Opinion Poll by Epinion, 18–21 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.5% 31.1–34.0% 30.7–34.4% 30.3–34.8% 29.7–35.5%
Venstre 23.4% 13.3% 12.3–14.4% 12.0–14.7% 11.8–15.0% 11.3–15.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.5% 11.5–13.6% 11.3–13.9% 11.0–14.2% 10.6–14.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.6% 8.8–10.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.3–11.1% 7.9–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.7–7.2% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 57–61 56–61 55–62 54–64
Venstre 43 22 22–25 22–26 21–26 21–28
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 23 20–23 20–25 20–25 19–26
Nye Borgerlige 4 18 16–19 16–19 15–20 14–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–14 12–15 11–16 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 11–13 11–14 10–15 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–14 10–14 10–14 9–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 4–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.3% 99.6%  
55 3% 99.3%  
56 4% 96%  
57 3% 92%  
58 8% 90%  
59 10% 82%  
60 38% 72% Median
61 31% 34%  
62 0.8% 3%  
63 1.1% 2%  
64 1.2% 1.4%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.3% 100%  
21 3% 99.7%  
22 59% 97% Median
23 6% 38%  
24 13% 32%  
25 12% 19%  
26 5% 7%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.2% 0.6%  
29 0.4% 0.4%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 2% 99.9%  
20 9% 98%  
21 9% 89%  
22 10% 80%  
23 62% 71% Median
24 4% 9%  
25 4% 6%  
26 1.0% 1.3%  
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.7% 99.9%  
15 3% 99.3%  
16 7% 96%  
17 39% 89%  
18 32% 50% Median
19 14% 19%  
20 4% 4%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 4% 99.7%  
12 11% 96%  
13 41% 84% Median
14 34% 43% Last Result
15 5% 9%  
16 3% 5%  
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.7% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 7% 97%  
12 50% 90% Median
13 32% 40% Last Result
14 4% 8%  
15 3% 4%  
16 1.0% 1.2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 9% 98%  
11 11% 89%  
12 62% 78% Median
13 6% 16%  
14 10% 10%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.9% 100%  
8 31% 99.1%  
9 9% 68%  
10 17% 59% Median
11 40% 42%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0.1% 97%  
4 36% 97% Last Result
5 55% 62% Median
6 6% 7%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 99.8% 94–100 93–100 92–100 91–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 97 99.8% 94–100 93–100 92–100 91–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 2% 83–88 82–88 82–89 79–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 2% 83–88 82–88 82–89 79–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 85 2% 82–87 81–87 80–88 79–92
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 75–80 75–81 74–83 71–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 75–80 75–81 74–83 71–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 72 0% 68–73 67–73 67–74 65–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 57–62 57–64 56–65 55–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 57–62 57–64 56–65 55–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 49–53 48–54 47–55 45–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 45 0% 44–48 44–49 43–50 42–51
Venstre 43 22 0% 22–25 22–26 21–26 21–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8% Majority
91 0.5% 99.7%  
92 3% 99.3%  
93 2% 96%  
94 5% 94%  
95 4% 89%  
96 4% 85% Last Result
97 45% 80% Median
98 5% 36%  
99 2% 31%  
100 26% 29%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.4% 2%  
103 0.7% 1.4%  
104 0.7% 0.7%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8% Majority
91 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
92 3% 99.3%  
93 2% 96%  
94 5% 94%  
95 4% 89%  
96 4% 85%  
97 45% 80% Median
98 5% 36%  
99 2% 31%  
100 26% 29%  
101 0.5% 2%  
102 0.4% 2%  
103 0.7% 1.4%  
104 0.7% 0.7%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
81 1.3% 99.0%  
82 6% 98%  
83 9% 92%  
84 9% 83%  
85 37% 73% Median
86 4% 37%  
87 4% 33%  
88 25% 30%  
89 3% 5%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 1.5%  
92 0.9% 1.4%  
93 0.6% 0.6%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.3% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.7%  
80 0.5% 99.5%  
81 1.3% 99.0%  
82 6% 98%  
83 9% 92%  
84 9% 83%  
85 37% 73% Median
86 4% 37%  
87 4% 33%  
88 25% 30%  
89 3% 5%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 1.5%  
92 0.9% 1.4%  
93 0.6% 0.6%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
79 0.3% 99.5%  
80 3% 99.2%  
81 3% 96%  
82 7% 93%  
83 4% 86%  
84 4% 82%  
85 44% 79% Median
86 6% 34%  
87 26% 28%  
88 0.7% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.8% 2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.7%  
92 0.6% 0.6%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.7% 100%  
72 0.8% 99.3%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 0.9% 98%  
75 27% 97%  
76 3% 71%  
77 5% 68%  
78 46% 63% Median
79 4% 17% Last Result
80 4% 13%  
81 4% 8%  
82 0.5% 4%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.7% 100%  
72 0.8% 99.3%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 27% 97%  
76 3% 70%  
77 5% 67%  
78 46% 62% Median
79 4% 16% Last Result
80 4% 12%  
81 4% 8%  
82 0.5% 4%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.8% 99.5%  
67 4% 98.6%  
68 6% 95%  
69 4% 89%  
70 5% 86%  
71 8% 81%  
72 37% 73% Median
73 31% 36%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.4% 0.7%  
77 0.3% 0.3%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.8%  
56 3% 99.2%  
57 25% 96%  
58 4% 71%  
59 8% 67%  
60 6% 59% Median
61 37% 53%  
62 7% 16%  
63 3% 9%  
64 3% 7%  
65 3% 4%  
66 0.4% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.8%  
56 3% 99.2%  
57 25% 96%  
58 5% 71%  
59 8% 67%  
60 6% 59% Median
61 37% 52%  
62 6% 16%  
63 3% 9%  
64 3% 6%  
65 3% 3%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 1.4% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 98.5%  
47 2% 98%  
48 3% 96%  
49 32% 93%  
50 38% 61% Median
51 5% 23%  
52 7% 18%  
53 5% 11%  
54 2% 6%  
55 4% 4%  
56 0.3% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 1.1% 99.7%  
43 3% 98.6%  
44 9% 96%  
45 61% 87% Median
46 6% 26%  
47 9% 20%  
48 5% 11%  
49 1.5% 6%  
50 4% 5%  
51 0.9% 1.1%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.3% 100%  
21 3% 99.7%  
22 59% 97% Median
23 6% 38%  
24 13% 32%  
25 12% 19%  
26 5% 7%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0.2% 0.6%  
29 0.4% 0.4%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations