Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 25–31 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.2% 30.4–34.1% 29.9–34.7% 29.4–35.1% 28.5–36.0%
Venstre 23.4% 12.5% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.7% 10.1–15.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.1% 10.8–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.3% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.4–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.6% 0.9–3.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 57–65 54–65 53–65 51–65
Venstre 43 22 20–23 20–24 19–26 19–28
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 23 21–24 20–25 19–26 18–27
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–16 13–17 13–18 11–20
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 14–16 13–16 13–17 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–15 12–15 11–16 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–13 9–14 9–15 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–11 9–12 8–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–6 4–7 4–7 0–8
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 2% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 98%  
53 0.9% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 3% 95%  
56 1.0% 92%  
57 4% 91%  
58 38% 87% Median
59 4% 49%  
60 4% 45%  
61 21% 40%  
62 3% 19%  
63 0.3% 17%  
64 2% 16%  
65 14% 14%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 3% 99.9%  
20 35% 97%  
21 8% 62%  
22 43% 55% Median
23 4% 12%  
24 3% 7%  
25 0.7% 5%  
26 3% 4%  
27 0.2% 1.2%  
28 0.8% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.9%  
19 3% 99.3%  
20 3% 97%  
21 7% 94%  
22 26% 87%  
23 33% 61% Median
24 23% 28%  
25 2% 5%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.9% 1.1%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 20% 98% Last Result
14 25% 78%  
15 10% 53% Median
16 34% 43%  
17 6% 9%  
18 1.3% 4%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.8%  
12 1.3% 99.0%  
13 6% 98%  
14 4% 92%  
15 53% 88% Median
16 31% 34%  
17 2% 4%  
18 0.2% 1.2%  
19 0.9% 1.0%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.4%  
12 9% 96%  
13 23% 87%  
14 54% 65% Last Result, Median
15 7% 11%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.2% 0.8%  
18 0.5% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 9% 99.7%  
10 50% 91% Median
11 7% 41%  
12 23% 34%  
13 5% 11%  
14 3% 6%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 3% 98%  
9 11% 95%  
10 37% 85% Median
11 43% 48%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.4% 1.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 0% 99.1%  
2 0% 99.1%  
3 0% 99.1%  
4 4% 99.1% Last Result
5 48% 95% Median
6 40% 47%  
7 6% 7%  
8 0.5% 0.7%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 4% 8%  
5 3% 3% Last Result
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 8% 9%  
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 5% 6%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 99 99.9% 95–102 94–102 94–102 92–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 99 99.8% 95–102 93–102 93–102 90–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 26% 85–92 84–92 84–93 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 24% 84–92 83–92 83–93 80–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 83 0.3% 80–88 78–88 76–88 75–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 73–78 73–81 73–81 70–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 73–78 73–80 72–81 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 67–75 65–75 62–75 61–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 60 0% 58–64 58–66 57–67 55–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 60 0% 58–64 57–65 56–66 55–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 48–51 47–53 46–54 45–55
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 44 0% 42–46 42–47 41–49 40–50
Venstre 43 22 0% 20–23 20–24 19–26 19–28

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.9% Majority
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 1.0% 99.4%  
94 4% 98%  
95 6% 95%  
96 2% 88% Last Result
97 3% 86% Median
98 29% 84%  
99 30% 55%  
100 3% 25%  
101 2% 22%  
102 18% 20%  
103 0.5% 2%  
104 0.6% 1.1%  
105 0.4% 0.6%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 99.8% Majority
91 0.3% 99.4% Last Result
92 1.1% 99.0%  
93 3% 98%  
94 4% 95%  
95 6% 90%  
96 1.5% 84%  
97 4% 83% Median
98 26% 79%  
99 30% 52%  
100 3% 22%  
101 1.4% 19%  
102 17% 18%  
103 0.2% 1.0%  
104 0.5% 0.7%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 0.5% 99.5%  
83 1.3% 98.9%  
84 5% 98%  
85 3% 92%  
86 2% 89%  
87 11% 87% Median
88 47% 76%  
89 3% 29%  
90 3% 26% Majority
91 4% 23%  
92 15% 19%  
93 2% 4%  
94 0.7% 1.3%  
95 0.4% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.8% 99.4%  
82 0.7% 98.6%  
83 4% 98%  
84 7% 94%  
85 3% 87%  
86 2% 84%  
87 11% 82% Median
88 45% 71%  
89 2% 26%  
90 3% 24% Majority
91 4% 21%  
92 15% 18%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.5% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.7%  
76 3% 99.2%  
77 0.6% 96%  
78 2% 96% Last Result
79 1.0% 93%  
80 3% 92%  
81 11% 89%  
82 2% 79% Median
83 34% 76%  
84 4% 43%  
85 18% 39%  
86 5% 20%  
87 0.3% 15%  
88 14% 15%  
89 0.5% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.3% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.8%  
71 0.6% 99.4%  
72 0.7% 98.8%  
73 18% 98%  
74 2% 80%  
75 3% 78% Median
76 35% 74%  
77 28% 40%  
78 3% 11%  
79 2% 9% Last Result
80 1.4% 7%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.9% 1.5%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.4% 99.7%  
70 0.4% 99.3%  
71 0.9% 98.9%  
72 2% 98%  
73 24% 96%  
74 2% 73%  
75 3% 71% Median
76 34% 68%  
77 23% 33%  
78 3% 10%  
79 2% 7% Last Result
80 1.2% 6%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.8% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.4% 100%  
61 2% 99.5%  
62 0.3% 98%  
63 0.5% 97%  
64 0.9% 97% Last Result
65 3% 96%  
66 2% 93%  
67 3% 91%  
68 7% 88% Median
69 39% 81%  
70 4% 43%  
71 19% 38%  
72 0.5% 19%  
73 4% 19%  
74 0.7% 15%  
75 14% 14%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.7% 99.7%  
56 1.3% 99.0%  
57 2% 98%  
58 15% 96%  
59 2% 81%  
60 32% 79% Median
61 7% 48%  
62 25% 40%  
63 3% 15%  
64 5% 12%  
65 2% 8%  
66 3% 6%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.2% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.4% 99.9%  
55 0.7% 99.6%  
56 1.4% 98.8%  
57 3% 97%  
58 20% 95%  
59 2% 75%  
60 32% 73% Median
61 7% 41%  
62 20% 34%  
63 3% 13%  
64 5% 11%  
65 2% 6%  
66 2% 5%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.8% 99.6%  
46 2% 98.8%  
47 3% 97%  
48 19% 94%  
49 11% 75%  
50 47% 64% Median
51 9% 17%  
52 2% 8%  
53 1.3% 6%  
54 4% 4%  
55 0.4% 0.8%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.3% 99.8%  
40 2% 99.5%  
41 3% 98%  
42 18% 95%  
43 5% 77%  
44 26% 72%  
45 32% 46% Median
46 7% 14%  
47 3% 7%  
48 1.2% 5%  
49 3% 3%  
50 0.2% 0.6%  
51 0.1% 0.4%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 3% 99.9%  
20 35% 97%  
21 8% 62%  
22 43% 55% Median
23 4% 12%  
24 3% 7%  
25 0.7% 5%  
26 3% 4%  
27 0.2% 1.2%  
28 0.8% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations