Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 1–6 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.4% 30.6–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.3% 28.7–36.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
Venstre 23.4% 12.3% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.6–11.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 55–63 54–63 54–63 52–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 23–29 21–30 21–30 20–32
Venstre 43 23 21–24 19–25 19–25 17–27
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 13–17 13–19 13–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–16 13–17 12–19 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–17 12–18 11–18 11–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–11 9–12 8–12 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 9 7–11 7–11 7–12 6–13
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.8% 99.7%  
53 0.6% 98.9%  
54 5% 98%  
55 32% 93%  
56 9% 61%  
57 2% 52%  
58 2% 50% Median
59 5% 48%  
60 19% 43%  
61 2% 24%  
62 0.8% 22%  
63 20% 21%  
64 0.7% 1.3%  
65 0.4% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.5% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.5%  
21 6% 99.3%  
22 0.7% 93%  
23 22% 93%  
24 7% 71%  
25 15% 64% Median
26 33% 49%  
27 2% 16%  
28 3% 13%  
29 3% 10%  
30 5% 7%  
31 0.7% 1.4%  
32 0.6% 0.7%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.4% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.6%  
18 0.5% 99.0%  
19 5% 98.5%  
20 3% 94%  
21 18% 91%  
22 13% 73%  
23 32% 61% Median
24 22% 29%  
25 4% 6%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 1.3% 100%  
13 20% 98.7%  
14 34% 79% Median
15 17% 45%  
16 15% 28%  
17 4% 13%  
18 4% 9%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.0%  
13 1.0% 95% Last Result
14 7% 94%  
15 65% 87% Median
16 13% 23%  
17 5% 9%  
18 0.7% 4%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 3% 99.9%  
12 35% 96%  
13 23% 61% Median
14 6% 38% Last Result
15 15% 32%  
16 5% 17%  
17 5% 12%  
18 5% 6%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.9% 100%  
8 2% 99.0%  
9 8% 97%  
10 42% 89% Median
11 37% 47%  
12 8% 10%  
13 1.1% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 8% 98%  
8 5% 90%  
9 40% 85% Median
10 6% 45%  
11 34% 39%  
12 4% 4%  
13 0.5% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 33% 100% Last Result
1 0% 67%  
2 0% 67%  
3 0.3% 67%  
4 41% 66% Median
5 22% 25%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100%  
1 0% 61%  
2 0% 61%  
3 0% 61%  
4 47% 61% Last Result, Median
5 13% 14%  
6 1.1% 1.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 99.6% 93–100 92–102 92–102 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 97 99.6% 93–100 92–102 92–102 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 42% 82–91 82–93 82–93 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 42% 82–91 82–93 82–93 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.8% 78–85 76–85 76–87 75–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 75–82 73–83 73–83 70–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 70–78 70–79 70–80 68–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 65–72 63–72 62–72 59–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 59–68 56–68 56–68 54–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 57–64 56–64 55–66 53–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 46–53 46–54 45–56 41–57
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 47 0% 46–50 45–51 43–52 41–54
Venstre 43 23 0% 21–24 19–25 19–25 17–27

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 2% 99.6% Majority
91 0.4% 98%  
92 4% 98%  
93 32% 94%  
94 2% 62%  
95 4% 60% Median
96 2% 56% Last Result
97 9% 54%  
98 4% 46%  
99 11% 41%  
100 24% 31%  
101 0.9% 6%  
102 3% 5%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.4% 2%  
105 1.1% 1.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.8%  
90 2% 99.6% Majority
91 0.4% 98% Last Result
92 4% 98%  
93 32% 94%  
94 2% 61%  
95 4% 60% Median
96 2% 56%  
97 9% 54%  
98 4% 46%  
99 11% 41%  
100 24% 31%  
101 0.9% 6%  
102 3% 5%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.4% 2%  
105 1.1% 1.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8% Last Result
81 1.0% 99.7%  
82 33% 98.7%  
83 3% 66%  
84 2% 63%  
85 1.5% 61%  
86 2% 59% Median
87 3% 57%  
88 12% 55%  
89 1.1% 43%  
90 13% 42% Majority
91 20% 29%  
92 1.5% 9%  
93 5% 8%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.5%  
96 0.8% 0.9%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 1.0% 99.7%  
82 33% 98.7%  
83 3% 66%  
84 2% 63%  
85 1.5% 60%  
86 2% 59% Median
87 3% 57%  
88 12% 55%  
89 1.1% 43%  
90 13% 42% Majority
91 20% 29%  
92 2% 9%  
93 5% 8%  
94 0.8% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.5%  
96 0.8% 0.9%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 2% 99.7%  
76 3% 98%  
77 0.5% 95%  
78 32% 95% Last Result
79 2% 62%  
80 4% 60% Median
81 6% 55%  
82 3% 49%  
83 3% 47%  
84 19% 44%  
85 21% 25%  
86 1.2% 4%  
87 1.3% 3%  
88 0.2% 2%  
89 0.5% 1.3%  
90 0.7% 0.8% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 1.1% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 98.8%  
72 0.7% 98%  
73 3% 98%  
74 0.9% 95%  
75 24% 94%  
76 11% 69%  
77 4% 59%  
78 9% 54%  
79 2% 46% Last Result
80 4% 44% Median
81 2% 40%  
82 32% 38%  
83 4% 6%  
84 0.4% 2%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.3%  
70 20% 99.0%  
71 0.6% 79%  
72 0.8% 79%  
73 4% 78%  
74 6% 73%  
75 6% 67%  
76 12% 61% Median
77 6% 49%  
78 35% 44%  
79 4% 9% Last Result
80 2% 4%  
81 0.4% 2%  
82 0.2% 2%  
83 0.1% 2%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 1.5% 1.5%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.5% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.5%  
61 0.1% 99.3%  
62 2% 99.1%  
63 5% 97%  
64 1.3% 93% Last Result
65 7% 91%  
66 34% 84%  
67 6% 50% Median
68 3% 44%  
69 11% 40%  
70 5% 29%  
71 3% 24%  
72 19% 21%  
73 0.3% 2%  
74 1.0% 2%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.4% 100%  
54 0.7% 99.5%  
55 0.2% 98.8%  
56 4% 98.6%  
57 1.0% 94%  
58 3% 93%  
59 0.8% 90%  
60 3% 89%  
61 14% 87%  
62 27% 72%  
63 2% 45%  
64 2% 43%  
65 1.2% 41%  
66 2% 40% Median
67 6% 38%  
68 31% 32%  
69 0.4% 1.1%  
70 0.6% 0.7%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0% 99.7%  
53 0.7% 99.6%  
54 0.9% 98.9%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 5% 97%  
57 21% 92%  
58 8% 71%  
59 1.4% 64%  
60 3% 62%  
61 15% 60%  
62 5% 45% Median
63 4% 40%  
64 32% 36%  
65 0.6% 3%  
66 1.0% 3%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.5% 99.8%  
42 0.1% 99.3%  
43 0.9% 99.3%  
44 0.3% 98%  
45 2% 98%  
46 9% 96%  
47 20% 88%  
48 1.2% 68%  
49 4% 66%  
50 2% 62%  
51 18% 60%  
52 4% 42% Median
53 33% 38%  
54 1.4% 5%  
55 0.9% 4%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.5% 0.7%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 1.0% 99.7%  
42 0.5% 98.7%  
43 2% 98%  
44 0.9% 96%  
45 4% 96%  
46 19% 91%  
47 23% 72%  
48 4% 49% Median
49 34% 45%  
50 2% 11%  
51 5% 9%  
52 3% 4%  
53 0.3% 1.0%  
54 0.6% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.4% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.6%  
18 0.5% 99.0%  
19 5% 98.5%  
20 3% 94%  
21 18% 91%  
22 13% 73%  
23 32% 61% Median
24 22% 29%  
25 4% 6%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.5% 0.6%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations