Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 8–15 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.9% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.3% 30.1–35.8% 29.2–36.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.8%
Venstre 23.4% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.3–13.6% 10.0–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 4.0–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 57 56–61 55–63 55–64 53–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 24 22–25 20–26 20–27 19–28
Venstre 43 21 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–25
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–18 13–18 12–19 12–20
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 12–18 12–18 11–18 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 12 11–14 11–14 10–15 10–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–14 11–14 10–14 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 8–13 8–13 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.7% 99.8%  
54 0.7% 99.0%  
55 4% 98%  
56 27% 94%  
57 21% 67% Median
58 4% 46%  
59 4% 42%  
60 26% 38%  
61 5% 12%  
62 1.0% 7%  
63 1.3% 6%  
64 4% 4%  
65 0.4% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.4% 99.8%  
20 5% 99.4%  
21 2% 94%  
22 10% 93%  
23 19% 83%  
24 30% 64% Median
25 26% 34%  
26 3% 7%  
27 4% 5%  
28 0.8% 1.0%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.1% 99.8%  
18 5% 98.7%  
19 24% 93%  
20 14% 69%  
21 28% 56% Median
22 5% 28%  
23 10% 23%  
24 6% 14%  
25 7% 7%  
26 0.3% 0.5%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 3% 100%  
13 3% 97% Last Result
14 20% 93%  
15 4% 74%  
16 27% 69% Median
17 30% 42%  
18 7% 12%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 3% 100%  
12 10% 97%  
13 4% 87%  
14 31% 82%  
15 10% 52% Median
16 17% 42%  
17 3% 25%  
18 20% 22%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 3% 99.9%  
11 9% 97%  
12 38% 88% Median
13 20% 49%  
14 26% 29% Last Result
15 2% 3%  
16 0.3% 0.6%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 2% 98%  
11 33% 96%  
12 34% 63% Median
13 18% 29%  
14 9% 11%  
15 1.0% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.1% 99.9%  
8 9% 98.8%  
9 10% 90%  
10 27% 80%  
11 13% 53% Median
12 15% 40%  
13 23% 25%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 0% 98.6%  
2 0% 98.6%  
3 0% 98.6%  
4 24% 98.6% Last Result
5 32% 74% Median
6 29% 42%  
7 11% 13%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0.4% 9%  
4 7% 8%  
5 1.4% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 99.0% 93–100 93–102 93–103 89–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 98 99.0% 93–100 93–102 93–103 89–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 85 14% 84–90 83–92 82–93 81–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 85 14% 84–90 83–92 82–93 81–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 0.1% 79–84 78–85 77–87 75–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 75–82 73–82 72–82 71–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 74–81 73–82 72–82 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 66–71 65–73 65–74 63–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 58–67 58–67 56–68 55–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 58–67 58–67 56–68 55–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 47–54 46–55 45–55 43–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 45 0% 42–49 41–49 39–49 38–50
Venstre 43 21 0% 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–25

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.9% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.0% Majority
91 0.3% 98.8%  
92 0.7% 98.6%  
93 8% 98%  
94 4% 90%  
95 8% 85%  
96 2% 78% Last Result, Median
97 14% 76%  
98 25% 61%  
99 20% 37%  
100 7% 16%  
101 1.2% 9%  
102 5% 8%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.8% 1.1%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.9% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.0% Majority
91 0.3% 98.8% Last Result
92 0.7% 98.6%  
93 8% 98%  
94 4% 90%  
95 8% 85%  
96 2% 78% Median
97 14% 76%  
98 25% 61%  
99 20% 37%  
100 7% 16%  
101 1.2% 9%  
102 5% 8%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.8% 1.1%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
81 1.4% 99.5%  
82 0.8% 98%  
83 5% 97%  
84 3% 93%  
85 44% 90% Median
86 3% 46%  
87 4% 43%  
88 7% 38%  
89 17% 31%  
90 4% 14% Majority
91 2% 9%  
92 3% 8%  
93 3% 4%  
94 0.8% 1.1%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 1.4% 99.5%  
82 0.8% 98%  
83 5% 97%  
84 3% 93%  
85 44% 90% Median
86 3% 46%  
87 4% 43%  
88 7% 38%  
89 17% 31%  
90 4% 14% Majority
91 2% 9%  
92 3% 8%  
93 3% 4%  
94 0.8% 1.1%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 1.0% 99.8%  
76 0.7% 98.8%  
77 0.8% 98%  
78 6% 97% Last Result
79 11% 92%  
80 4% 81% Median
81 27% 77%  
82 3% 50%  
83 37% 47%  
84 3% 10%  
85 4% 8%  
86 0.6% 4%  
87 3% 3%  
88 0.2% 0.5%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.8% 99.7%  
72 2% 98.9%  
73 5% 97%  
74 1.2% 92%  
75 7% 91%  
76 20% 84%  
77 25% 63% Median
78 14% 39%  
79 2% 24% Last Result
80 8% 22%  
81 4% 15%  
82 8% 10%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.3% 1.4%  
85 0.2% 1.2%  
86 0.9% 1.0%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.3% 99.8%  
71 0.9% 99.5%  
72 3% 98.6%  
73 5% 95%  
74 1.5% 90%  
75 7% 89%  
76 20% 82%  
77 28% 61% Median
78 14% 33%  
79 2% 18% Last Result
80 7% 17%  
81 1.2% 10%  
82 8% 9%  
83 0.5% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.6%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.8% 99.9%  
64 1.2% 99.0% Last Result
65 7% 98%  
66 5% 91%  
67 6% 86%  
68 7% 81% Median
69 40% 74%  
70 18% 34%  
71 8% 16%  
72 3% 9%  
73 2% 5%  
74 2% 4%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.6% 99.8%  
56 2% 99.3%  
57 0.5% 97%  
58 16% 97%  
59 1.4% 81%  
60 1.1% 79%  
61 10% 78%  
62 15% 68% Median
63 29% 53%  
64 7% 25%  
65 1.1% 18%  
66 5% 17%  
67 7% 12%  
68 3% 5%  
69 0.4% 2%  
70 1.1% 1.2%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.7% 99.8%  
56 2% 99.1%  
57 0.7% 97%  
58 17% 96%  
59 6% 79%  
60 2% 74%  
61 10% 71%  
62 15% 61% Median
63 24% 46%  
64 6% 22%  
65 1.2% 17%  
66 4% 15%  
67 7% 11%  
68 3% 4%  
69 0.4% 0.8%  
70 0.4% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.8% 99.7%  
44 0.2% 98.9%  
45 3% 98.7%  
46 2% 96%  
47 18% 94%  
48 8% 76%  
49 14% 68%  
50 5% 54% Median
51 27% 48%  
52 3% 22%  
53 6% 19%  
54 6% 13%  
55 7% 8%  
56 0.2% 0.7%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 2% 100%  
39 2% 98%  
40 1.1% 96%  
41 1.4% 95%  
42 6% 94%  
43 32% 88%  
44 2% 55%  
45 4% 53% Median
46 31% 49%  
47 4% 17%  
48 3% 13%  
49 9% 10%  
50 0.8% 1.1%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 1.1% 99.8%  
18 5% 98.7%  
19 24% 93%  
20 14% 69%  
21 28% 56% Median
22 5% 28%  
23 10% 23%  
24 6% 14%  
25 7% 7%  
26 0.3% 0.5%  
27 0.2% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations