Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.3% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
Venstre 23.4% 13.0% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 10.9% 9.8–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 9.2–13.0% 8.6–13.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 57–65 55–67 54–67 53–67
Venstre 43 23 20–26 19–27 19–27 18–28
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 20 17–24 16–24 16–24 15–25
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 12–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–17 12–17 11–18 11–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 9–14 9–15 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 13 10–15 10–15 9–15 8–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 7–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–7 0–8 0–8 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.4% 99.7%  
54 3% 99.4%  
55 4% 96%  
56 2% 93%  
57 6% 91%  
58 27% 85%  
59 8% 58%  
60 10% 51% Median
61 14% 41%  
62 3% 27%  
63 2% 24%  
64 9% 22%  
65 4% 13%  
66 0.9% 8%  
67 7% 7%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.5% 100%  
19 9% 99.5%  
20 4% 91%  
21 7% 87%  
22 15% 80%  
23 17% 65% Median
24 10% 48%  
25 18% 38%  
26 13% 21%  
27 6% 7%  
28 0.5% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 1.0% 99.9%  
16 4% 98.9%  
17 8% 94%  
18 15% 87%  
19 9% 71%  
20 23% 63% Median
21 9% 40%  
22 11% 31%  
23 6% 20%  
24 11% 14%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.3%  
27 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 9% 99.6%  
13 10% 90%  
14 9% 80% Last Result
15 33% 71% Median
16 23% 38%  
17 6% 15%  
18 7% 9%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.8%  
12 3% 96%  
13 6% 93% Last Result
14 43% 87% Median
15 14% 44%  
16 9% 30%  
17 17% 21%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.9% 2%  
20 0.8% 0.8%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 7% 99.7%  
10 17% 92%  
11 17% 75%  
12 29% 58% Median
13 19% 29%  
14 6% 10%  
15 2% 3%  
16 1.2% 1.5% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.3%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100%  
9 3% 99.4%  
10 14% 97%  
11 17% 82%  
12 16% 66%  
13 24% 50% Median
14 14% 26%  
15 11% 12%  
16 1.2% 2% Last Result
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.4% 100%  
8 2% 98.6%  
9 19% 96%  
10 26% 77%  
11 24% 52% Median
12 13% 28%  
13 9% 15%  
14 5% 7%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 29% 92% Last Result
5 30% 64% Median
6 23% 34%  
7 6% 11%  
8 5% 5%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 27%  
2 0% 27%  
3 0% 27%  
4 22% 27%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0.2% 0.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 15% 17%  
5 1.5% 1.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 102 100% 98–107 98–108 96–108 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 102 100% 98–107 98–108 96–108 95–110
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 90 51% 86–94 84–96 84–96 82–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 90 51% 86–94 84–96 84–96 82–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 87 25% 83–92 82–94 81–94 80–95
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 73 0% 68–77 68–79 67–79 65–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 72 0% 67–76 67–77 66–77 64–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 71 0% 67–75 66–77 65–77 64–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 56–66 55–66 55–67 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 60 0% 55–64 55–65 54–66 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 48 0% 44–53 43–53 43–54 41–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 43 0% 39–47 39–48 39–49 37–49
Venstre 43 23 0% 20–26 19–27 19–27 18–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 1.0% 99.6%  
96 2% 98.6% Last Result
97 1.2% 97%  
98 6% 96%  
99 6% 89%  
100 7% 83%  
101 16% 76%  
102 16% 60% Median
103 8% 44%  
104 19% 36%  
105 3% 17%  
106 4% 14%  
107 1.2% 10%  
108 7% 9%  
109 1.1% 2%  
110 0.4% 0.6%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100% Last Result
92 0.1% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 1.0% 99.6%  
96 2% 98.6%  
97 1.2% 97%  
98 6% 96%  
99 6% 89%  
100 7% 83%  
101 16% 76%  
102 16% 60% Median
103 8% 44%  
104 19% 36%  
105 3% 17%  
106 4% 14%  
107 1.2% 10%  
108 7% 9%  
109 1.1% 2%  
110 0.4% 0.6%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.1% 100% Last Result
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.7% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.1%  
84 4% 98.7%  
85 2% 95%  
86 3% 92%  
87 14% 89%  
88 14% 75%  
89 10% 61% Median
90 8% 51% Majority
91 11% 43%  
92 7% 32%  
93 11% 25%  
94 4% 14%  
95 0.8% 10%  
96 8% 9%  
97 0.1% 1.0%  
98 0.4% 0.9%  
99 0.3% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.1% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.7% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.1%  
84 4% 98.7%  
85 2% 95%  
86 3% 92%  
87 14% 89%  
88 14% 75%  
89 10% 61% Median
90 8% 51% Majority
91 11% 43%  
92 7% 32%  
93 11% 25%  
94 4% 14%  
95 0.8% 10%  
96 8% 9%  
97 0.1% 1.0%  
98 0.4% 0.8%  
99 0.3% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.7% 99.6%  
81 3% 98.9%  
82 1.2% 96%  
83 7% 94%  
84 3% 87%  
85 5% 84%  
86 9% 78%  
87 24% 69%  
88 13% 46% Median
89 8% 33%  
90 10% 25% Majority
91 4% 15%  
92 3% 11%  
93 0.4% 9%  
94 7% 8%  
95 0.5% 0.9%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 0.8% 99.3%  
67 2% 98.5%  
68 11% 97%  
69 8% 86%  
70 4% 78%  
71 16% 74%  
72 6% 59%  
73 18% 53% Median
74 6% 35%  
75 14% 29%  
76 4% 14%  
77 2% 10%  
78 0.4% 8%  
79 7% 8%  
80 0.8% 0.9%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.6% 99.8%  
65 0.7% 99.2%  
66 1.4% 98.6%  
67 11% 97%  
68 1.4% 86%  
69 12% 85%  
70 3% 73%  
71 16% 71% Median
72 8% 55%  
73 7% 46%  
74 16% 39%  
75 8% 23%  
76 7% 15%  
77 6% 8%  
78 0.8% 2%  
79 0.5% 1.1% Last Result
80 0.4% 0.6%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.8% 99.5%  
65 2% 98.7%  
66 2% 96%  
67 11% 94%  
68 2% 83%  
69 12% 81%  
70 15% 69%  
71 16% 54% Median
72 13% 38%  
73 6% 25%  
74 4% 19%  
75 7% 15%  
76 2% 8%  
77 5% 6%  
78 0.5% 1.1%  
79 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.8% 99.8%  
55 7% 98.9%  
56 4% 92%  
57 1.1% 88%  
58 7% 87%  
59 3% 80%  
60 22% 77% Median
61 8% 55%  
62 8% 47%  
63 10% 39%  
64 13% 29%  
65 6% 16%  
66 6% 10%  
67 2% 4%  
68 0.7% 1.4%  
69 0.3% 0.7%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.3% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.7%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 3% 99.3%  
55 7% 97%  
56 4% 90%  
57 2% 86%  
58 6% 83%  
59 7% 78%  
60 31% 71% Median
61 11% 40%  
62 11% 28%  
63 7% 17%  
64 4% 10%  
65 2% 6%  
66 3% 4%  
67 0.3% 1.1%  
68 0.6% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.4% 99.8%  
42 0.6% 99.3%  
43 8% 98.7%  
44 3% 91%  
45 5% 89%  
46 3% 83%  
47 12% 80%  
48 18% 68% Median
49 12% 49%  
50 19% 37%  
51 5% 18%  
52 3% 13%  
53 6% 10%  
54 4% 4%  
55 0.2% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 0.5% 99.5%  
38 0.8% 99.0%  
39 10% 98%  
40 3% 88%  
41 7% 86%  
42 7% 79%  
43 24% 72% Median
44 10% 48%  
45 11% 38%  
46 12% 26%  
47 9% 15%  
48 3% 6%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.5% 100%  
19 9% 99.5%  
20 4% 91%  
21 7% 87%  
22 15% 80%  
23 17% 65% Median
24 10% 48%  
25 18% 38%  
26 13% 21%  
27 6% 7%  
28 0.5% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations