Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 15–21 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.8–34.5% 29.3–35.0% 28.5–35.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.1% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.6–16.0%
Venstre 23.4% 12.7% 11.4–14.1% 11.1–14.5% 10.8–14.8% 10.2–15.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 55–63 54–63 54–63 52–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 23 21–26 21–26 21–27 19–28
Venstre 43 23 21–25 21–26 20–26 19–27
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–15 12–16 12–17 11–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 12–15 12–16 12–17 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 11–17 11–17 11–18 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–13 9–13 9–14 8–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.2% 99.6%  
53 0.7% 99.4%  
54 8% 98.7%  
55 3% 91%  
56 5% 88%  
57 20% 83%  
58 11% 63%  
59 13% 53% Median
60 0.8% 39%  
61 22% 39%  
62 1.1% 16%  
63 13% 15%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.4% 99.8%  
20 2% 99.4%  
21 17% 98%  
22 30% 81%  
23 21% 51% Median
24 6% 30%  
25 13% 24%  
26 6% 10%  
27 4% 4%  
28 0.5% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.7%  
20 2% 98%  
21 41% 96%  
22 4% 55%  
23 22% 52% Median
24 6% 30%  
25 16% 24%  
26 7% 8%  
27 0.5% 0.8%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 7% 98%  
13 13% 90%  
14 23% 78% Last Result
15 46% 55% Median
16 5% 9%  
17 2% 4%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.3% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.7%  
12 11% 99.0%  
13 21% 88%  
14 34% 67% Median
15 25% 32%  
16 4% 7%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.8% 2%  
19 0.6% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 14% 99.9%  
12 2% 86%  
13 20% 84% Last Result
14 7% 64%  
15 27% 58% Median
16 4% 31%  
17 23% 27%  
18 4% 4%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.0% 99.9%  
9 6% 98.8%  
10 21% 93%  
11 30% 72% Median
12 25% 42%  
13 14% 17%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.2% 1.4%  
16 0.7% 1.2% Last Result
17 0.4% 0.5%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.9%  
10 10% 97%  
11 41% 87% Median
12 16% 47%  
13 29% 31%  
14 0.5% 1.4%  
15 0.8% 0.9%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100%  
1 0% 60%  
2 0% 60%  
3 0% 60%  
4 38% 60% Last Result, Median
5 18% 22%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.5% 0.6%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0.1% 45%  
4 21% 45%  
5 23% 24%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 99.2% 94–105 93–105 92–105 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 98 99.2% 94–105 93–105 92–105 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 87 40% 83–93 81–93 80–93 79–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 87 40% 83–93 81–93 80–93 79–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 85 0.8% 79–89 79–89 78–89 75–91
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 70–81 70–82 70–83 69–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 70–78 70–82 69–82 66–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 71 0% 66–74 65–74 64–74 63–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 62 0% 56–68 56–68 56–68 56–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 56–63 55–66 55–68 53–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 48 0% 45–52 43–54 43–56 43–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 46 0% 42–48 42–50 42–51 39–52
Venstre 43 23 0% 21–25 21–26 20–26 19–27

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.9%  
89 0.4% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.2% Majority
91 1.2% 99.0%  
92 0.5% 98%  
93 4% 97%  
94 5% 93%  
95 2% 88%  
96 9% 86% Last Result
97 15% 77%  
98 16% 62%  
99 3% 46%  
100 1.1% 42% Median
101 9% 41%  
102 1.0% 32%  
103 0.7% 31%  
104 15% 31%  
105 15% 16%  
106 0.6% 0.8%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.9%  
89 0.4% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.2% Majority
91 1.2% 99.0% Last Result
92 0.5% 98%  
93 4% 97%  
94 5% 93%  
95 2% 88%  
96 9% 86%  
97 15% 77%  
98 16% 62%  
99 3% 46%  
100 1.1% 42% Median
101 9% 41%  
102 1.0% 32%  
103 0.7% 31%  
104 15% 31%  
105 15% 16%  
106 0.6% 0.8%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.9% 99.7%  
80 1.4% 98.9% Last Result
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 95%  
83 6% 93%  
84 2% 88%  
85 32% 86%  
86 4% 54%  
87 5% 51%  
88 3% 46%  
89 3% 44% Median
90 6% 40% Majority
91 3% 34%  
92 15% 31%  
93 15% 16%  
94 0.5% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.9% 99.7%  
80 1.4% 98.9%  
81 2% 97%  
82 2% 95%  
83 6% 93%  
84 2% 88%  
85 32% 86%  
86 4% 54%  
87 5% 51%  
88 3% 46%  
89 3% 44% Median
90 6% 40% Majority
91 3% 34%  
92 15% 31%  
93 15% 16%  
94 0.5% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.6% 99.8%  
76 0.8% 99.2%  
77 0.4% 98%  
78 2% 98% Last Result
79 7% 96%  
80 2% 89%  
81 9% 87%  
82 4% 78%  
83 1.1% 73%  
84 20% 72%  
85 4% 52% Median
86 2% 48%  
87 16% 46%  
88 15% 30%  
89 14% 15%  
90 0.1% 0.8% Majority
91 0.5% 0.7%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.8%  
70 15% 99.2%  
71 15% 84%  
72 0.7% 69%  
73 1.0% 69%  
74 9% 67%  
75 1.3% 59% Median
76 3% 57%  
77 16% 54%  
78 15% 38%  
79 9% 23% Last Result
80 2% 14%  
81 5% 12%  
82 4% 7%  
83 0.5% 3%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.1% 1.0%  
86 0.4% 0.8%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.5% 100%  
66 0% 99.5%  
67 0.3% 99.5%  
68 0.2% 99.2%  
69 4% 99.0%  
70 20% 95%  
71 16% 75%  
72 3% 59%  
73 18% 57%  
74 0.7% 39%  
75 8% 38% Median
76 7% 30%  
77 12% 24%  
78 3% 11%  
79 2% 8% Last Result
80 1.1% 6%  
81 0.2% 5%  
82 3% 5%  
83 0.6% 2%  
84 0.8% 1.4%  
85 0.2% 0.6%  
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.2% 99.8%  
63 2% 99.6%  
64 0.6% 98% Last Result
65 7% 97%  
66 4% 91%  
67 3% 86%  
68 7% 83%  
69 20% 76%  
70 4% 56% Median
71 4% 52%  
72 16% 48%  
73 1.1% 32%  
74 29% 31%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.8%  
54 0% 99.8%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 17% 99.7%  
57 0.9% 83%  
58 13% 82%  
59 6% 69%  
60 5% 63%  
61 2% 58% Median
62 17% 56%  
63 3% 40%  
64 14% 36%  
65 0.9% 22%  
66 4% 21%  
67 7% 17%  
68 8% 10%  
69 1.1% 2%  
70 0.4% 1.0%  
71 0.3% 0.5%  
72 0% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 0.3% 99.3%  
55 8% 99.0%  
56 18% 91%  
57 2% 73%  
58 17% 71%  
59 14% 54%  
60 3% 40%  
61 1.2% 37% Median
62 12% 36%  
63 14% 23%  
64 1.4% 9%  
65 0.6% 8%  
66 3% 7%  
67 0.7% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.6% 1.1%  
70 0.4% 0.5%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.7%  
43 6% 99.6%  
44 0.9% 94%  
45 19% 93%  
46 15% 74%  
47 1.3% 60%  
48 16% 58%  
49 5% 42%  
50 14% 38% Median
51 2% 24%  
52 13% 21%  
53 1.5% 9%  
54 3% 7%  
55 0.7% 4%  
56 3% 3%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.7% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.3%  
41 1.2% 98.9%  
42 14% 98%  
43 7% 84%  
44 7% 77%  
45 20% 71%  
46 14% 51% Median
47 9% 37%  
48 20% 28%  
49 2% 7%  
50 2% 6%  
51 3% 3%  
52 0.3% 0.7%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.7%  
20 2% 98%  
21 41% 96%  
22 4% 55%  
23 22% 52% Median
24 6% 30%  
25 16% 24%  
26 7% 8%  
27 0.5% 0.8%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations