Opinion Poll by Gallup, 22–28 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.5% 28.0–31.1% 27.6–31.5% 27.3–31.9% 26.6–32.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.6% 12.5–14.8% 12.2–15.2% 12.0–15.5% 11.5–16.1%
Venstre 23.4% 12.8% 11.8–14.0% 11.5–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.7–15.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.4% 7.6–9.4% 7.3–9.7% 7.1–9.9% 6.7–10.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.4% 6.6–8.4% 6.4–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 5.8–9.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.5% 5.5–9.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.3–8.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 6.5% 5.7–7.4% 5.5–7.6% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.6–2.1%
Borgerlisten 0.8% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 51–56 50–56 49–57 47–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 24–26 23–26 22–27 20–29
Venstre 43 24 22–27 22–27 21–27 20–27
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 14–17 14–18 13–18 12–19
Radikale Venstre 16 12 11–14 11–15 11–16 11–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 11–14 11–15 11–15 10–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 10–15
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 11 11–12 10–12 10–13 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–6 5–7 4–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Borgerlisten 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.9%  
48 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
49 4% 99.0%  
50 2% 95%  
51 8% 93%  
52 38% 85% Median
53 1.0% 47%  
54 32% 46%  
55 2% 15%  
56 10% 13%  
57 0.7% 3%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0.4% 0.4%  
60 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.8% 100%  
21 2% 99.2%  
22 0.9% 98%  
23 2% 97%  
24 6% 95%  
25 40% 88% Median
26 45% 48%  
27 2% 3%  
28 0.4% 1.0%  
29 0.3% 0.6%  
30 0% 0.3%  
31 0.3% 0.3%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.6%  
21 3% 98.9%  
22 40% 96%  
23 3% 56%  
24 3% 53% Median
25 11% 49%  
26 2% 38%  
27 36% 36%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.0%  
14 38% 97%  
15 34% 59% Median
16 13% 25%  
17 2% 11%  
18 8% 9%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 43% 99.6%  
12 10% 57% Median
13 32% 47%  
14 5% 14%  
15 6% 9%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.9% 1.1%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 51% 99.2% Median
12 2% 48%  
13 4% 46%  
14 36% 42%  
15 4% 6%  
16 2% 2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 8% 99.9%  
11 35% 92%  
12 11% 57% Median
13 38% 46%  
14 7% 8% Last Result
15 1.0% 1.1%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.9% 100%  
10 4% 99.0%  
11 47% 95% Median
12 44% 48%  
13 2% 4% Last Result
14 0.5% 1.4%  
15 0.9% 0.9%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100%  
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0% 98.7%  
4 3% 98.7% Last Result
5 70% 96% Median
6 16% 26%  
7 9% 10%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 47% 87% Median
5 39% 40%  
6 1.1% 1.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Borgerlisten

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 96 88 17% 88–91 86–93 86–94 85–96
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 91 88 17% 88–91 86–93 86–94 85–96
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 87 0.8% 84–87 82–89 81–89 79–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 83 0.1% 81–85 79–85 79–85 77–88
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 77 0% 76–80 75–82 75–83 74–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 77 0% 75–77 74–80 74–81 72–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 77 0% 75–77 74–80 74–81 72–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 71 0% 69–73 66–73 65–73 62–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 63–67 63–70 63–72 61–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 66–69 64–69 62–69 61–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 52–58 51–58 49–58 47–59
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 49 0% 47–53 46–53 44–53 42–53
Venstre 43 24 0% 22–27 22–27 21–27 20–27

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.3% 99.9%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 7% 99.2%  
87 2% 92% Median
88 42% 90%  
89 32% 48%  
90 5% 17% Majority
91 3% 12%  
92 2% 9%  
93 3% 6%  
94 1.5% 4%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 2% 2% Last Result
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.3% 99.9%  
85 0.4% 99.6%  
86 7% 99.1%  
87 2% 92% Median
88 42% 90%  
89 32% 48%  
90 5% 17% Majority
91 3% 12% Last Result
92 2% 9%  
93 3% 6%  
94 1.4% 4%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 2% 2%  
97 0% 0.3%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.7%  
79 2% 99.7% Last Result
80 0.5% 98%  
81 1.5% 98%  
82 3% 96%  
83 2% 94%  
84 3% 91% Median
85 5% 88%  
86 32% 83%  
87 42% 52%  
88 2% 10%  
89 7% 8%  
90 0.4% 0.8% Majority
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.6% 99.6%  
78 0.6% 99.0%  
79 4% 98% Last Result
80 2% 95% Median
81 32% 93%  
82 10% 60%  
83 36% 50%  
84 1.4% 15%  
85 11% 13%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.3% 2%  
88 1.0% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.6%  
75 7% 98.9%  
76 37% 92% Median
77 7% 55%  
78 36% 47% Last Result
79 1.5% 12%  
80 3% 10%  
81 2% 8%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.5% 4%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.2% 99.1%  
74 8% 98.9%  
75 6% 91% Median
76 32% 85%  
77 45% 53%  
78 2% 8%  
79 0.8% 6%  
80 2% 6% Last Result
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 1.5%  
83 0.8% 0.9%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.3% 99.1%  
74 8% 98.8%  
75 6% 91% Last Result, Median
76 32% 85%  
77 45% 53%  
78 2% 8%  
79 0.9% 6%  
80 2% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.6% 1.4%  
83 0.7% 0.8%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 1.3% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 98.6%  
64 0.5% 98%  
65 1.5% 98%  
66 1.5% 96%  
67 2% 95%  
68 3% 93%  
69 5% 90% Median
70 2% 85%  
71 45% 84%  
72 1.3% 39%  
73 37% 38%  
74 0.6% 1.2%  
75 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
76 0% 0.4%  
77 0.3% 0.4%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 1.0% 99.5%  
63 43% 98.5%  
64 6% 56% Last Result, Median
65 1.0% 49%  
66 2% 48%  
67 37% 46%  
68 3% 10%  
69 0.7% 7%  
70 2% 6%  
71 1.3% 4%  
72 1.2% 3%  
73 1.4% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 2% 99.8%  
62 2% 98%  
63 0.8% 97%  
64 1.2% 96%  
65 2% 95% Median
66 38% 93%  
67 11% 55%  
68 3% 45%  
69 40% 42%  
70 0.2% 2%  
71 0.4% 2%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 1.0% 1.1%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 1.4% 100%  
48 0% 98.6%  
49 1.0% 98.5%  
50 2% 97%  
51 2% 96%  
52 30% 94%  
53 3% 64%  
54 3% 60% Median
55 12% 57%  
56 8% 45%  
57 1.5% 37%  
58 35% 36%  
59 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 1.4% 100%  
43 1.0% 98.6%  
44 0.6% 98%  
45 1.1% 97%  
46 2% 96%  
47 33% 94%  
48 8% 61%  
49 5% 53% Median
50 10% 48%  
51 0.5% 38%  
52 1.0% 37%  
53 36% 36%  
54 0% 0.3%  
55 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.6%  
21 3% 98.9%  
22 40% 96%  
23 3% 56%  
24 3% 53% Median
25 11% 49%  
26 2% 38%  
27 36% 36%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations