Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 1–6 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.1% 31.2–35.0% 30.7–35.5% 30.3–36.0% 29.4–36.9%
Venstre 23.4% 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.9–15.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.1–14.0% 9.5–14.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.2–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 57–63 56–63 55–66 53–67
Venstre 43 23 20–24 19–25 18–26 18–27
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 21 20–24 20–24 19–25 18–27
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 12–17 12–17 12–17 11–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 13–17 12–17 11–17 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 12–16 11–17 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 8–15
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 0.3% 99.2%  
55 1.5% 98.9%  
56 6% 97%  
57 8% 91%  
58 31% 83%  
59 10% 52% Median
60 9% 42%  
61 6% 32%  
62 14% 26%  
63 9% 13%  
64 0.7% 4%  
65 0.5% 3%  
66 1.0% 3%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 5% 99.9%  
19 4% 95%  
20 5% 92%  
21 24% 87%  
22 8% 64%  
23 35% 55% Median
24 12% 20%  
25 4% 8%  
26 3% 4%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.4% 100%  
18 0.5% 99.6%  
19 4% 99.1%  
20 16% 96%  
21 38% 80% Median
22 22% 42%  
23 5% 20%  
24 13% 16%  
25 0.6% 3%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 8% 98%  
13 18% 90% Last Result
14 12% 72%  
15 9% 60%  
16 14% 51% Median
17 36% 37%  
18 0.7% 1.1%  
19 0.1% 0.4%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 3% 99.9%  
12 5% 97%  
13 7% 91%  
14 21% 84%  
15 20% 63% Median
16 33% 43%  
17 9% 10%  
18 0.7% 2%  
19 0.8% 0.9%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.4% 100%  
11 4% 99.6%  
12 12% 96%  
13 45% 84% Median
14 13% 38% Last Result
15 16% 26%  
16 6% 10%  
17 1.0% 3%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.6%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.3% 100%  
9 2% 99.7%  
10 31% 98%  
11 14% 66%  
12 29% 52% Median
13 14% 23%  
14 8% 9%  
15 1.0% 1.3%  
16 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 3% 99.9%  
9 12% 97%  
10 20% 86%  
11 32% 66% Median
12 12% 34%  
13 17% 22%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 22% 93% Last Result
5 15% 71%  
6 43% 56% Median
7 11% 13%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0.1% 5%  
4 4% 5%  
5 0.9% 1.0%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 99 100% 96–104 95–105 94–106 93–107
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 99 100% 96–104 95–105 94–106 93–107
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 38% 84–91 83–92 83–95 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 36% 84–91 83–92 83–95 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 84 7% 81–89 81–90 81–92 78–92
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 71–79 70–80 69–81 68–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 71–79 69–79 69–81 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 70 0% 68–75 68–76 66–77 65–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 56–63 54–65 54–65 53–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 56–63 54–64 54–65 53–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 45–52 44–53 44–54 43–56
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 44 0% 41–47 40–48 40–49 37–50
Venstre 43 23 0% 20–24 19–25 18–26 18–27

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.2% 99.9%  
93 0.8% 99.7%  
94 3% 98.9%  
95 1.3% 96%  
96 6% 95% Last Result
97 4% 88%  
98 28% 85%  
99 14% 57%  
100 5% 42% Median
101 5% 38%  
102 12% 33%  
103 8% 20%  
104 5% 12%  
105 2% 7%  
106 4% 5%  
107 0.7% 0.8%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100% Last Result
92 0.3% 99.8%  
93 0.8% 99.6%  
94 3% 98.8%  
95 1.3% 96%  
96 6% 95%  
97 4% 88%  
98 28% 84%  
99 17% 56%  
100 5% 40% Median
101 5% 35%  
102 12% 30%  
103 6% 18%  
104 5% 12%  
105 2% 7%  
106 4% 5%  
107 0.7% 0.8%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.5% 99.8%  
82 0.3% 99.2%  
83 4% 99.0%  
84 5% 95%  
85 6% 89%  
86 11% 83%  
87 2% 72%  
88 26% 70% Median
89 6% 44%  
90 17% 38% Majority
91 13% 21%  
92 5% 8%  
93 0.3% 3%  
94 0.2% 3%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.6% 99.7%  
82 0.3% 99.2%  
83 4% 98.9%  
84 6% 95%  
85 6% 89%  
86 11% 83%  
87 5% 72%  
88 25% 67% Median
89 6% 42%  
90 17% 36% Majority
91 11% 19%  
92 5% 8%  
93 0.3% 3%  
94 0.2% 3%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
79 0.7% 99.3%  
80 1.1% 98.6%  
81 30% 98%  
82 0.7% 68%  
83 13% 67%  
84 7% 54% Median
85 3% 47%  
86 13% 44%  
87 8% 31%  
88 11% 23%  
89 5% 12%  
90 4% 7% Majority
91 0.2% 3%  
92 3% 3%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 99.8%  
69 4% 99.2%  
70 2% 95%  
71 5% 93%  
72 8% 88%  
73 12% 80%  
74 5% 67%  
75 5% 62%  
76 14% 58% Median
77 28% 43%  
78 4% 15%  
79 6% 12% Last Result
80 1.3% 5%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.8% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.9%  
68 0.7% 99.3%  
69 4% 98.6%  
70 2% 94%  
71 5% 92%  
72 8% 87%  
73 12% 79%  
74 7% 66%  
75 4% 60%  
76 15% 55% Median
77 28% 40%  
78 2% 12%  
79 6% 11% Last Result
80 0.9% 4%  
81 3% 3%  
82 0.7% 0.9%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
65 0.4% 99.6%  
66 2% 99.2%  
67 2% 97%  
68 32% 95%  
69 3% 63%  
70 12% 60%  
71 6% 48% Median
72 11% 43%  
73 5% 32%  
74 8% 27%  
75 12% 19%  
76 4% 7%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.3% 2%  
79 1.1% 1.3%  
80 0% 0.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.5% 99.9%  
54 7% 99.4%  
55 0.6% 93%  
56 3% 92%  
57 1.0% 89%  
58 14% 88%  
59 5% 74%  
60 3% 69%  
61 37% 66% Median
62 15% 29%  
63 5% 14%  
64 4% 9%  
65 4% 6%  
66 1.3% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.7%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 7% 99.2%  
55 1.1% 92%  
56 3% 91%  
57 1.1% 88%  
58 16% 87%  
59 5% 71%  
60 3% 66%  
61 37% 63% Median
62 13% 26%  
63 5% 13%  
64 3% 8%  
65 4% 5%  
66 0.9% 1.3%  
67 0.1% 0.4%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.9%  
43 1.2% 99.6%  
44 8% 98%  
45 13% 91%  
46 2% 78%  
47 2% 76%  
48 6% 74%  
49 5% 67%  
50 35% 62% Median
51 8% 27%  
52 12% 19%  
53 4% 7%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.4% 0.9%  
56 0.3% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.6% 100%  
38 0.3% 99.4%  
39 1.4% 99.1%  
40 7% 98%  
41 10% 91%  
42 7% 81%  
43 9% 75%  
44 35% 66% Median
45 13% 31%  
46 5% 18%  
47 5% 13%  
48 4% 8%  
49 3% 4%  
50 0.8% 1.1%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 5% 99.9%  
19 4% 95%  
20 5% 92%  
21 24% 87%  
22 8% 64%  
23 35% 55% Median
24 12% 20%  
25 4% 8%  
26 3% 4%  
27 2% 2%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations