Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–12 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.9% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.3–36.8%
Venstre 23.4% 18.9% 17.4–20.5% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.4% 15.9–22.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.4% 8.2–13.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 55–62 55–63 53–64 52–65
Venstre 43 35 31–37 30–39 30–40 27–40
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 19 17–21 16–21 15–22 15–24
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–15 11–17 10–17 10–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–17
Radikale Venstre 16 13 11–16 10–16 10–16 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 9–12 8–13 7–14 7–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–15
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 1.2% 99.8%  
53 1.3% 98.6%  
54 0.9% 97%  
55 12% 96%  
56 5% 84%  
57 19% 79%  
58 6% 60%  
59 5% 54% Median
60 9% 49%  
61 29% 40%  
62 4% 11%  
63 3% 6%  
64 3% 4%  
65 0.5% 0.9%  
66 0.1% 0.4%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 1.0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.0%  
29 1.2% 98.9%  
30 3% 98%  
31 8% 94%  
32 13% 87%  
33 8% 74%  
34 10% 65%  
35 15% 55% Median
36 6% 40%  
37 26% 34%  
38 2% 8%  
39 1.3% 5%  
40 4% 4%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 3% 99.8%  
16 5% 97%  
17 6% 92%  
18 26% 86%  
19 33% 59% Median
20 12% 26%  
21 10% 14%  
22 2% 5%  
23 0.6% 2%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 4% 99.8%  
11 5% 96%  
12 34% 91%  
13 22% 58% Last Result, Median
14 20% 35%  
15 9% 15%  
16 1.1% 6%  
17 4% 5%  
18 0.9% 0.9%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.0% 100%  
10 4% 99.0%  
11 9% 95%  
12 7% 86%  
13 24% 78%  
14 41% 54% Last Result, Median
15 6% 13%  
16 5% 7%  
17 1.1% 1.4%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 6% 98%  
11 32% 92%  
12 6% 59%  
13 11% 54% Median
14 26% 42%  
15 6% 17%  
16 10% 10% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 4% 100%  
8 4% 96%  
9 11% 92%  
10 19% 81%  
11 35% 62% Median
12 18% 27%  
13 5% 9%  
14 3% 4%  
15 1.2% 1.2%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 2% 99.6%  
8 18% 98%  
9 19% 80%  
10 32% 61% Median
11 21% 29%  
12 6% 8%  
13 0.6% 2%  
14 0.8% 2%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100%  
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0.3% 56%  
4 18% 56% Last Result, Median
5 28% 38%  
6 10% 10%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 9% 9%  
5 0.2% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 99.9% 95–102 93–103 91–104 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 98 99.9% 95–102 93–103 91–104 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 9% 81–89 80–91 80–92 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 85 9% 81–89 80–91 80–92 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 85 2% 81–87 79–89 78–89 77–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 73–80 72–82 71–84 70–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 72–80 71–82 71–83 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 68–75 65–76 65–77 64–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 66 0% 64–69 60–71 60–72 59–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 63–69 60–71 60–71 59–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 52–60 51–60 51–62 49–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 49–57 48–59 47–60 46–60
Venstre 43 35 0% 31–37 30–39 30–40 27–40

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 1.2% 99.9% Majority
91 1.3% 98.7%  
92 1.5% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 2% 94%  
95 8% 91%  
96 3% 83% Last Result
97 19% 80%  
98 26% 61%  
99 14% 35% Median
100 9% 21%  
101 1.3% 12%  
102 3% 10%  
103 5% 8%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.4% 0.7%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 1.2% 99.9% Majority
91 1.3% 98.7% Last Result
92 1.5% 97%  
93 2% 96%  
94 2% 94%  
95 8% 91%  
96 3% 83%  
97 19% 80%  
98 26% 61%  
99 14% 35% Median
100 9% 21%  
101 1.3% 12%  
102 3% 10%  
103 5% 8%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.4% 0.7%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.9% 99.6%  
78 0.1% 98.7%  
79 0.3% 98.6%  
80 5% 98% Last Result
81 9% 93%  
82 6% 84%  
83 8% 78%  
84 6% 70%  
85 15% 64%  
86 8% 49% Median
87 27% 41%  
88 2% 14%  
89 3% 12%  
90 3% 9% Majority
91 0.8% 6%  
92 4% 5%  
93 0.9% 1.1%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9% Last Result
76 0.3% 99.9%  
77 0.9% 99.6%  
78 0.1% 98.7%  
79 0.3% 98.6%  
80 5% 98%  
81 9% 93%  
82 6% 84%  
83 8% 78%  
84 6% 70%  
85 15% 64%  
86 8% 49% Median
87 27% 41%  
88 2% 14%  
89 3% 12%  
90 3% 9% Majority
91 0.8% 6%  
92 4% 5%  
93 0.9% 1.1%  
94 0% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 1.3% 99.9%  
78 1.4% 98.6% Last Result
79 2% 97%  
80 4% 95%  
81 2% 91%  
82 4% 89%  
83 2% 85%  
84 16% 83%  
85 21% 68%  
86 32% 46% Median
87 7% 14%  
88 3% 8%  
89 3% 5%  
90 1.3% 2% Majority
91 0.5% 0.9%  
92 0.2% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.3%  
72 5% 97%  
73 3% 92%  
74 1.3% 90%  
75 9% 88%  
76 14% 79%  
77 26% 65%  
78 19% 39%  
79 3% 20% Last Result, Median
80 8% 17%  
81 2% 9%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.5% 4%  
84 1.3% 3%  
85 1.2% 1.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.7%  
71 5% 99.3%  
72 6% 94%  
73 3% 88%  
74 2% 85%  
75 6% 83%  
76 16% 77%  
77 27% 61%  
78 18% 34%  
79 3% 16% Last Result, Median
80 5% 13%  
81 2% 8%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.4% 4%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 1.2% 1.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 2% 99.8% Last Result
65 3% 98%  
66 0.3% 95%  
67 4% 95%  
68 2% 91%  
69 3% 89%  
70 5% 86%  
71 28% 81%  
72 27% 53% Median
73 7% 25%  
74 8% 19%  
75 5% 10%  
76 2% 6%  
77 3% 4%  
78 0.9% 1.3%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.7%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 4% 98%  
61 0.4% 94%  
62 2% 94%  
63 2% 92%  
64 8% 90%  
65 1.1% 82%  
66 48% 81%  
67 4% 33%  
68 10% 29% Median
69 10% 19%  
70 2% 9%  
71 5% 7%  
72 1.0% 3%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0% 1.0%  
75 0.9% 1.0% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 2% 99.7%  
60 5% 98%  
61 0.5% 93%  
62 2% 92%  
63 5% 90%  
64 7% 85%  
65 4% 78%  
66 47% 74%  
67 2% 27%  
68 10% 25% Median
69 7% 16%  
70 2% 9%  
71 5% 7%  
72 0.9% 2%  
73 0.5% 1.5%  
74 0% 1.0%  
75 0.9% 0.9% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.8% 99.4%  
51 7% 98.7%  
52 2% 91%  
53 8% 89%  
54 1.4% 82%  
55 14% 80%  
56 27% 66%  
57 7% 40%  
58 15% 32% Median
59 3% 18% Last Result
60 11% 14%  
61 0.7% 4%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 0.5% 2%  
64 0.9% 1.0%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.7%  
47 4% 99.4%  
48 1.4% 95%  
49 6% 94%  
50 11% 88%  
51 6% 77%  
52 5% 71%  
53 17% 66%  
54 5% 48% Median
55 5% 43% Last Result
56 26% 38%  
57 5% 12%  
58 1.1% 6%  
59 1.1% 5%  
60 4% 4%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 1.0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.0%  
29 1.2% 98.9%  
30 3% 98%  
31 8% 94%  
32 13% 87%  
33 8% 74%  
34 10% 65%  
35 15% 55% Median
36 6% 40%  
37 26% 34%  
38 2% 8%  
39 1.3% 5%  
40 4% 4%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations