Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 15–21 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 34.1% 32.3–36.1% 31.8–36.6% 31.3–37.1% 30.4–38.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.2–15.7% 11.9–16.1% 11.3–16.8%
Venstre 23.4% 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.1–14.0% 9.5–14.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.8% 5.0–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.2–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.3–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 61 57–66 57–66 56–66 54–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 22–26 22–27 20–28 19–29
Venstre 43 22 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–26
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–17 12–17 12–18 10–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 13–17 13–17 12–17 11–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 11–16 11–17 11–17 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–14 9–14 9–14 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 1.3% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 98.7%  
56 1.4% 98%  
57 16% 97%  
58 1.3% 81%  
59 9% 79%  
60 18% 70%  
61 7% 52% Median
62 8% 44%  
63 11% 36%  
64 3% 25%  
65 3% 22%  
66 18% 19%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 1.4% 100%  
20 2% 98.6%  
21 0.6% 97%  
22 11% 96%  
23 2% 86%  
24 18% 83%  
25 17% 65% Median
26 39% 48%  
27 6% 8%  
28 0.6% 3%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.3% 0.5%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.8%  
18 3% 98%  
19 25% 96%  
20 6% 70%  
21 7% 64%  
22 39% 57% Median
23 3% 18%  
24 10% 15%  
25 2% 5%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.4%  
12 7% 98.9%  
13 8% 92%  
14 41% 84% Last Result, Median
15 5% 43%  
16 25% 38%  
17 9% 13%  
18 4% 4%  
19 0.5% 0.8%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 1.5% 98%  
13 13% 97%  
14 15% 83%  
15 11% 68%  
16 39% 57% Median
17 17% 18%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 1.0% 99.7%  
11 16% 98.7%  
12 7% 82%  
13 23% 75% Last Result
14 35% 52% Median
15 3% 17%  
16 7% 14%  
17 7% 7%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 1.5% 99.8%  
9 15% 98%  
10 27% 84%  
11 7% 57% Median
12 8% 49%  
13 26% 42%  
14 15% 15%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 8% 98%  
9 54% 90% Median
10 22% 36%  
11 11% 14%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.5% 0.9%  
14 0.2% 0.4%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100%  
1 0% 72%  
2 0% 72%  
3 4% 72%  
4 53% 68% Last Result, Median
5 12% 15%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 0% 8%  
4 7% 8%  
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 99 100% 95–104 95–104 95–105 92–107
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 99 100% 95–104 95–104 95–105 92–107
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 89 49% 86–93 86–95 85–96 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 89 49% 86–93 86–95 85–96 83–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 85 5% 82–89 82–89 81–91 79–94
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 71–80 71–80 70–80 68–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 71–80 71–80 70–80 68–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 70 0% 66–75 66–75 65–76 64–77
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 57–64 56–64 55–66 55–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 57–64 55–64 55–65 55–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 47–53 46–53 45–54 42–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 46 0% 43–49 43–51 42–51 38–53
Venstre 43 22 0% 19–24 19–25 18–26 17–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.5% 99.9%  
93 1.1% 99.4%  
94 0.3% 98%  
95 15% 98%  
96 3% 83% Last Result
97 19% 79%  
98 10% 61% Median
99 5% 50%  
100 18% 45%  
101 12% 27%  
102 2% 16%  
103 2% 13%  
104 8% 11%  
105 2% 3%  
106 0.6% 1.1%  
107 0.4% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0.1% 100% Majority
91 0% 99.9% Last Result
92 0.5% 99.9%  
93 1.1% 99.4%  
94 0.3% 98%  
95 15% 98%  
96 3% 83%  
97 19% 79%  
98 10% 61% Median
99 5% 50%  
100 18% 45%  
101 12% 27%  
102 2% 16%  
103 2% 13%  
104 8% 11%  
105 2% 3%  
106 0.6% 1.1%  
107 0.4% 0.6%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 1.0% 99.4%  
85 2% 98%  
86 16% 97%  
87 2% 80%  
88 26% 78%  
89 3% 52% Median
90 8% 49% Majority
91 26% 41%  
92 0.8% 15%  
93 6% 14%  
94 2% 8%  
95 2% 6%  
96 3% 3%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.4% 99.7%  
84 1.0% 99.3%  
85 2% 98%  
86 16% 97%  
87 2% 80%  
88 26% 78%  
89 3% 52% Median
90 8% 49% Majority
91 26% 41%  
92 0.8% 15%  
93 6% 14%  
94 2% 8%  
95 2% 6%  
96 3% 3%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
79 2% 99.6%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 1.0% 98%  
82 17% 97%  
83 17% 80%  
84 8% 62% Median
85 10% 54%  
86 0.6% 44%  
87 13% 43%  
88 7% 30%  
89 19% 23%  
90 1.3% 5% Majority
91 3% 3%  
92 0.2% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.7%  
94 0.5% 0.5%  
95 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.4%  
70 2% 98.9%  
71 8% 97%  
72 2% 89%  
73 2% 87%  
74 12% 84%  
75 18% 73%  
76 5% 55%  
77 10% 50%  
78 19% 39% Median
79 3% 21% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.6%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 2% 99.7%  
69 0.7% 98%  
70 2% 98%  
71 8% 96%  
72 2% 88%  
73 7% 86%  
74 12% 79%  
75 18% 67%  
76 5% 49%  
77 6% 44%  
78 18% 38% Median
79 3% 20% Last Result
80 15% 17%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 1.1% 99.9% Last Result
65 2% 98.8%  
66 16% 97%  
67 2% 81%  
68 3% 79%  
69 20% 76%  
70 8% 56% Median
71 7% 48%  
72 9% 42%  
73 5% 33%  
74 8% 28%  
75 18% 20%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.2% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 4% 99.7%  
56 1.3% 95%  
57 4% 94%  
58 2% 90%  
59 20% 88%  
60 8% 67%  
61 24% 60%  
62 8% 36% Median
63 2% 27%  
64 21% 26%  
65 2% 5%  
66 0.9% 3%  
67 1.1% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.7%  
69 0.5% 0.6%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 5% 99.6%  
56 1.3% 95%  
57 6% 94%  
58 2% 88%  
59 20% 85%  
60 12% 65%  
61 23% 53%  
62 8% 30% Median
63 1.3% 22%  
64 17% 20%  
65 1.3% 3%  
66 0.4% 2%  
67 1.0% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.7%  
69 0.5% 0.5%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 1.3% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 98.6%  
44 0.6% 98%  
45 0.7% 98%  
46 6% 97%  
47 11% 92%  
48 21% 81%  
49 22% 60%  
50 20% 38%  
51 5% 18% Median
52 2% 13%  
53 8% 11%  
54 1.4% 4%  
55 0.9% 2%  
56 1.3% 2%  
57 0.1% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 1.3% 100%  
39 0% 98.7%  
40 0.1% 98.6%  
41 0.6% 98.5%  
42 1.4% 98%  
43 9% 97%  
44 6% 88%  
45 25% 82%  
46 23% 57%  
47 2% 34% Median
48 18% 33%  
49 7% 14%  
50 2% 8%  
51 4% 5%  
52 0.3% 1.1%  
53 0.6% 0.8%  
54 0% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 1.4% 99.8%  
18 3% 98%  
19 25% 96%  
20 6% 70%  
21 7% 64%  
22 39% 57% Median
23 3% 18%  
24 10% 15%  
25 2% 5%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.3% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations