Opinion Poll by Electica for Alliancen, 1–14 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.6% 31.6–33.5% 31.4–33.8% 31.2–34.0% 30.7–34.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.6% 11.9–13.3% 11.8–13.5% 11.6–13.6% 11.3–14.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 11.0% 10.4–11.6% 10.2–11.8% 10.1–12.0% 9.8–12.3%
Venstre 23.4% 9.8% 9.2–10.4% 9.1–10.6% 8.9–10.7% 8.6–11.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 7.2–8.2% 7.0–8.4% 6.9–8.6% 6.7–8.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.6% 7.1–8.2% 6.9–8.3% 6.8–8.4% 6.6–8.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.2% 6.7–7.7% 6.6–7.9% 6.4–8.0% 6.2–8.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.0% 3.6–4.4% 3.5–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.5–3.2% 2.4–3.3% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.2–1.7% 1.1–1.8% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–2.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.8–1.2% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.1% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.2% 0.6–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 59–61 58–61 57–61 57–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 24 21–24 21–24 21–25 21–26
Nye Borgerlige 4 20 19–21 19–21 18–22 18–22
Venstre 43 18 17–19 17–19 17–19 16–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–15 13–15 13–15 12–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 14 13–15 13–15 13–15 12–16
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 12–15
Radikale Venstre 16 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 100%  
57 4% 99.9%  
58 3% 96%  
59 12% 93%  
60 50% 81% Median
61 29% 31%  
62 1.1% 2%  
63 1.0% 1.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 14% 100%  
22 7% 86%  
23 10% 78%  
24 65% 69% Median
25 3% 4%  
26 0.6% 0.6%  
27 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 4% 100%  
19 17% 96%  
20 55% 78% Median
21 21% 23%  
22 3% 3%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 2% 99.9%  
17 20% 98%  
18 57% 78% Median
19 19% 21%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 4% 98% Last Result
14 31% 94%  
15 61% 63% Median
16 2% 2%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 1.0% 100%  
13 23% 98.9%  
14 56% 76% Median
15 19% 20%  
16 1.3% 1.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 15% 99.7%  
13 69% 85% Median
14 13% 15% Last Result
15 2% 3%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 46% 100%  
7 35% 54% Median
8 18% 19%  
9 0.4% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 3% 100% Last Result
5 67% 97% Median
6 31% 31%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 100% 93–96 93–96 92–97 91–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 94 100% 93–96 93–96 92–97 91–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 3% 86–89 85–89 85–90 84–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 3% 86–89 85–89 85–90 84–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0% 79–82 79–82 78–83 77–84
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 79–82 79–82 78–83 77–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 79–81 79–82 78–83 78–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 66–68 65–68 65–69 65–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 58–62 58–62 58–63 57–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 58–62 58–62 58–63 57–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 47 0% 43–49 43–49 43–49 43–49
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 42 0% 38–43 38–43 38–43 38–44
Venstre 43 18 0% 17–19 17–19 17–19 16–20

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0.5% 99.9%  
92 3% 99.3%  
93 7% 96%  
94 61% 89%  
95 10% 28% Median
96 16% 19% Last Result
97 3% 3%  
98 0.5% 0.5%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
92 3% 99.3%  
93 7% 96%  
94 61% 89%  
95 10% 28% Median
96 16% 19%  
97 3% 3%  
98 0.5% 0.5%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.3% 100%  
84 0.9% 99.6%  
85 7% 98.7%  
86 7% 92%  
87 18% 85%  
88 50% 67% Median
89 14% 17%  
90 3% 3% Majority
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.3% 100%  
84 0.9% 99.6%  
85 7% 98.7%  
86 7% 92%  
87 18% 85%  
88 50% 67% Median
89 14% 17%  
90 3% 3% Majority
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 16% 96% Last Result
80 9% 81%  
81 61% 71% Median
82 7% 11%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.5% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.3% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.7%  
78 3% 99.2%  
79 16% 96% Last Result
80 9% 81%  
81 61% 71% Median
82 7% 11%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.5% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 2% 99.6% Last Result
79 53% 97%  
80 17% 45% Median
81 23% 28%  
82 3% 5%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.4% 0.4%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
65 7% 99.6%  
66 46% 93%  
67 14% 47% Median
68 30% 33%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.8% 1.1%  
71 0.3% 0.3%  
72 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 2% 99.8%  
58 14% 98%  
59 2% 85%  
60 9% 82%  
61 52% 73% Median
62 18% 21%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.3% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 2% 99.8%  
58 14% 98%  
59 2% 84%  
60 9% 82%  
61 52% 73% Median
62 18% 21%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.3% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 14% 99.9%  
44 2% 86%  
45 2% 85%  
46 6% 83%  
47 57% 76% Median
48 4% 19%  
49 15% 16%  
50 0.4% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 13% 100%  
39 2% 87%  
40 4% 85%  
41 15% 81%  
42 49% 66% Median
43 17% 18%  
44 0.7% 0.9%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 2% 99.9%  
17 20% 98%  
18 57% 78% Median
19 19% 21%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations