Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 18–24 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.6–37.3%
Venstre 23.4% 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.1–14.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–11.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–5.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 55–64 55–64 55–65 53–66
Venstre 43 25 22–28 21–29 20–31 19–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 20 18–23 18–24 17–25 16–26
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–18 12–19 12–20 11–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 11–16 11–16 11–16 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–17
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–12 9–13 8–14 8–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–12 8–13 8–13 7–15
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–8 4–8 4–8 4–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.6%  
54 1.1% 99.5%  
55 10% 98%  
56 4% 88%  
57 9% 84%  
58 10% 75%  
59 5% 65%  
60 24% 60% Median
61 4% 36%  
62 9% 32%  
63 12% 23%  
64 8% 11%  
65 2% 3%  
66 1.2% 1.3%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.5% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.4%  
21 5% 97%  
22 11% 92%  
23 8% 81%  
24 15% 73%  
25 9% 58% Median
26 31% 48%  
27 5% 18%  
28 7% 13%  
29 0.6% 5%  
30 2% 4%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.2% 100%  
16 1.2% 99.8%  
17 2% 98.6%  
18 9% 97%  
19 18% 88%  
20 22% 70% Median
21 12% 49%  
22 22% 37%  
23 9% 15%  
24 2% 6%  
25 4% 4%  
26 0.7% 0.7%  
27 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.9%  
12 7% 98.5%  
13 21% 92% Last Result
14 9% 71%  
15 12% 63%  
16 17% 51% Median
17 20% 33%  
18 8% 14%  
19 2% 6%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 2% 99.5%  
11 11% 98%  
12 12% 87%  
13 16% 76%  
14 26% 59% Last Result, Median
15 8% 33%  
16 23% 25%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 6% 98%  
11 15% 92%  
12 28% 77% Median
13 11% 49%  
14 25% 38%  
15 8% 13%  
16 4% 5%  
17 0.9% 1.0%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.5% 100%  
8 2% 99.5%  
9 15% 97%  
10 39% 82% Median
11 21% 44%  
12 13% 23%  
13 6% 10%  
14 2% 4%  
15 1.4% 1.4%  
16 0% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 20% 98%  
9 14% 78%  
10 27% 63% Median
11 21% 36%  
12 9% 15%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 7% 99.8% Last Result
5 27% 93%  
6 33% 65% Median
7 22% 32%  
8 9% 11%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0.1% 18%  
4 16% 18%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 10% 11%  
5 1.0% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 99 100% 95–104 94–105 94–106 91–108
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 99 100% 95–103 94–105 94–106 91–108
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 89 44% 84–93 84–94 83–96 82–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 89 44% 84–93 84–94 83–96 82–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 84 3% 80–88 79–89 78–90 77–92
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 71–80 70–80 68–81 67–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 70–78 69–79 68–80 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 70 0% 66–74 65–75 64–76 63–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 62 0% 58–67 57–68 56–68 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 58–65 57–66 56–68 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–54 47–56 46–56 44–57
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 46 0% 42–49 41–50 40–51 38–51
Venstre 43 25 0% 22–28 21–29 20–31 19–31

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 2% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0.4% 98%  
94 3% 98%  
95 9% 95%  
96 2% 86% Last Result
97 8% 83%  
98 4% 76%  
99 24% 72%  
100 11% 48% Median
101 13% 37%  
102 7% 24%  
103 6% 16%  
104 4% 11%  
105 2% 7%  
106 2% 4%  
107 1.4% 2%  
108 0.7% 1.0%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.2% 0.2%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.2% 100% Majority
91 2% 99.8% Last Result
92 0.1% 98%  
93 0.4% 98%  
94 3% 98%  
95 9% 95%  
96 2% 85%  
97 8% 83%  
98 3% 75%  
99 24% 72%  
100 12% 47% Median
101 13% 35%  
102 7% 22%  
103 6% 15%  
104 2% 9%  
105 2% 7%  
106 2% 4%  
107 1.4% 2%  
108 0.7% 1.0%  
109 0.1% 0.3%  
110 0.2% 0.2%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.2% 100% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 2% 99.6%  
83 2% 98%  
84 9% 96%  
85 6% 86%  
86 5% 81%  
87 8% 76%  
88 4% 68%  
89 20% 64%  
90 9% 44% Median, Majority
91 15% 35%  
92 8% 20%  
93 3% 12%  
94 5% 9%  
95 1.0% 4%  
96 2% 3%  
97 1.0% 1.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0.2% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 2% 99.6%  
83 2% 98%  
84 9% 96%  
85 6% 86%  
86 5% 81%  
87 8% 76%  
88 4% 68%  
89 19% 63%  
90 11% 44% Median, Majority
91 15% 33%  
92 8% 18%  
93 3% 10%  
94 3% 7%  
95 1.0% 4%  
96 2% 3%  
97 1.0% 1.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.9%  
77 2% 99.7%  
78 3% 98% Last Result
79 2% 95%  
80 9% 93%  
81 2% 84%  
82 9% 82%  
83 14% 72%  
84 14% 59% Median
85 8% 45%  
86 14% 37%  
87 12% 23%  
88 4% 12%  
89 4% 8%  
90 1.0% 3% Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.6%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 0.7% 99.5%  
68 1.4% 98.8%  
69 2% 97%  
70 3% 95%  
71 9% 93%  
72 6% 83%  
73 8% 78% Median
74 13% 69%  
75 5% 56%  
76 26% 51%  
77 4% 25%  
78 7% 22%  
79 2% 14% Last Result
80 9% 12%  
81 3% 3%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.7%  
67 1.0% 99.5%  
68 2% 98%  
69 4% 97%  
70 4% 93%  
71 9% 89%  
72 9% 80%  
73 8% 71% Median
74 13% 63%  
75 5% 50%  
76 28% 45%  
77 5% 17%  
78 6% 12%  
79 2% 6% Last Result
80 4% 5%  
81 0.2% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.2% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.7%  
64 4% 99.4% Last Result
65 0.5% 95%  
66 8% 95%  
67 2% 87%  
68 11% 86%  
69 9% 75%  
70 24% 66% Median
71 6% 42%  
72 12% 36%  
73 9% 24%  
74 6% 15%  
75 6% 9%  
76 1.1% 3%  
77 2% 2%  
78 0.4% 0.5%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.6% 99.8%  
55 0.4% 99.2%  
56 2% 98.8%  
57 3% 97%  
58 7% 94%  
59 8% 87%  
60 9% 79%  
61 9% 69% Median
62 18% 60%  
63 11% 43%  
64 8% 32%  
65 6% 24%  
66 5% 18%  
67 4% 14%  
68 8% 10%  
69 1.3% 2%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.7% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 99.1%  
56 3% 98.6%  
57 4% 96%  
58 7% 92%  
59 10% 85%  
60 10% 75%  
61 11% 65% Median
62 18% 53%  
63 11% 36%  
64 12% 24%  
65 4% 12%  
66 4% 9%  
67 2% 5%  
68 3% 3%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.3% 100%  
44 0.9% 99.7%  
45 0.7% 98.8%  
46 1.3% 98%  
47 4% 97%  
48 5% 93%  
49 20% 88%  
50 7% 67%  
51 5% 61% Median
52 10% 55%  
53 8% 45%  
54 27% 37%  
55 4% 9%  
56 4% 6%  
57 1.1% 2%  
58 0.2% 0.5%  
59 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.5% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.4%  
40 1.0% 98%  
41 5% 97%  
42 4% 92%  
43 7% 88%  
44 17% 80%  
45 13% 63% Median
46 10% 50%  
47 11% 40%  
48 19% 29%  
49 6% 11%  
50 3% 5%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.5% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.4%  
21 5% 97%  
22 11% 92%  
23 8% 81%  
24 15% 73%  
25 9% 58% Median
26 31% 48%  
27 5% 18%  
28 7% 13%  
29 0.6% 5%  
30 2% 4%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations