4% 37% Last Result
97 23% 33%  
98 9% 10%  
99 0.3% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0.3% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 2% 99.8%  
88 2% 98%  
89 2% 95%  
90 16% 94% Majority
91 5% 78% Last Result
92 7% 73%  
93 4% 67% Median
94 2% 63%  
95 24% 61%  
96 4% 37%  
97 23% 33%  
98 9% 10%  
99 0.3% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0.3% 0.3%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.3% 99.6%  
77 9% 99.3%  
78 23% 90%  
79 4% 67% Last Result, Median
80 24% 63%  
81 2% 39%  
82 4% 37%  
83 7% 33%  
84 5% 26%  
85 16% 22%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.4% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 0.4% 99.4%  
77 9% 99.1%  
78 23% 90%  
79 5% 66% Last Result, Median
80 25% 61%  
81 2% 36%  
82 4% 34%  
83 5% 30%  
84 4% 25%  
85 16% 21%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.6%  
76 2% 99.3%  
77 2% 97%  
78 5% 95%  
79 16% 90%  
80 3% 74% Last Result
81 5% 71%  
82 6% 66% Median
83 4% 60%  
84 25% 57%  
85 5% 32%  
86 26% 27%  
87 0.5% 0.8%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.3% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
76 2% 99.2%  
77 2% 97%  
78 5% 95%  
79 16% 90%  
80 3% 74%  
81 5% 71%  
82 6% 66% Median
83 3% 60%  
84 25% 57%  
85 5% 32%  
86 26% 27%  
87 0.5% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 3% 99.7%  
76 3% 96%  
77 4% 94%  
78 21% 89% Last Result
79 10% 69%  
80 2% 58% Median
81 9% 56%  
82 8% 48%  
83 5% 40%  
84 26% 35%  
85 8% 9%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.3% 0.3%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.4% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.5%  
63 9% 99.0%  
64 2% 90%  
65 29% 88% Median
66 5% 59%  
67 22% 54%  
68 3% 32%  
69 3% 29%  
70 20% 27%  
71 2% 6%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.3% 1.0%  
74 0.5% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 0.4% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.4%  
63 9% 98.8%  
64 2% 89%  
65 30% 88% Median
66 7% 58%  
67 22% 51%  
68 3% 29%  
69 2% 26%  
70 19% 24%  
71 1.2% 5%  
72 4% 4%  
73 0.3% 0.6%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 4% 99.7%  
61 3% 95%  
62 4% 92%  
63 17% 88%  
64 13% 71% Last Result
65 3% 58% Median
66 9% 54%  
67 23% 45%  
68 3% 22%  
69 16% 19%  
70 1.2% 2%  
71 1.1% 1.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.6%  
53 9% 99.3%  
54 0.8% 90%  
55 2% 90%  
56 10% 88%  
57 27% 77% Median
58 6% 51%  
59 7% 45% Last Result
60 12% 38%  
61 20% 26%  
62 3% 6%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.4% 0.7%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.3% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.7%  
48 8% 99.6%  
49 0.5% 91%  
50 2% 91%  
51 8% 89%  
52 27% 81% Median
53 7% 54%  
54 2% 46%  
55 15% 45% Last Result
56 26% 29%  
57 0.5% 3%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 8% 100%  
27 0.1% 92%  
28 2% 92%  
29 8% 90%  
30 9% 82%  
31 27% 74% Median
32 19% 47%  
33 5% 28%  
34 5% 23%  
35 17% 18%  
36 0.3% 0.4%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations