Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 22–28 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.6% 30.8–34.5% 30.2–35.0% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.5% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.5%
Venstre 23.4% 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.9–14.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 56–62 55–63 54–64 52–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 21–29 20–29 20–29 20–30
Venstre 43 21 17–23 16–23 16–24 16–26
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 14–18 13–19 13–20 13–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–13 9–14 9–15 8–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 0.9% 99.6%  
53 1.0% 98.8%  
54 1.2% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 29% 94%  
57 6% 65%  
58 9% 59%  
59 10% 51% Median
60 11% 41%  
61 8% 29%  
62 14% 21%  
63 4% 7%  
64 0.9% 3%  
65 1.4% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.7%  
67 0.4% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.2% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.8%  
20 6% 99.8%  
21 7% 94%  
22 3% 87%  
23 11% 84%  
24 21% 73%  
25 13% 52% Median
26 7% 39%  
27 6% 32%  
28 1.5% 26%  
29 24% 24%  
30 0.6% 0.7%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 6% 99.9%  
17 5% 94%  
18 11% 89%  
19 5% 78%  
20 16% 73%  
21 15% 57% Median
22 15% 43%  
23 23% 28%  
24 4% 5%  
25 0.4% 1.0%  
26 0.2% 0.6%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.2% 99.8%  
13 6% 99.6%  
14 12% 93%  
15 27% 81%  
16 27% 54% Median
17 5% 27%  
18 14% 21%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.6% 1.0%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 2% 99.8%  
12 5% 98%  
13 14% 93% Last Result
14 11% 78%  
15 41% 67% Median
16 5% 26%  
17 17% 21%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.1% 1.3%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 4% 98%  
12 7% 95%  
13 28% 87%  
14 20% 59% Last Result, Median
15 15% 39%  
16 22% 24%  
17 1.1% 3%  
18 1.1% 1.4%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.4% 100%  
9 13% 98.6%  
10 14% 86%  
11 29% 72% Median
12 31% 44%  
13 6% 13%  
14 4% 7%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.4% 99.9%  
8 4% 98.5%  
9 14% 95%  
10 18% 81%  
11 19% 63% Median
12 36% 44%  
13 6% 8%  
14 1.4% 1.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100%  
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0.1% 50%  
4 16% 50% Last Result, Median
5 27% 35%  
6 6% 7%  
7 1.4% 1.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 26%  
2 0% 26%  
3 0% 26%  
4 19% 26%  
5 5% 6%  
6 0.9% 1.0%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.2% 0.3%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 99.3% 94–104 93–104 92–104 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 98 99.3% 94–104 93–104 92–104 89–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 35% 83–92 82–93 82–94 79–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 35% 83–92 82–93 81–94 79–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 83 2% 80–89 80–89 78–89 75–91
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 71–81 71–82 71–83 69–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 71–79 71–80 70–81 68–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 66–73 65–74 64–75 61–77
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 55–66 55–66 54–67 52–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 55–64 54–65 54–66 51–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 48 0% 44–52 43–53 43–55 40–55
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 46 0% 40–52 40–52 40–52 39–53
Venstre 43 21 0% 17–23 16–23 16–24 16–26

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.6% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.3% Majority
91 0.6% 99.1%  
92 2% 98%  
93 5% 97%  
94 3% 92%  
95 10% 90%  
96 22% 80% Last Result
97 5% 58%  
98 8% 53%  
99 2% 45% Median
100 7% 43%  
101 12% 36%  
102 0.9% 24%  
103 9% 23%  
104 11% 13%  
105 1.3% 2%  
106 0.6% 1.0%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100%  
89 0.7% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.3% Majority
91 0.6% 99.0% Last Result
92 2% 98%  
93 5% 97%  
94 3% 92%  
95 10% 90%  
96 22% 79%  
97 5% 58%  
98 8% 53%  
99 2% 45% Median
100 7% 43%  
101 12% 36%  
102 0.9% 24%  
103 9% 23%  
104 11% 13%  
105 1.3% 2%  
106 0.6% 1.0%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.8% 99.9%  
80 0.7% 99.1% Last Result
81 0.9% 98%  
82 3% 98%  
83 6% 95%  
84 22% 89%  
85 4% 67%  
86 6% 63%  
87 7% 57%  
88 4% 49% Median
89 10% 45%  
90 3% 35% Majority
91 12% 32%  
92 11% 20%  
93 6% 9%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.2% 2%  
96 2% 2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.8% 99.9%  
80 0.7% 99.1%  
81 0.9% 98%  
82 3% 97%  
83 6% 95%  
84 22% 89%  
85 4% 67%  
86 6% 63%  
87 8% 57%  
88 4% 49% Median
89 10% 45%  
90 3% 35% Majority
91 12% 32%  
92 11% 20%  
93 6% 9%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.2% 2%  
96 2% 2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.5%  
76 1.2% 99.4%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 1.0% 98% Last Result
79 1.3% 97%  
80 9% 95%  
81 23% 86%  
82 8% 63%  
83 7% 55%  
84 9% 49% Median
85 9% 39%  
86 13% 31%  
87 0.7% 18%  
88 4% 17%  
89 11% 13%  
90 1.3% 2% Majority
91 0.6% 1.0%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0.3% 0.3%  
94 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 1.3% 99.0%  
71 11% 98%  
72 9% 87%  
73 0.9% 77%  
74 12% 76%  
75 7% 64%  
76 2% 57%  
77 8% 55% Median
78 5% 47%  
79 22% 42% Last Result
80 10% 20%  
81 3% 10%  
82 5% 8%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.5% 1.4%  
85 0.2% 0.9%  
86 0.6% 0.7%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 1.0% 99.9%  
69 1.3% 98.9%  
70 3% 98%  
71 12% 95%  
72 10% 83%  
73 5% 73%  
74 13% 68%  
75 6% 55%  
76 10% 49%  
77 4% 39% Median
78 8% 35%  
79 21% 28% Last Result
80 4% 7%  
81 0.8% 3%  
82 1.0% 2%  
83 1.0% 1.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.2%  
63 0.7% 99.0%  
64 2% 98% Last Result
65 3% 97%  
66 10% 93%  
67 2% 83%  
68 22% 82%  
69 15% 60%  
70 9% 45% Median
71 6% 36%  
72 8% 30%  
73 17% 22%  
74 2% 5%  
75 1.4% 3%  
76 0.7% 1.4%  
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.3% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.7% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.3%  
54 2% 99.0%  
55 8% 97%  
56 12% 89%  
57 9% 77%  
58 5% 68%  
59 10% 63%  
60 2% 54%  
61 7% 51% Median
62 4% 45%  
63 3% 41%  
64 21% 38%  
65 3% 17%  
66 10% 14%  
67 3% 4%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.9% 99.9%  
52 0.9% 99.1%  
53 0.4% 98%  
54 3% 98%  
55 12% 94%  
56 12% 83%  
57 11% 71%  
58 6% 60%  
59 6% 54%  
60 5% 49%  
61 7% 44% Median
62 10% 37%  
63 3% 27%  
64 18% 24%  
65 2% 6%  
66 3% 3%  
67 0.8% 0.9%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.6% 100%  
41 0.6% 99.3%  
42 0.8% 98.7%  
43 3% 98%  
44 6% 95%  
45 10% 89%  
46 25% 79%  
47 2% 54%  
48 7% 52%  
49 5% 45%  
50 6% 40% Median
51 4% 33%  
52 22% 29%  
53 4% 7%  
54 0.4% 3%  
55 3% 3%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.2% 99.9%  
39 1.2% 99.8%  
40 9% 98.6%  
41 12% 90%  
42 2% 78%  
43 5% 76%  
44 9% 71%  
45 5% 62%  
46 20% 57% Median
47 6% 37%  
48 8% 31%  
49 4% 23%  
50 0.8% 19%  
51 0.3% 18%  
52 17% 18%  
53 0.5% 0.6%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 6% 99.9%  
17 5% 94%  
18 11% 89%  
19 5% 78%  
20 16% 73%  
21 15% 57% Median
22 15% 43%  
23 23% 28%  
24 4% 5%  
25 0.4% 1.0%  
26 0.2% 0.6%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations