Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 5–8 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 35.1% 33.4–36.9% 32.9–37.4% 32.5–37.8% 31.7–38.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.0% 13.7–16.3% 13.4–16.7% 13.1–17.1% 12.5–17.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 10.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.1–12.5% 8.6–13.1%
Venstre 23.4% 9.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.7% 7.8–11.0% 7.3–11.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.9% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.3% 6.6–9.6% 6.1–10.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.3% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6% 6.0–8.9% 5.6–9.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.0% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.5% 5.3–9.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.6% 2.3–5.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 63 60–65 59–65 58–65 56–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 25–29 23–30 23–32 22–33
Nye Borgerlige 4 21 19–21 17–21 16–22 16–23
Venstre 43 17 16–18 15–19 15–19 14–21
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 12–15 12–16 12–17 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 11–14 11–15 10–16 10–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–13 11–14 10–14 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 7 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–10
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.5% 99.9%  
57 0.9% 99.4%  
58 1.4% 98.5%  
59 3% 97%  
60 17% 94%  
61 0.9% 76%  
62 5% 76%  
63 38% 71% Median
64 20% 33%  
65 11% 13%  
66 1.1% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 1.0% 100%  
23 5% 99.0%  
24 0.5% 94%  
25 39% 93%  
26 20% 55% Median
27 5% 35%  
28 3% 29%  
29 20% 27%  
30 3% 7%  
31 0.4% 4%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.7% 0.7%  
34 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.4% 100%  
16 2% 99.5%  
17 3% 97%  
18 3% 94%  
19 9% 91%  
20 25% 81%  
21 53% 56% Median
22 3% 3%  
23 0.6% 0.9%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 1.5% 99.9%  
15 5% 98%  
16 12% 93%  
17 60% 81% Median
18 16% 22%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.0% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 37% 99.7%  
13 4% 62%  
14 33% 58% Median
15 19% 25%  
16 2% 6% Last Result
17 3% 4%  
18 0.4% 1.1%  
19 0.7% 0.7%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 4% 99.7%  
11 21% 95%  
12 5% 74%  
13 54% 69% Last Result, Median
14 8% 15%  
15 3% 7%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.8% 0.9%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 4% 99.9%  
11 38% 96%  
12 9% 58% Median
13 40% 49%  
14 7% 9% Last Result
15 1.0% 2%  
16 0.8% 0.9%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 24% 99.2%  
6 6% 76%  
7 21% 70% Median
8 46% 49%  
9 0.7% 2%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 31% 71% Last Result, Median
5 39% 41%  
6 1.2% 1.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0% 1.3%  
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 97% 91–98 90–100 88–100 87–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 95 97% 91–98 90–100 88–100 87–101
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 14% 85–92 84–92 83–92 82–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 14% 85–92 84–92 83–92 82–95
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 77–84 75–85 75–87 74–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 77–84 75–85 75–87 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 0.1% 78–84 76–86 75–86 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 71 0% 65–71 65–73 64–74 62–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 59 0% 58–65 56–66 56–68 55–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 58–64 56–66 56–68 55–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 47 0% 44–50 42–52 42–53 39–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 42 0% 42–46 40–48 40–48 39–50
Venstre 43 17 0% 16–18 15–19 15–19 14–21

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 2% 100%  
88 0.6% 98%  
89 0.7% 97%  
90 2% 97% Majority
91 18% 94%  
92 3% 76%  
93 1.0% 74%  
94 2% 73%  
95 54% 71% Median
96 2% 17% Last Result
97 5% 15%  
98 3% 10%  
99 0.8% 8%  
100 6% 7%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.2% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 2% 100%  
88 0.6% 98%  
89 0.7% 97%  
90 2% 97% Majority
91 18% 94% Last Result
92 3% 76%  
93 1.0% 74%  
94 2% 73%  
95 54% 71% Median
96 2% 17%  
97 5% 15%  
98 3% 10%  
99 0.8% 8%  
100 6% 7%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.2% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9% Last Result
81 0% 99.9%  
82 2% 99.9%  
83 2% 98%  
84 6% 96%  
85 1.5% 91%  
86 16% 89%  
87 38% 74%  
88 21% 36% Median
89 1.5% 15%  
90 1.4% 14% Majority
91 0.3% 12%  
92 10% 12%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.9% 1.5%  
95 0.2% 0.6%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 2% 99.9%  
83 2% 98%  
84 6% 96%  
85 1.5% 91%  
86 16% 89%  
87 38% 74%  
88 21% 36% Median
89 1.5% 15%  
90 1.4% 14% Majority
91 0.3% 12%  
92 10% 12%  
93 0.3% 2%  
94 0.9% 1.5%  
95 0.2% 0.6%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 6% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 93%  
77 3% 92%  
78 5% 90%  
79 2% 85% Last Result
80 54% 83%  
81 2% 29%  
82 1.0% 27% Median
83 3% 26%  
84 18% 24%  
85 2% 6%  
86 0.7% 3%  
87 0.6% 3%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 6% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 93%  
77 3% 92%  
78 5% 90%  
79 2% 85% Last Result
80 55% 83%  
81 2% 28%  
82 1.0% 26% Median
83 2% 25%  
84 17% 23%  
85 2% 5%  
86 0.7% 3%  
87 0.6% 3%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 3% 99.9%  
76 3% 97%  
77 0.4% 94%  
78 14% 94% Last Result
79 1.0% 80%  
80 3% 79%  
81 5% 76%  
82 37% 71% Median
83 3% 34%  
84 23% 31%  
85 0.7% 8%  
86 7% 8%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.6%  
63 0.1% 99.4%  
64 3% 99.2% Last Result
65 16% 96%  
66 4% 81%  
67 0.8% 77%  
68 2% 76%  
69 3% 74%  
70 6% 71% Median
71 55% 64%  
72 0.5% 9%  
73 6% 9%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.1% 0.4%  
76 0% 0.3%  
77 0.2% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.4% 100%  
55 0.9% 99.6%  
56 6% 98.7%  
57 0.8% 93%  
58 6% 92%  
59 37% 86%  
60 20% 49%  
61 1.2% 30% Median
62 2% 28%  
63 15% 26%  
64 1.2% 11%  
65 4% 10%  
66 2% 6%  
67 0.5% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 1.1% 1.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.4% 99.9%  
55 0.9% 99.6%  
56 6% 98.7%  
57 0.8% 93%  
58 6% 92%  
59 37% 86%  
60 20% 49%  
61 2% 29% Median
62 2% 27%  
63 15% 25%  
64 0.9% 10%  
65 3% 9%  
66 2% 6%  
67 0.5% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 1.1% 1.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 1.0% 100%  
40 0.5% 98.9%  
41 0.7% 98%  
42 6% 98%  
43 0.7% 92%  
44 6% 91%  
45 0.6% 85%  
46 21% 85%  
47 39% 63% Median
48 13% 24%  
49 1.1% 11%  
50 3% 10%  
51 2% 7%  
52 2% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 1.3% 1.4%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 1.1% 99.9%  
40 6% 98.8%  
41 1.1% 93%  
42 45% 92%  
43 3% 47% Median
44 14% 44%  
45 2% 30%  
46 21% 28%  
47 2% 7%  
48 4% 5%  
49 0.5% 2%  
50 1.1% 1.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 1.5% 99.9%  
15 5% 98%  
16 12% 93%  
17 60% 81% Median
18 16% 22%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.0% 2%  
21 0.5% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations