Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 14–20 December 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.8% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.3% 30.0–35.8% 29.2–36.7%
Venstre 23.4% 17.3% 15.8–18.9% 15.4–19.3% 15.1–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.3–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.2–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 56–62 55–62 53–62 52–64
Venstre 43 32 29–33 28–33 27–34 26–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 17 16–19 15–20 15–21 14–23
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 12–16 12–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–15 12–16 12–17 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 11–16 11–16 9–16 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–12 9–13 9–14 8–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 6–13
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–6 4–7 0–8 0–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 100%  
52 2% 99.8%  
53 0.8% 98%  
54 1.3% 97%  
55 1.1% 95%  
56 5% 94%  
57 2% 89%  
58 10% 87%  
59 15% 77%  
60 2% 62%  
61 32% 60% Median
62 26% 29%  
63 0.3% 2%  
64 1.5% 2%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 1.2% 99.8%  
27 2% 98.6%  
28 4% 96%  
29 25% 92%  
30 3% 68%  
31 7% 65%  
32 15% 58% Median
33 39% 43%  
34 2% 4%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.5%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0.5% 100%  
14 0.2% 99.5%  
15 7% 99.3%  
16 34% 93%  
17 16% 59% Median
18 12% 43%  
19 21% 31%  
20 6% 10%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.2% 2%  
23 1.3% 1.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 31% 98.9%  
13 6% 68% Last Result
14 39% 63% Median
15 18% 24%  
16 2% 5%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.4%  
12 23% 98.8%  
13 10% 76%  
14 34% 65% Last Result, Median
15 23% 31%  
16 3% 8%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.2% 0.5%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.9%  
10 1.2% 97%  
11 34% 96%  
12 5% 62%  
13 29% 57% Median
14 4% 28%  
15 13% 24%  
16 12% 12%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 4% 99.3%  
10 6% 95%  
11 7% 89%  
12 75% 82% Median
13 3% 8%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.2% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 1.1% 99.5%  
8 45% 98%  
9 28% 53% Median
10 7% 25%  
11 16% 18%  
12 1.0% 2%  
13 1.2% 1.4%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0.2% 97%  
4 24% 97% Last Result
5 21% 73%  
6 46% 52% Median
7 2% 6%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.7% 0.7%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Median
1 0% 0.5%  
2 0% 0.5%  
3 0% 0.5%  
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 101 99.8% 94–101 94–101 94–104 92–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 101 99.8% 94–101 94–101 94–104 92–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 89 5% 84–89 82–89 82–93 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 89 5% 83–89 82–89 82–93 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 87 4% 82–89 80–89 79–90 78–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 74 0% 74–81 74–81 71–81 71–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 74–80 73–81 71–81 70–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 68–74 67–74 64–74 64–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 61–66 61–67 60–68 58–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 61–66 61–67 60–68 57–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 52–55 51–57 50–58 47–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 48–50 46–52 45–52 42–55
Venstre 43 32 0% 29–33 28–33 27–34 26–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8% Majority
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 2% 99.3%  
94 8% 98%  
95 3% 90%  
96 5% 87% Last Result
97 3% 82%  
98 18% 79%  
99 2% 61%  
100 3% 59%  
101 51% 56% Median
102 1.5% 5%  
103 0.6% 3%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.3% 0.5%  
106 0.2% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8% Majority
91 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
92 0.3% 99.5%  
93 2% 99.2%  
94 8% 98%  
95 3% 90%  
96 5% 86%  
97 4% 82%  
98 18% 78%  
99 2% 60%  
100 3% 58%  
101 50% 55% Median
102 1.5% 5%  
103 0.6% 3%  
104 2% 3%  
105 0.3% 0.5%  
106 0.2% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
81 1.3% 99.5%  
82 7% 98%  
83 0.9% 91%  
84 9% 90%  
85 2% 82%  
86 14% 80%  
87 5% 66%  
88 2% 61%  
89 55% 59% Median
90 1.0% 5% Majority
91 0.5% 4%  
92 0.5% 3%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100% Last Result
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.2% 99.7%  
81 1.3% 99.5%  
82 7% 98%  
83 1.2% 91%  
84 9% 90%  
85 2% 81%  
86 14% 79%  
87 5% 66%  
88 2% 61%  
89 55% 59% Median
90 1.0% 5% Majority
91 0.4% 4%  
92 0.5% 3%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.7%  
78 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
79 2% 99.0%  
80 2% 97%  
81 3% 95%  
82 8% 92%  
83 19% 83%  
84 3% 64%  
85 5% 61%  
86 1.2% 56%  
87 31% 55% Median
88 0.3% 24%  
89 20% 24%  
90 4% 4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 2% 99.5%  
72 0.6% 97%  
73 1.5% 97%  
74 51% 95%  
75 3% 44%  
76 2% 41%  
77 18% 39% Median
78 3% 21%  
79 5% 18% Last Result
80 3% 13%  
81 8% 10%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.1% 0.5%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.6%  
71 3% 99.3%  
72 0.6% 96%  
73 2% 96%  
74 51% 94%  
75 3% 43%  
76 2% 40%  
77 18% 38% Median
78 4% 21%  
79 4% 17% Last Result
80 3% 12%  
81 8% 9%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 2% 99.7% Last Result
65 0.8% 97%  
66 1.3% 97%  
67 2% 95%  
68 6% 93%  
69 2% 87%  
70 10% 85%  
71 16% 76%  
72 4% 59%  
73 33% 55% Median
74 20% 22%  
75 0.5% 2%  
76 0.2% 2%  
77 1.2% 1.4%  
78 0% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 0.4% 99.6%  
59 0.5% 99.2%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 21% 97%  
62 17% 75%  
63 33% 58%  
64 5% 25% Median
65 8% 21%  
66 6% 13%  
67 4% 7%  
68 1.0% 3%  
69 1.1% 2%  
70 0.3% 1.2%  
71 0.2% 0.9%  
72 0.5% 0.7%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.8%  
56 0.2% 99.7%  
57 0.5% 99.5%  
58 0.4% 99.1%  
59 0.7% 98.7%  
60 2% 98%  
61 22% 96%  
62 17% 74%  
63 33% 57%  
64 5% 24% Median
65 8% 19%  
66 5% 12%  
67 4% 7%  
68 1.1% 3%  
69 0.8% 2%  
70 0.3% 0.8%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.4% 0.4%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.6%  
48 0.3% 99.4%  
49 0.6% 99.1%  
50 1.1% 98%  
51 3% 97%  
52 23% 94%  
53 5% 71%  
54 19% 66%  
55 38% 47% Median
56 4% 9%  
57 2% 5%  
58 2% 4%  
59 1.2% 2% Last Result
60 0.5% 0.8%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.7% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.2%  
44 0.5% 98.8%  
45 2% 98%  
46 2% 96%  
47 4% 94%  
48 29% 90%  
49 46% 61% Median
50 6% 14%  
51 2% 8%  
52 5% 6%  
53 0.6% 1.3%  
54 0.1% 0.7%  
55 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 1.2% 99.8%  
27 2% 98.6%  
28 4% 96%  
29 25% 92%  
30 3% 68%  
31 7% 65%  
32 15% 58% Median
33 39% 43%  
34 2% 4%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.5%  
37 0.2% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations