Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 22–28 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.4% 31.5–35.3% 31.0–35.8% 30.5–36.3% 29.7–37.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.4% 13.0–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.3–16.6% 11.7–17.4%
Venstre 23.4% 11.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.4–13.2% 8.8–13.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.9% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.3–8.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.0% 4.3–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 57–64 55–65 53–65 53–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–28 23–29 22–29 21–31
Venstre 43 20 17–22 17–23 17–23 15–25
Nye Borgerlige 4 17 14–18 13–19 13–19 13–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–16 13–17 13–17 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–16 11–16 11–17 9–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–12 9–13 8–13 7–15
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 3% 99.7%  
54 1.2% 97%  
55 1.5% 96%  
56 2% 94%  
57 11% 93%  
58 11% 82%  
59 20% 71%  
60 23% 51% Median
61 8% 28%  
62 2% 19%  
63 5% 17%  
64 4% 13%  
65 8% 8%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.3% 100%  
21 0.6% 99.7%  
22 4% 99.1%  
23 11% 95%  
24 7% 85%  
25 14% 77%  
26 36% 63% Median
27 15% 28%  
28 5% 13%  
29 6% 8%  
30 1.0% 2%  
31 1.0% 1.3%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.9%  
16 0.9% 99.2%  
17 9% 98%  
18 7% 90%  
19 16% 83%  
20 23% 67% Median
21 10% 44%  
22 26% 34%  
23 7% 8%  
24 0.6% 1.1%  
25 0.5% 0.5%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.3% 100%  
13 5% 99.7%  
14 14% 95%  
15 18% 81%  
16 12% 63%  
17 18% 51% Median
18 24% 33%  
19 8% 9%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.3%  
13 12% 98% Last Result
14 29% 86%  
15 18% 57% Median
16 32% 39%  
17 5% 7%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 2% 99.5%  
11 6% 98%  
12 19% 92%  
13 31% 73% Median
14 24% 43% Last Result
15 6% 19%  
16 10% 13%  
17 1.5% 3%  
18 1.3% 1.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.2% 100%  
8 2% 98.8%  
9 9% 97%  
10 32% 87%  
11 34% 56% Median
12 16% 22%  
13 3% 6%  
14 0.8% 2%  
15 1.2% 2%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 9% 99.5%  
8 35% 91%  
9 20% 56% Median
10 15% 35%  
11 19% 21%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 46% 90% Last Result, Median
5 36% 44%  
6 7% 8%  
7 1.3% 2%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0.1% 18%  
4 14% 18%  
5 3% 4%  
6 0.2% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 97% 93–101 92–103 89–103 89–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 97 97% 93–101 92–101 89–103 89–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 89 31% 85–91 84–93 81–94 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 89 31% 85–91 84–93 81–93 81–95
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 0.8% 78–86 78–87 75–88 74–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 74–82 72–83 72–86 71–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 74–81 72–81 71–82 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 69 0% 66–72 64–75 63–75 61–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 61 0% 57–65 56–67 56–69 53–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 57–64 56–65 55–66 53–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 46–53 46–55 45–56 42–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 46 0% 43–49 42–50 41–51 40–52
Venstre 43 20 0% 17–22 17–23 17–23 15–25

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 3% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 97% Majority
91 0.3% 97%  
92 3% 97%  
93 5% 94%  
94 11% 88%  
95 12% 77%  
96 8% 65% Last Result
97 11% 57% Median
98 11% 47%  
99 7% 36%  
100 16% 28%  
101 6% 13%  
102 1.4% 6%  
103 3% 5%  
104 2% 2%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 3% 99.9%  
90 0.4% 97% Majority
91 0.3% 97% Last Result
92 3% 97%  
93 5% 93%  
94 11% 88%  
95 12% 77%  
96 8% 65%  
97 11% 57% Median
98 11% 46%  
99 7% 35%  
100 17% 28%  
101 6% 11%  
102 1.4% 5%  
103 3% 4%  
104 0.3% 0.6%  
105 0.1% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.3%  
107 0% 0.2%  
108 0.2% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
81 2% 99.6%  
82 0.9% 97%  
83 0.9% 96%  
84 4% 96%  
85 11% 92%  
86 19% 81%  
87 4% 62%  
88 3% 58% Median
89 23% 54%  
90 17% 31% Majority
91 5% 15%  
92 2% 10%  
93 4% 7%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.3% 2%  
96 1.3% 2%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 2% 99.6%  
82 1.0% 97%  
83 1.0% 96%  
84 4% 95%  
85 11% 92%  
86 19% 81%  
87 4% 62%  
88 3% 58% Median
89 23% 54%  
90 17% 31% Majority
91 5% 14%  
92 3% 9%  
93 4% 6%  
94 2% 2%  
95 0.3% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 2% 99.9%  
75 0.3% 98%  
76 0.9% 97%  
77 0.8% 97%  
78 6% 96% Last Result
79 12% 89%  
80 4% 77%  
81 16% 73%  
82 9% 57% Median
83 9% 48%  
84 22% 39%  
85 5% 17%  
86 3% 12%  
87 5% 9%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.6% 1.4%  
90 0.5% 0.8% Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 2% 99.6%  
72 3% 98%  
73 1.4% 95%  
74 6% 94%  
75 16% 87%  
76 7% 72%  
77 11% 64%  
78 11% 53% Median
79 8% 43% Last Result
80 12% 35%  
81 11% 23%  
82 5% 12%  
83 3% 6%  
84 0.3% 3%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 3% 3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 0.5% 99.0%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 5% 97%  
73 1.2% 92%  
74 8% 91%  
75 16% 83%  
76 8% 66%  
77 12% 59%  
78 12% 47% Median
79 9% 35% Last Result
80 11% 26%  
81 11% 15%  
82 3% 4%  
83 0.3% 1.1%  
84 0.3% 0.8%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.3% 0.3%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 98%  
63 0.8% 98%  
64 2% 97% Last Result
65 3% 94%  
66 13% 92%  
67 14% 79%  
68 14% 64%  
69 16% 50% Median
70 7% 34%  
71 11% 27%  
72 6% 16%  
73 3% 10%  
74 0.3% 7%  
75 6% 6%  
76 0.1% 0.4%  
77 0.2% 0.3%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.4% 99.8%  
54 0.2% 99.4%  
55 0.8% 99.2%  
56 6% 98%  
57 4% 93%  
58 1.3% 89%  
59 7% 87%  
60 16% 80%  
61 16% 64% Median
62 17% 49%  
63 3% 31%  
64 14% 28%  
65 6% 14%  
66 0.6% 9%  
67 5% 8%  
68 0.6% 3%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.8% 99.7%  
54 0.8% 98.9%  
55 2% 98%  
56 6% 97%  
57 5% 90%  
58 2% 85%  
59 8% 83%  
60 18% 74%  
61 16% 56% Median
62 17% 40%  
63 4% 23%  
64 11% 19%  
65 6% 9%  
66 0.4% 3%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.4% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.7% 99.8%  
43 0.4% 99.1%  
44 0.8% 98.7%  
45 2% 98%  
46 11% 96%  
47 4% 86%  
48 7% 82%  
49 13% 75%  
50 15% 61% Median
51 20% 47%  
52 5% 27%  
53 12% 21%  
54 3% 9%  
55 3% 6%  
56 3% 3%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 1.3% 99.7%  
41 3% 98%  
42 5% 95%  
43 4% 91%  
44 11% 86%  
45 10% 75%  
46 25% 65% Median
47 17% 39%  
48 12% 23%  
49 2% 10%  
50 4% 8%  
51 4% 5%  
52 0.4% 0.7%  
53 0.3% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.9%  
16 0.9% 99.2%  
17 9% 98%  
18 7% 90%  
19 16% 83%  
20 23% 67% Median
21 10% 44%  
22 26% 34%  
23 7% 8%  
24 0.6% 1.1%  
25 0.5% 0.5%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations