Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 4–9 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.8–34.6% 29.3–35.0% 28.5–35.9%
Venstre 23.4% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.2–15.7% 11.9–16.1% 11.3–16.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.4% 5.6–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 54–60 53–62 53–63 51–65
Venstre 43 26 23–27 22–28 22–29 20–30
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 19 17–20 17–21 16–21 15–23
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–18 14–18 13–19 13–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–21
Radikale Venstre 16 13 9–15 9–15 9–15 9–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 11–14 10–14 10–14 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–7 4–8 4–8 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 0.3% 99.6%  
52 0.5% 99.3%  
53 6% 98.7%  
54 4% 93%  
55 17% 89%  
56 2% 71%  
57 3% 69%  
58 53% 66% Median
59 2% 12%  
60 2% 10%  
61 2% 8%  
62 4% 7%  
63 0.5% 3%  
64 1.3% 2%  
65 0.7% 0.8%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.7%  
21 1.0% 99.0%  
22 5% 98%  
23 10% 93%  
24 4% 83%  
25 14% 79%  
26 53% 66% Median
27 7% 12%  
28 2% 5%  
29 1.2% 4%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.4% 100%  
15 2% 99.6%  
16 1.3% 98%  
17 17% 96%  
18 5% 79%  
19 46% 74% Median
20 22% 29%  
21 4% 6%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.6% 0.8%  
24 0.1% 0.3%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 4% 99.6% Last Result
14 6% 95%  
15 46% 89% Median
16 17% 43%  
17 5% 25%  
18 16% 21%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.7% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 2% 98%  
14 52% 96% Last Result, Median
15 9% 44%  
16 10% 35%  
17 7% 25%  
18 16% 19%  
19 0.9% 3%  
20 0.7% 2%  
21 0.9% 0.9%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 12% 99.7%  
10 3% 88%  
11 20% 84%  
12 7% 64%  
13 13% 57% Median
14 3% 43%  
15 39% 40%  
16 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
17 0.7% 0.7%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.3% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.7%  
10 7% 99.2%  
11 8% 92%  
12 53% 84% Median
13 20% 31%  
14 5% 11%  
15 5% 6%  
16 0.8% 0.9%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.6%  
10 8% 99.2%  
11 64% 92% Median
12 7% 28%  
13 9% 21%  
14 10% 12%  
15 0.7% 1.1%  
16 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 4% 98% Last Result
5 56% 94% Median
6 17% 38%  
7 16% 21%  
8 5% 5%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 6% 9%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 102 100% 98–103 98–106 96–107 93–108
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 102 100% 98–103 98–106 96–107 93–108
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 31% 86–91 85–93 84–94 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 31% 86–91 85–93 84–94 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 87 4% 82–88 80–89 79–90 79–93
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 73 0% 72–77 69–77 68–79 67–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 71–76 68–77 67–77 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 71 0% 64–73 64–74 64–75 63–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 60–64 57–65 56–68 53–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 58–64 56–64 55–65 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 46–52 46–53 44–53 42–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 45 0% 42–46 40–47 39–47 38–50
Venstre 43 26 0% 23–27 22–28 22–29 20–30

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.3% 100%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.2% 99.4%  
95 0.8% 99.2%  
96 3% 98% Last Result
97 0.5% 96%  
98 6% 95%  
99 13% 89%  
100 15% 76% Median
101 6% 61%  
102 43% 55%  
103 3% 12%  
104 2% 9%  
105 1.3% 7%  
106 2% 5%  
107 2% 4%  
108 2% 2%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.3% 100%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.2% 99.4%  
95 0.8% 99.2%  
96 3% 98%  
97 0.5% 96%  
98 6% 95%  
99 13% 89%  
100 15% 76% Median
101 6% 61%  
102 43% 55%  
103 3% 12%  
104 2% 9%  
105 1.3% 7%  
106 2% 5%  
107 2% 4%  
108 2% 2%  
109 0.1% 0.2%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.3% 100% Last Result
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.2%  
83 0.7% 98.7%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 5% 97%  
86 5% 93%  
87 41% 87% Median
88 10% 47%  
89 5% 36%  
90 7% 31% Majority
91 18% 24%  
92 0.9% 7%  
93 2% 6%  
94 0.8% 3%  
95 1.0% 2%  
96 1.3% 1.5%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.3% 100%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.2%  
83 0.7% 98.7%  
84 0.8% 98%  
85 5% 97%  
86 5% 93%  
87 41% 87% Median
88 10% 47%  
89 5% 36%  
90 7% 31% Majority
91 18% 24%  
92 0.9% 7%  
93 2% 6%  
94 0.8% 3%  
95 1.0% 2%  
96 1.3% 1.5%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
79 3% 99.7%  
80 4% 97%  
81 2% 93%  
82 13% 91%  
83 14% 78%  
84 2% 63%  
85 3% 62% Median
86 5% 59%  
87 42% 55%  
88 3% 12%  
89 5% 10%  
90 2% 4% Majority
91 1.3% 2%  
92 0.2% 1.0%  
93 0.7% 0.8%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 2% 99.8%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 2% 93%  
72 3% 91%  
73 43% 88% Median
74 6% 45%  
75 15% 39%  
76 13% 24%  
77 6% 11%  
78 0.5% 5%  
79 3% 4% Last Result
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 2% 99.4%  
68 3% 97%  
69 2% 94%  
70 1.4% 92%  
71 4% 90%  
72 2% 86%  
73 43% 85% Median
74 6% 42%  
75 15% 35%  
76 12% 20%  
77 6% 8%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 1.2% 2% Last Result
80 0.6% 0.8%  
81 0% 0.3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.7%  
64 12% 99.1% Last Result
65 1.4% 87%  
66 7% 85%  
67 5% 79%  
68 5% 74%  
69 16% 69%  
70 2% 53%  
71 0.9% 51% Median
72 1.1% 50%  
73 43% 49%  
74 2% 6%  
75 1.2% 3%  
76 0.7% 2%  
77 2% 2%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.7% 99.9%  
54 0.4% 99.2%  
55 0.2% 98.9%  
56 2% 98.7%  
57 1.4% 96%  
58 0.6% 95%  
59 3% 94%  
60 2% 91%  
61 48% 89% Median
62 4% 41%  
63 25% 37%  
64 5% 12%  
65 2% 6%  
66 0.7% 4%  
67 1.1% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.4% 0.8%  
70 0.4% 0.4%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.7% 99.9%  
54 0.5% 99.2%  
55 1.2% 98.7%  
56 3% 97%  
57 2% 95%  
58 4% 93%  
59 3% 89%  
60 2% 86%  
61 48% 84% Median
62 2% 36%  
63 23% 34%  
64 7% 10%  
65 1.2% 3%  
66 0.7% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.4%  
68 0.4% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.4% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.6%  
43 2% 99.4%  
44 0.3% 98%  
45 1.5% 97%  
46 7% 96%  
47 3% 89%  
48 5% 86%  
49 11% 81%  
50 43% 70% Median
51 3% 27%  
52 15% 24%  
53 6% 8%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.9% 1.1%  
56 0.2% 0.3%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.4% 100%  
38 1.5% 99.6%  
39 0.6% 98%  
40 4% 97%  
41 3% 93%  
42 4% 91%  
43 12% 86%  
44 9% 74%  
45 55% 65% Median
46 4% 11%  
47 4% 7%  
48 0.8% 2%  
49 1.2% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.7%  
21 1.0% 99.0%  
22 5% 98%  
23 10% 93%  
24 4% 83%  
25 14% 79%  
26 53% 66% Median
27 7% 12%  
28 2% 5%  
29 1.2% 4%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations