Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 15–18 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.3% 31.7–35.1% 31.2–35.6% 30.8–36.0% 30.0–36.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.9% 11.8–14.2% 11.4–14.6% 11.1–14.9% 10.6–15.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 11.8% 10.7–13.0% 10.4–13.4% 10.1–13.7% 9.6–14.3%
Venstre 23.4% 9.2% 8.2–10.3% 8.0–10.7% 7.7–11.0% 7.3–11.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.2–8.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.6% 5.4–9.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.7% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.4–8.2% 5.0–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.7% 4.0–5.6% 3.8–5.8% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.9% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9% 1.1–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 59–63 57–63 57–64 54–66
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 21–26 21–26 20–26 20–28
Nye Borgerlige 4 23 21–23 19–23 18–24 18–25
Venstre 43 14 14–18 14–18 14–18 14–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 13–14 13–16 13–17 12–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 11 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–14
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–9 7–10 7–10 7–11
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 4–6 4–7 4–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 2% 99.8%  
55 0.3% 98%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 4% 98%  
58 4% 94%  
59 0.6% 90%  
60 2% 90%  
61 73% 87% Median
62 0.8% 15%  
63 9% 14%  
64 4% 5%  
65 0% 0.9%  
66 0.8% 0.8%  
67 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 2% 99.8%  
21 16% 97%  
22 1.3% 82%  
23 2% 80%  
24 0.5% 79%  
25 7% 78%  
26 69% 71% Median
27 0.4% 2%  
28 1.5% 2%  
29 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.3% 100%  
18 5% 99.7%  
19 0.6% 95%  
20 4% 94%  
21 15% 91%  
22 2% 76%  
23 72% 74% Median
24 0.5% 3%  
25 2% 2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 69% 99.8% Median
15 0.7% 30%  
16 11% 30%  
17 3% 19%  
18 14% 16%  
19 0.6% 2%  
20 0.4% 1.2%  
21 0.8% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 84% 98% Median
14 6% 14%  
15 3% 8%  
16 2% 5% Last Result
17 2% 3%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9%  
11 11% 99.1%  
12 78% 88% Median
13 3% 11% Last Result
14 6% 8%  
15 0.6% 2%  
16 1.1% 1.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.4% 100%  
10 6% 98.6%  
11 75% 92% Median
12 4% 18%  
13 5% 14%  
14 9% 9% Last Result
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 5% 99.7%  
8 8% 95%  
9 81% 86% Median
10 4% 6%  
11 1.3% 1.5%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 5% 99.8% Last Result
5 17% 95%  
6 75% 78% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 5% 11%  
5 6% 6%  
6 0.2% 0.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 93% 91–97 88–97 88–99 87–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 93 93% 91–97 88–97 88–99 87–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 84 1.0% 82–88 81–88 80–89 79–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 84 1.0% 82–88 81–88 80–89 79–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0.1% 78–84 78–87 76–87 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0% 79–85 77–86 76–86 74–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0% 78–82 77–84 76–84 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 70 0% 67–72 66–72 65–74 61–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 59 0% 57–62 57–65 55–66 55–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 57–60 57–61 55–62 55–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 46 0% 44–46 42–48 42–48 42–50
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 40 0% 39–41 38–41 37–43 37–45
Venstre 43 14 0% 14–18 14–18 14–18 14–21

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 2% 99.7%  
88 3% 98%  
89 2% 95%  
90 0.1% 93% Majority
91 3% 93%  
92 0.4% 89%  
93 74% 89% Median
94 0.7% 15%  
95 0.9% 14%  
96 0.2% 13% Last Result
97 9% 13%  
98 0.9% 4%  
99 4% 4%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 2% 99.7%  
88 3% 98%  
89 2% 95%  
90 0.1% 93% Majority
91 4% 92% Last Result
92 0.4% 89%  
93 74% 89% Median
94 0.7% 15%  
95 0.7% 14%  
96 0.2% 13%  
97 9% 13%  
98 0.9% 4%  
99 4% 4%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 3% 99.2% Last Result
81 1.4% 96%  
82 5% 94%  
83 1.3% 89%  
84 69% 88% Median
85 4% 18%  
86 0.6% 14%  
87 0.2% 14%  
88 9% 14%  
89 4% 5%  
90 0.9% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 3% 99.2%  
81 1.4% 96%  
82 5% 94%  
83 1.3% 89%  
84 69% 88% Median
85 4% 18%  
86 0.4% 14%  
87 0.2% 14%  
88 9% 14%  
89 4% 5%  
90 0.9% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 4% 99.9%  
77 0.9% 96%  
78 9% 96%  
79 0.2% 87% Last Result
80 0.9% 87%  
81 0.7% 86%  
82 74% 85% Median
83 0.4% 11%  
84 3% 11%  
85 0.1% 7%  
86 2% 7%  
87 3% 5%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 1.5% 99.8%  
75 0.3% 98%  
76 2% 98%  
77 4% 96%  
78 0.4% 91% Last Result
79 4% 91%  
80 0.1% 87%  
81 71% 87% Median
82 2% 15%  
83 0.3% 13%  
84 0.2% 13%  
85 4% 13%  
86 8% 8%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.3% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 4% 99.4%  
77 2% 96%  
78 10% 93%  
79 2% 83% Last Result
80 0.9% 81%  
81 2% 80%  
82 71% 77% Median
83 1.4% 7%  
84 3% 5%  
85 0.1% 2%  
86 0.3% 2%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 2% 100%  
62 0.1% 98%  
63 0.2% 98%  
64 0.3% 98% Last Result
65 1.2% 98%  
66 5% 97%  
67 2% 92%  
68 2% 90%  
69 4% 88%  
70 70% 84% Median
71 1.0% 14%  
72 9% 13%  
73 0.1% 4%  
74 4% 4%  
75 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 4% 100%  
56 0.1% 96%  
57 8% 96%  
58 0.4% 88%  
59 72% 88% Median
60 0.8% 15%  
61 1.2% 15%  
62 4% 13%  
63 0.4% 9%  
64 1.5% 9%  
65 3% 7%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.1% 2%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 4% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 96%  
57 10% 95%  
58 1.3% 86%  
59 72% 84% Median
60 3% 12%  
61 4% 9%  
62 2% 4%  
63 0.2% 2%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.1% 99.7%  
42 5% 99.6%  
43 0.7% 95%  
44 12% 94%  
45 6% 82%  
46 70% 77% Median
47 0.5% 6%  
48 4% 6%  
49 0.3% 2%  
50 1.5% 2%  
51 0.3% 0.3%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.7%  
37 4% 99.5%  
38 3% 95%  
39 12% 92%  
40 70% 80% Median
41 6% 10%  
42 1.4% 4%  
43 1.1% 3%  
44 0.1% 2%  
45 1.5% 2%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 69% 99.8% Median
15 0.7% 30%  
16 11% 30%  
17 3% 19%  
18 14% 16%  
19 0.6% 2%  
20 0.4% 1.2%  
21 0.8% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations