Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–14 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.8% 30.9–34.7% 30.4–35.2% 29.9–35.7% 29.1–36.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.6–16.9% 12.0–17.7%
Venstre 23.4% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.3–14.3% 9.7–15.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.3% 5.7–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 56–62 55–63 53–64 52–66
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–28 23–29 22–30 21–31
Venstre 43 22 20–25 19–26 19–26 17–26
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 14–18 13–18 13–18 11–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–17 12–18 11–18 10–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 11–17 11–17 11–18 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 7 6–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.5% 99.8%  
53 2% 99.3%  
54 2% 97%  
55 2% 96%  
56 16% 93%  
57 15% 77%  
58 13% 62% Median
59 4% 49%  
60 20% 45%  
61 13% 25%  
62 3% 11%  
63 4% 8%  
64 2% 4%  
65 1.0% 2%  
66 1.0% 1.2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.5% 100%  
21 1.1% 99.5%  
22 2% 98%  
23 13% 96%  
24 6% 83%  
25 3% 77%  
26 32% 74% Median
27 14% 42%  
28 21% 28%  
29 3% 6%  
30 2% 3%  
31 1.3% 1.5%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 0.8% 98%  
19 7% 98%  
20 20% 91%  
21 7% 71%  
22 17% 64% Median
23 16% 48%  
24 20% 32%  
25 4% 12%  
26 7% 7%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.6% 100%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 5% 98%  
14 22% 93%  
15 26% 71% Median
16 18% 45%  
17 7% 27%  
18 18% 20%  
19 0.6% 2%  
20 0.8% 1.1%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 2% 98%  
12 34% 97%  
13 4% 63% Last Result
14 11% 59% Median
15 29% 48%  
16 8% 19%  
17 3% 11%  
18 6% 8%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.9%  
11 9% 98.7%  
12 8% 90%  
13 26% 81%  
14 13% 56% Last Result, Median
15 13% 42%  
16 9% 29%  
17 16% 20%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.3% 99.9%  
8 6% 98.6%  
9 20% 92%  
10 31% 72% Median
11 23% 41%  
12 12% 17%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 1.4% 100%  
6 14% 98.6%  
7 40% 84% Median
8 15% 45%  
9 20% 30%  
10 8% 9%  
11 0.8% 0.9%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 26% 71% Last Result, Median
5 36% 45%  
6 7% 9%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100% Last Result
1 0% 62%  
2 0% 62%  
3 0% 62%  
4 31% 62% Median
5 31% 31%  
6 0.4% 0.5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 99.3% 91–99 91–100 90–101 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 94 99.3% 91–99 91–100 90–101 89–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 19% 83–91 81–93 81–93 80–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 19% 83–91 81–93 81–93 80–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 1.0% 77–83 77–85 76–86 74–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0.1% 76–84 75–84 74–85 72–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 73–83 71–83 71–84 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 64–70 63–71 61–72 60–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 60–69 60–69 57–69 56–72
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 58–65 56–67 56–68 54–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–55 45–56 45–57 44–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 49 0% 44–51 43–52 43–53 40–54
Venstre 43 22 0% 20–25 19–26 19–26 17–26

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.5%  
90 3% 99.3% Majority
91 8% 97%  
92 25% 88%  
93 4% 64% Median
94 11% 59%  
95 2% 48%  
96 27% 46% Last Result
97 2% 19%  
98 5% 17%  
99 4% 12%  
100 5% 8%  
101 0.9% 3%  
102 1.3% 2%  
103 0.6% 1.1%  
104 0.3% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.2% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.5%  
90 3% 99.3% Majority
91 8% 97% Last Result
92 25% 88%  
93 4% 64% Median
94 11% 59%  
95 2% 48%  
96 27% 46%  
97 2% 19%  
98 5% 16%  
99 4% 12%  
100 5% 8%  
101 0.9% 3%  
102 1.3% 2%  
103 0.6% 1.1%  
104 0.3% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
81 7% 99.3%  
82 0.4% 93%  
83 3% 92%  
84 6% 89%  
85 24% 84%  
86 10% 60% Median
87 7% 50%  
88 6% 42%  
89 17% 36%  
90 6% 19% Majority
91 3% 13%  
92 4% 10%  
93 4% 6%  
94 1.0% 2%  
95 0.9% 1.2%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0.5% 99.8%  
81 7% 99.3%  
82 0.4% 93%  
83 3% 92%  
84 6% 89%  
85 24% 84%  
86 10% 60% Median
87 8% 50%  
88 6% 42%  
89 17% 36%  
90 6% 19% Majority
91 3% 13%  
92 3% 10%  
93 4% 6%  
94 1.0% 2%  
95 0.9% 1.2%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 1.0% 99.2%  
76 2% 98%  
77 7% 96%  
78 6% 89% Last Result
79 5% 83% Median
80 25% 78%  
81 24% 54%  
82 19% 29%  
83 4% 10%  
84 1.2% 6%  
85 2% 5%  
86 1.4% 4%  
87 0.2% 2%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0% 1.1%  
90 1.0% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.6% 99.5%  
73 1.3% 98.9%  
74 0.9% 98%  
75 5% 97%  
76 4% 92%  
77 5% 88%  
78 2% 83%  
79 27% 81% Last Result
80 2% 54%  
81 11% 52% Median
82 4% 41%  
83 25% 36%  
84 8% 12%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.3% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.3% 99.5%  
71 4% 99.2%  
72 3% 95%  
73 3% 92%  
74 14% 89%  
75 9% 76%  
76 11% 67%  
77 6% 56% Median
78 10% 50%  
79 12% 40% Last Result
80 7% 28%  
81 1.1% 21%  
82 2% 20%  
83 14% 18%  
84 1.3% 4%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 2% 99.7%  
61 0.7% 98%  
62 0.8% 97%  
63 3% 96%  
64 18% 93% Last Result
65 9% 75% Median
66 9% 66%  
67 36% 56%  
68 8% 20%  
69 2% 12%  
70 5% 10%  
71 2% 6%  
72 1.4% 3%  
73 0.2% 2%  
74 0.7% 2%  
75 0.1% 1.1%  
76 0.9% 1.0%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.8% 99.7%  
57 2% 98.9%  
58 1.0% 97%  
59 0.4% 96%  
60 6% 96%  
61 5% 90%  
62 6% 85%  
63 4% 78%  
64 9% 75%  
65 29% 66%  
66 13% 37% Median
67 3% 24%  
68 11% 22%  
69 9% 11%  
70 0.4% 2%  
71 0.9% 1.4%  
72 0.2% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.3% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.1% 99.6%  
55 0.5% 99.4%  
56 5% 99.0%  
57 4% 94%  
58 2% 90%  
59 2% 88%  
60 20% 86%  
61 15% 66%  
62 7% 51% Median
63 3% 43%  
64 16% 41%  
65 17% 24%  
66 0.8% 7%  
67 3% 7%  
68 2% 4%  
69 1.3% 2%  
70 0% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.9%  
44 0.9% 99.6%  
45 4% 98.7%  
46 0.2% 95%  
47 3% 94%  
48 5% 92%  
49 9% 86%  
50 4% 77%  
51 23% 74%  
52 9% 51% Median
53 12% 42%  
54 6% 30%  
55 17% 23%  
56 3% 6%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.2% 0.6%  
59 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.5% 100%  
40 0% 99.5%  
41 0.1% 99.5%  
42 2% 99.4%  
43 5% 98%  
44 3% 92%  
45 6% 90%  
46 11% 84%  
47 4% 73%  
48 13% 69% Median
49 14% 56%  
50 21% 41%  
51 14% 20%  
52 3% 6%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.6% 0.9%  
55 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 0.8% 98%  
19 7% 98%  
20 20% 91%  
21 7% 71%  
22 17% 64% Median
23 16% 48%  
24 20% 32%  
25 4% 12%  
26 7% 7%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations